Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-jkksz Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-25T19:32:26.726Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Coping with negative shocks and the role of the farm input subsidy programme in rural Malawi

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 July 2020

Joseph B. Ajefu*
Affiliation:
Newcastle Business School, Northumbria University, Newcastle Upon Tyne, UK
Uchenna Efobi
Affiliation:
College of Business and Social Sciences, Centre for Economic Policy and Development Research, Covenant University, Ota, Nigeria
Ibukun Beecroft
Affiliation:
Department of Economics, Centre for Economic Policy and Development Research, Covenant University, Ota, Nigeria
*
*Corresponding author. E-mail: [email protected]

Abstract

This study uses household panel data from Malawi's 2010/11 and 2012/13 Integrated Household Panel Survey to investigate the mitigating role of its Farm Input Subsidy Programme (FISP) against the deleterious impacts of negative rainfall shock on households’ welfare in rural Malawi. The study finds that the FISP has a cushioning role on the negative impact of rainfall shocks. The use of a farm input subsidy scheme enables rural households to substantially increase their food consumption and overall food security, despite the increasing threat of climate change. The results of this study highlight the importance of agricultural policy, such as the FISP, in rural households’ mitigation of weather risk.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s), 2020. Published by Cambridge University Press

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Asfaw, S and Carraro, A (2016) Welfare effect of Farm Input Subsidy Program in the context of climate change: evidence from Malawi. Paper presented at the 5th International Conference of the African Association of Agricultural Economists, 23–26 September, 2016, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.Google Scholar
Asfaw, S and Maggio, G (2018) Gender, weather shocks and welfare: evidence from Malawi. The Journal of Development Studies 54, 271291.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Asfaw, A and von Braun, J (2004) Is consumption insured against illness? Evidence on vulnerability of households to health shocks in rural Ethiopia. Economic Development and Cultural Change 53, 115129.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Asfaw, S, Cattaneo, A and Pallante, G (2016) Welfare and Productivity Effects of Switching From Existing FISP to a Universal Fertilizer Subsidy in Malawi. Rome: Food and Agriculture Organisation of the United Nations (FAO).Google Scholar
Ayoade, AR, Ogunwale, AB and Adewale, JG (2011) Impact of the national special programme for food security on poverty alleviation among women in Oyo State, Nigeria. African Journal of Food, Agriculture, Nutrition and Development 11, 50645082.Google Scholar
Badolo, F and Kinda, SR (2012) Climatic shocks and food security in developing countries. Available at https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/43006/1/Climatic_shocks_and_food_security_in_Developing_countries.Google Scholar
Benton, T and Bailey, R (2015) Extreme weather and food shocks. New York Times, 8 September 2015. Available at https://www.nytimes.com/2015/09/09/opinion/extreme-weather-and-food-shocks.html?_r=0.Google Scholar
Björkman-Nyqvist, M (2013) Income shocks and gender gaps in education: evidence from Uganda. Journal of Development Economics 105, 237253.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Challinor, AJ, Simelton, ES, Fraser, EDG, Hemming, D and Collins, M (2010) Increased crop failure due to climate change: assessing adaptation options using models and socio-economic data for wheat in China. Environmental Research Letters 5, 034012.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chibwana, C and Fisher, M (2011) The impacts of agricultural input subsidies in Malawi. Policy Note No. 5, Malawi Strategy Support Program, International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington DC.Google Scholar
Chibwana, C, Fisher, M and Shively, G (2012) Cropland allocation effects of agricultural input subsidies in Malawi. World Development 40, 124133.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chinsinga, B (2013) The political economy of agricultural policy processes in Malawi: a case study of the Fertilizer Subsidy Programme. Paper Presented at the Futures Agriculture Conference on the Political Economy of Agricultural Policy in Africa, 18–19 March 2013, Pretoria, South Africa.Google Scholar
Chirwa, E and Dorward, A (2013) Agricultural Input Subsidy: The Recent Malawi Experience. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Daidone, S, Davis, B, Knowles, M, Pickmans, R, Pace, N and Handa, S (2017) The social cash transfer programme and the Farm Input Subsidy Programme in Malawi: complementary instruments for supporting agricultural transformation and increasing consumption and productive activities? Available at http://www.fao.org/3/a-i6810e.pdf. Rome: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.Google Scholar
Dell, M, Jones, BF and Olken, BA (2009) Temperature and income: reconciling new cross-sectional and panel estimates. American Economic Review 99, 198204.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dorward, A and Chirwa, E (2011) The Malawi agricultural input subsidy programme: 2005/06 to 2008/09. International Journal of Agricultural Sustainability 9, 232247.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dorward, A, Chirwa, E and Jayne, TS (2011) Malawi's agricultural input subsidy programme experience over 2005–09. In Chunan-Pole, P and Angwafo, M (eds), Yes Africa Can: Success Stories Over a Dynamic Continent. Washington, DC: World Bank, pp. 289317.Google Scholar
Dorward, A, Chirwa, E, Matita, M, Mhango, W, Mvula, P, Taylor, E and Thome, K (2013) Evaluation of the 2012/2013 Farm Input Subsidy Programme, Malawi. Final paper undertaken for the Ministry of Agriculture and Food Security, Lilongwe, Malawi.Google Scholar
Ericksen, P, Thornton, PK, Notenbaert, AM, Cramer, L, Jones, P and Herrero, M (2011) Mapping hotspots of climate change and food insecurity in the global tropics. CCAFS Report no. 5. CGIAR Research Programme on Climate Change, Agriculture, and Food Security (CCAFS), Copenhagen, Denmark.Google Scholar
FAO (2014) FAO Malawi: Country Programme Framework (CPF) 2014–2017. Available at http://www.fao.org/3/a-bp619e.pdf. Food and Agriculture Organization.Google Scholar
FAO (2017) Regional overview of food security and nutrition in Africa. The food security and nutrition–conflict nexus: building resilience for food security, nutrition and peace. Accra. Available at https://reliefweb.int/sites/reliefweb.int/files/resources/a-i7967e.pdf. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Accra.Google Scholar
Fisher, M and Kandiwa, V (2014) Can agricultural input subsidies reduce the gender gap in modern maize adoption? Evidence from Malawi. Food Policy 45, 101111.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fussel, HM (2010) How inequitable is the global distribution of responsibility, capability, and vulnerability to climate change: a comprehensive indicator-based assessment. Global Environmental Change 20, 597611.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
GFSI (2016) Global food security index. Available at http://foodsecurityindex.eiu.com/. The Economist Group, The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU).Google Scholar
Giller, KE, Tittonell, P, Rufino, MC, van-Wijk, MT, Zingore, S, Mapfumo, P, Adjei-Nsiahe, S, Herrero, M, Chikowo, R, Corbeels, M, Rowe, EC, Baijukya, F, Mwijage, A, Smith, J, Yeboah, E, van der Burg, WJ, Sanogo, OM, Misiko, M and Vanlauwe, B (2011) Communicating complexity: integrated assessment of trade-offs concerning soil fertility management within African farming systems to support innovation and development. Agricultural Systems 104, 191203.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Government of Malawi (2005) Integrated Household Survey 2004–2005: Household Socio- Economic Characteristics, vol. 1. Zomba, Malawi: Malawi National Statistics Office.Google Scholar
Government of Malawi (2012) Integrated Household Survey 2010–2011: Household Socio- Economic Characteristics Report. Zomba, Malawi: Malawi National Statistics Office.Google Scholar
Harou, AP (2018) Unraveling the effect of targeted input subsidies on dietary diversity in household consumption and child nutrition: the case of Malawi. World Development 106, 124135.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Herrmann, R, Jumbe, C, Bruentrup, M and Osabuohien, E (2018) Competition between biofuel feedstock and food production: empirical evidence from sugarcane out-grower settings in Malawi. Biomass and Bioenergy 114, 100111.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Holden, S and Lunduka, R (2013) Who benefits from Malawi's targeted farm input subsidy program? Forum for Development Studies 40, 125.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) (2014) Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Technical report, Working Group II contribution to the IPCC's Fifth Assessment Report (WGII AR5), Geneva, Switzerland.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jayachandran, S (2006) Selling labour low: wage responses to productivity shocks in developing countries. Journal of Political Economy 114, 538575.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kaiyatsa, S, Ricker-Gilbert, J and Jumbe, C (2018) Supply-side crowding-out and crowding-in effects of Malawi's Farm Input Subsidy Program on private-sector input marketing: a quasi-experimental field study. Paper Presented at the Conference for the International Association of Agricultural Economists, July 28–August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia.Google Scholar
Kaiyatsa, S, Ricker-Gilbert, J and Jumbe, C (2019) What does Malawi's fertiliser programme do to private sector fertiliser sales? A quasi-experimental field study. Journal of Agricultural Economics 70, 332352.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Karamba, RW and Winters, PC (2015) Gender and agricultural productivity: implications of the farm input subsidy program in Malawi. Agricultural Economics 46, 357374.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kilic, T, Whitney, E and Winters, P (2013) Decentralized beneficiary targeting in large-scale development programs: insights from the Malawi Farm Input Subsidy Program. Policy Research Working Paper 6713, The World Bank, Washington, DC.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Levine, DI and Yang, D (2014) The impact of rainfall on rice output in Indonesia. Working Paper 20302, National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Massachusetts.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Livingston, G, Schonberger, S and Delaney, S (2011) Sub-Saharan Africa: the state of smallholders in agriculture. Rome: International Fund for Agricultural Development. Available at https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/f2cb/d3f72cb333c1cc6fd3eba6d5bc8bb8c89469.pdf.Google Scholar
Lunduka, R, Ricker-Gilbert, J and Fisher, M (2013) What are the farm-level impacts of Malawi's farm input subsidy programme? A critical review. Agricultural Economics 44, 563579.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Maccini, S and Yang, D (2009) Under the weather: health, schooling, and economic consequences of early-life rainfall. American Economic Review 99, 10061026.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Maertens, A and Barrett, CB (2012) Measuring social networks’ effects on agricultural technology adoption. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 95, 353359.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Malhotra, K (2015) Augmenting food security through agricultural input subsidy: an evaluation of National Agricultural Input Voucher Scheme (NAIVS) with impact on female-headed Households in Tanzania. Paper Presented at the Conference for the International Association of Agricultural Economists, 9–14 August 2015, Milan, Italy.Google Scholar
Mason, N and Ricker-Gilbert, J (2013) Disrupting demand for commercial seed: input subsidies in Malawi and Zambia. World Development 45, 7591.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mbugua, M, Nzuma, J and Muange, E (2019) Social networks and ex post risk management among smallholder farmers in Kenya. Development Studies Research: An Open Access Journal 6, 3039.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ministry of Agriculture and Food Security (2010) The National Agricultural Policy: promoting agricultural productivity for national food security and economic growth and development through value chain development. Available at http://extwprlegs1.fao.org/docs/pdf/mlw141073.pdf. Government of Malawi, Ministry of Agriculture and Food Security, Lilongwe.Google Scholar
Ricker-Gilbert, J and Jayne, TS (2017) Estimating the enduring effects of fertiliser subsidies on commercial fertiliser demand and maize production: panel data evidence from Malawi. Journal of Agricultural Economies 68, 7097.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Ricker-Gilbert, J, Jayne, T and Chirwa, E (2011) Subsidies and crowding out: a double-hurdle model of fertilizer demand in Malawi. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 93, 2642.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rocha, R and Soares, RR (2015) Water scarcity and birth outcomes in the Brazilian semiarid. Journal of Development Economics 112, 7291.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Schlenker, W and Lobell, DB (2010) Robust negative impacts of climate change on African agriculture. Environmental Research Letters 5, 2035.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sibande, L, Bailey, A and Davidova, S (2015) The impact of farm input subsidies on household welfare in Malawi. Paper Presented at the Conference for the International Association of Agricultural Economists, 9–14 August 2015, Milan, Italy.Google Scholar
Skoufias, E, Rabassa, M and Olivieri, S (2011) The poverty impacts of climate change: a review of the evidence. Policy Research Working Paper 5622, The World Bank, Washington, DC.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
United Nations (2014) Malawi country profile. Available at http://www.mw.one.un.org/country-profile/.Google Scholar
USAID (United States Agency for International Development) (2016) Malawi El Niño mitigation fact sheet. Available at https://www.usaid.gov/malawi/fact-sheets/malawi-el-niño-mitigation-fact-sheet.Google Scholar
World Bank (2010) Social dimensions of climate change: equity and vulnerability in a warming world. Technical report 52097, New Frontiers of Social Policy. World Bank, Washington, DC.Google Scholar
World Bank (2018) The World Bank in Malawi. Available at http://www.worldbank.org/en/country/malawi/overview.Google Scholar
World Population Review (2018) Malawi Population. Available at http://worldpopulationreview.com/countries/malawi/.Google Scholar
Yang, D and Choi, H (2007) Are remittances insurance? Evidence from rainfall shocks in the Philippines. World Bank Economic Review 21, 219248.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Zulu, L (2017) Existing research and knowledge on impacts of climate variability and change on agriculture and communities in Malawi. Malawi Report No. 9, Global Center for Food Systems Innovation (GCFSI), Michigan State University, East Lansing, Michigan.Google Scholar
Supplementary material: PDF

Ajefu et al. Supplementary Materials

Ajefu et al. Supplementary Materials

Download Ajefu et al. Supplementary Materials(PDF)
PDF 207.8 KB