Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-gvvz8 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-27T09:06:04.257Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

Carbon emissions and economic development: future trajectories based on historical experience

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  15 January 2001

MARK T. HEIL  and
THOMAS M. SELDEN
MARK T. HEIL
Affiliation:
Indoor Environments Division, Environmental Protection Agency
THOMAS M. SELDEN
Affiliation:
CCFS/AHCPR, 2101 E. Jefferson St., Suite 500, Rockville, MD 20852. Email: [email protected]
Get access Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

This paper estimates the historic relationship between carbon emissions and GDP using data across countries and across time. We combine this relationship with plausible projections for GDP and population growth to construct a model that offers insights into the likely path of global emissions in the next century. In addition, we experiment with a method for incorporating oil prices into the model. Our analysis provides independent confirmation of the business-as-usual forecasts generated by the larger structural models.

Type
Research Article
Information
Environment and Development Economics , Volume 6 , Issue 1 , February 2001 , pp. 63 - 83
Copyright
© 2001 Cambridge University Press

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

No official endorsement of the views in this paper by any agency of the U.S. government is intended or should be inferred.