Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-jn8rn Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-27T09:19:59.728Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Adaptation can help mitigation: an integrated approach to post-2012 climate policy

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  29 April 2013

Francesco Bosello
Affiliation:
University of Milan, FEEM and CMCC, Italy. E-mail: [email protected]
Carlo Carraro
Affiliation:
University of Venice, CEPR, CESifo, FEEM and CMCC, Italy. E-mail: [email protected]
Enrica De Cian
Affiliation:
University Cà Foscari of Venice, Fondazione ENI Enrico Mattei and CMCC, Isola di San Giorgio Maggiore, 30124, Venice, Italy. E-mail: [email protected]

Abstract

This paper analyzes the optimal mix of adaptation and mitigation expenditures in a cost-effective setting, in which countries cooperate to achieve a long-term stabilization target (550 CO2-eq). It uses an Integrated Assessment Model (AD-WITCH) that describes the relationships between different adaptation modes (reactive and anticipatory), mitigation and capacity building to analyze the optimal portfolio of adaptation measures. Results show that the optimal intertemporal distribution of climate policy measures is characterized by early investments in mitigation followed by large adaptation expenditures a few decades later. Hence, the possibility of adapting does not justify postponing mitigation. Moreover, a climate change policy combining mitigation and adaptation is less costly than mitigation alone. In this sense mitigation and adaptation are shown to be strategic complements rather than mutually exclusive.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2013

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

Agrawala, S. and Fankhauser, S. (2008), Economics Aspects of Adaptation to Climate Change. Costs, Benefits and Policy Instrument, Paris: OECD.Google Scholar
Agrawala, S., Bosello, F., Carraro, C., de Bruin, K., De Cian, E., Dellink, R., and Lanzi, E. (2011), ‘Plan or react? Analysis of adaptation costs and benefits using Integrated Assessment Models’, Climate Change Economics 2(3): 175208.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Alberini, A., Chiabai, A., and Muehlenbachs, L. (2006), ‘Using expert judgment to assess adaptive capacity to climate change: evidence from a conjoint choice survey’, Global Environmental Change 16: 123144.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Banerjee, A.V. and Duflo, F. (2004), ‘Growth theory through the lens of development economics’, MIT Department of Economics Working Paper No. 05-01, [Available at] http://ssrn.com/abstract=651483 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.651483.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bapna, M. and McGray, H. (2008), ‘Financing adaptation: opportunities for innovation and experimentation’, in Brainard, L., Abigail, J. and Nigel, P. (eds), Climate Change and Global Poverty. A Billion Lives in the Balance? Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press.Google Scholar
Barrett, S. (2008), ‘Dikes vs. windmills: climate treatise and adaptation’, Discussion Paper, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD.Google Scholar
Bosello, F. (2008), ‘Adaptation, mitigation and green R&D to combat global climate change. Insights from an empirical Integrated Assessment Exercise’, CMCC Research Paper No. 20, CMCC, Lecce.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bosello, F., Carraro, C., and De Cian, E. (2010a), ‘An analysis of adaptation as a response to climate change’, in Lomborg, B. (ed.), Smart Solutions to Climate Change, Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Bosello, F., Carraro, C., and De Cian, E. (2010b), ‘Climate policy and the optimal balance between mitigation, adaptation and unavoided damage’, Climate Change Economics 1(2): 7192.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bosetti, V., Carraro, C., Galeotti, M., Massetti, E., and Tavoni, M. (2006), ‘WITCH: a world induced technical change hybrid model’, Energy Journal, Special Issue on Hybrid Modeling of Energy-Environment Policies: Reconciling Bottom-up and Top-down 1338.Google Scholar
Bosetti, V., De Cian, E., Sgobbi, A., and Tavoni, M. (2009), ‘The 2008 WITCH model: new model features and baseline’, FEEM Working Paper No. 95.2009, FEEM, Milan.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Carraro, C. and Massetti, E. (2010), ‘Two good news from Copenhagen?’, [Available at] http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/4490.Google Scholar
de Bruin, K.C., Dellink, R.B., and Agrawala, S. (2009a), ‘Economic aspects of adaptation to climate change: integrated assessment modelling of adaptation costs and benefits’, OECD Environment Working Paper No. 6, OECD, Paris.Google Scholar
de Bruin, K.C., Dellink, R.B., and Tol, R.S.J. (2009b), ‘AD-DICE: an implementation of adaptation in the DICE model’, Climatic Change 95: 6381.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dell, M., Jones, B.F., and Olken, B.A. (2008), ‘Climate shocks and economic growth: evidence from the last half century’, NBER Working Paper No. 14132. NBER, Cambridge, MA.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fankhauser, S. and Burton, T. (2011), ‘Spending adaptation money wisely’, Climate Policy 11: 113.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hanemann, W.M. (2008), ‘What is the cost of climate change?’, CUDARE Working Paper No. 1027, University of California, Berkeley, CA.Google Scholar
Harrod, R.F. (1948), Towards a Dynamic Economics: Some Recent Developments of Economic Theory and Their Application to Policy, London: Macmillan.Google Scholar
Hope, C.W. (2006), ‘The marginal impact of CO2 from PAGE2002: an integrated assessment model incorporating the IPCC's five reasons for concern’, Integrated Assessment Journal 6(1): 1956.Google Scholar
Hope, C.W., Anderson, J., and Wenman, P. (1993), ‘Policy analysis of the greenhouse effect – an application of the page model’, Energy Policy 21(3): 328338.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
IPCC (2007), Climate Change 2007: Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Millner, A. and Dietz, S. (2011), ‘Adaptation to climate change and economic growth in developing countries’, Working Paper No. 69, Center for Climate Change Economics and Policy, London.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Nordhaus, W.D. (2007), ‘A review of the Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change’, Journal of Economic Literature 45(3): 686702.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Nordhaus, W.D. and Boyer, J. (2000), Warming the World. Economic Models of Global Warming, Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Parry, M. (2009), ‘Closing the loop between mitigation, impacts and adaptation’, Climatic Change 96(1–2): 2327.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Parry, M., Canziani, O., Palutikof, J., van der Linden, P., and Hanson, C. (2007), Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report on Climate Change, Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Ramsey, F. (1928), ‘A mathematical theory of saving’, Economic Journal 38(152): 543559.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Solow, R. (1974), ‘The economics of resources or the resources of economics’, American Economic Review 64(2): 114.Google Scholar
Stern, N. (2007), The Economics of Climate Change: The Stern Review, Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Tol, R.S.J. (2005), ‘Adaptation and mitigation: trade-offs in substance and methods’, Environmental Science and Policy 8(6): 572578.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Toya, H. and Skidmore, M. (2007), ‘Economic development and the impact of natural disasters’, Economics Letters 94(1): 2025.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
UNFCCC (2007), ‘Investments and financial flows to address climate change’, Background paper on analysis of existing and planned investments and financial flows relevant to the development of effective and appropriate international response to climate change, Climate Change Secretariat, Bonn.Google Scholar
Weitzman, M.L. (2001), ‘Gamma discounting’, American Economic Review 91(1): 260271.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Weitzman, M.L. (2007), ‘Subjective expectations and asset-return puzzles’, American Economic Review 97(4): 11021130.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Yohe, G. and Tol, R.S.J. (2002), ‘Indicators for social and economic coping capacity – moving toward a working definition of adaptive capacity’, Global Environmental Change 12: 2540.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Yohe, G. and Tol, R.S.J. (2007), ‘The weakest link hypothesis for adaptive capacity: an empirical test’, Global Environmental Change 17: 218227.Google Scholar
Supplementary material: PDF

Bosello supplementary material

Bosello supplementary material

Download Bosello supplementary material(PDF)
PDF 54.9 KB