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Foresight of the Consequences of the Hazmat Release From an Oil Refinery on the Surrounding Urban Community Following an Earthquake: A Natech Scenario Analysis

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  28 February 2022

Parvin Shafiei Moghaddam Open the ORCID record for Parvin Shafiei Moghaddam [Opens in a new window] ,
Katayoun Jahangiri Open the ORCID record for Katayoun Jahangiri [Opens in a new window] ,
Sanaz Sohrabizadeh Open the ORCID record for Sanaz Sohrabizadeh [Opens in a new window] ,
Nemat Hassani Open the ORCID record for Nemat Hassani [Opens in a new window] ,
Mohammad Hoseini Moghaddam Open the ORCID record for Mohammad Hoseini Moghaddam [Opens in a new window]  and
Ghazaleh Monazami Tehrani Open the ORCID record for Ghazaleh Monazami Tehrani [Opens in a new window]
Parvin Shafiei Moghaddam
Affiliation:
Department of Health in Disasters and Emergencies, School of Public Health and Safety, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran Rescue and Relief and Disaster Management Department, Iran Helal Institute of Applied Science and Technology, Tehran, Iran
Katayoun Jahangiri*
Affiliation:
Department of Health in Disasters and Emergencies, School of Public Health and Safety, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
Sanaz Sohrabizadeh
Affiliation:
Department of Health in Disasters and Emergencies, School of Public Health and Safety, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran Air Quality and Climate Change Research Center, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
Nemat Hassani
Affiliation:
Department Civil, Water and Environmental Engineering, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran
Mohammad Hoseini Moghaddam
Affiliation:
Department of Prospective Studies, Institute for Social and Cultural Studies (ISCS), Tehran, Iran
Ghazaleh Monazami Tehrani
Affiliation:
Health, Safety and Environment Department, School of Public Health and Safety, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
*
Corresponding author: Katayoun Jahangiri, Email: [email protected]
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Abstract

Objective:

To analyze the consequences of the Natech scenario of H2S toxic gas release from an oil refinery near Tehran and its effects on surrounding residential areas following an earthquake.

Methods:

This research was an applied study. The Natech risk map and the end-point distance of gas release were determined using the Rapid-n software and the Worst-Case Scenario of RMP, respectively.

Results:

Regarding the high seismic vulnerability of the structures affected by the Natech risk, all residents of this area were simultaneously affected by earthquake and the toxic gas inhalation. In comparison to earthquake, response capacities were poor for Natech events, due to insufficient resources, limited accessibility, lack of planning, and unsafe evacuation places in exposed regions. Unlike earthquake, few studies have been conducted on Natech risk assessment and related consequences in Iran. Our study not only covered this gap but also revealed some dimensions of consequences of human, structural, and response capacities.

Conclusions:

It is recommended to have plans for implementing short-term such as identifying vulnerable industries and areas, public awareness and long-term such as land use planning measures to reduce Natech risk and resilience improvement.

Keywords

chemical releasecommunity healthearthquakeforesightNatech
Type
Original Research
Information
Disaster Medicine and Public Health Preparedness , Volume 17 , 2023 , e79
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Society for Disaster Medicine and Public Health, Inc.

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