Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-dk4vv Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-18T19:42:58.292Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Quantifying Network Dynamics and Information Flow Across Chinese Social Media During the African Ebola Outbreak

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 August 2017

Shihui Feng
Affiliation:
Information Management, Division of Information and Technology Studies, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
Liaquat Hossain*
Affiliation:
Library and Information Management Program, Division of Information and Technology Studies, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
John W. Crawford
Affiliation:
Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, United Kingdom
Terry Bossomaier
Affiliation:
Faculty of Business, Charles Sturt University, Albury, Australia
*
Correspondence and reprint requests to Liaquat Hossain, PhD, Professor of Library and Information Management, Division of Information and Technology Studies, Room 113, Runme Shaw Building, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong (e-mail: [email protected]).

Abstract

Objective

Social media provides us with a new platform on which to explore how the public responds to disasters and, of particular importance, how they respond to the emergence of infectious diseases such as Ebola. Provided it is appropriately informed, social media offers a potentially powerful means of supporting both early detection and effective containment of communicable diseases, which is essential for improving disaster medicine and public health preparedness.

Methods

The 2014 West African Ebola outbreak is a particularly relevant contemporary case study on account of the large number of annual arrivals from Africa, including Chinese employees engaged in projects in Africa. Weibo (Weibo Corp, Beijing, China) is China’s most popular social media platform, with more than 2 billion users and over 300 million daily posts, and offers great opportunity to monitor early detection and promotion of public health awareness.

Results

We present a proof-of-concept study of a subset of Weibo posts during the outbreak demonstrating potential and identifying priorities for improving the efficacy and accuracy of information dissemination. We quantify the evolution of the social network topology within Weibo relating to the efficacy of information sharing.

Conclusions

We show how relatively few nodes in the network can have a dominant influence over both the quality and quantity of the information shared. These findings make an important contribution to disaster medicine and public health preparedness from theoretical and methodological perspectives for dealing with epidemics. (Disaster Med Public Health Preparedness. 2018;12:26–37)

Type
Original Research
Copyright
Copyright © Society for Disaster Medicine and Public Health, Inc. 2017 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

1. Kaplan, AM, Haenlein, M. Users of the world, unite! The challenges and opportunities of Social Media. Bus Horiz. 2010;53(1):59-68. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bushor.2009.09.003.Google Scholar
2. Duggan, M, Brenner, J. The Demographics of Social Media Users, 2012. Vol 14. Washington, DC: Pew Research Center’s Internet & American Life Project; 2013.Google Scholar
3. Arnold, JL. Disaster medicine in the 21st century: future hazards, vulnerabilities, and risk. Prehosp Disaster Med. 2002;17(01):3-11. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1049023X00000042.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
4. Bradt, DA, Abraham, K, Franks, R. A strategic plan for disaster medicine in Australasia. Emerg Med. 2003;15(3):271-282. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1442-2026.2003.00445.x.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
5. Coiera, E. Social networks, social media, and social diseases. BMJ. 2013;346:f3007. doi: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.f3007 CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
6. Dufty, N. Using social media to build community disaster resilience. Aust J Emerg Manag. 2012;27(1):40-45.Google Scholar
7. Keim, ME, Noji, E. Emergent use of social media: a new age of opportunity for disaster resilience. Am J Disaster Med. 2011;6(1):47-54.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
8. Merchant, RM, Elmer, S, Lurie, N. Integrating social media into emergency-preparedness efforts. N Engl J Med. 2011;365(4):289-291. https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMp1103591.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
9. Thackeray, R, Neiger, BL, Smith, AK, Van Wagenen, SB. Adoption and use of social media among public health departments. BMC Public Health. 2012;12(1):242. https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-12-242.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
10. Semenza, JC, Rubin, CH, Falter, KH, et al. Heat-related deaths during the July 1995 heat wave in Chicago. N Engl J Med. 1996;335(2):84-90. https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJM199607113350203.Google Scholar
11. Brownstein, JS, Freifeld, CC, Madoff, LC. Digital disease detection — harnessing the web for public health surveillance. N Engl J Med. 2009;360(21):2153-2157. https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMp0900702.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
12. Wesolowski, A, Stresman, G, Eagle, N, et al. Quantifying travel behavior for infectious disease research: a comparison of data from surveys and mobile phones. Sci Rep. 2014;4:5678.Google Scholar
13. Khan, K, McNabb, SJN, Memish, ZA, et al. Infectious disease surveillance and modelling across geographic frontiers and scientific specialties. Lancet Infect Dis. 2012;12(3):222-230. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(11)70313-9.Google Scholar
14. Pfeiffer, DU, Stevens, KB. Spatial and temporal epidemiological analysis in the Big Data era. Prev Vet Med. 2015;122(1-2):213-220. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.prevetmed.2015.05.012.Google Scholar
15. Stevens, KB, Pfeiffer, DU. Sources of spatial animal and human health data: casting the net wide to deal more effectively with increasingly complex disease problems. Spat Spatio-Temporal Epidemiol. 2015;13:15-29. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sste.2015.04.003.Google Scholar
16. Rényi, A. On measures of entropy and information. In: Fourth Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability. Vol 1. Berkeley, CA: University of California Press; 1961:547-561.Google Scholar
17. St Louis, C, Zorlu, G. Can Twitter predict disease outbreaks? BMJ. 2012;344:e2353. doi: 10.1136/bmj.e2353.Google Scholar
18. Yom-Tov, E, White, RW, Horvitz, E. Seeking insights about cycling mood disorders via anonymized search logs. J Med Internet Res. 2014;16(2):e65. https://doi.org/10.2196/jmir.2664.Google Scholar
19. Keller, M, Blench, M, Tolentino, H, et al. Use of Unstructured event-based reports for global infectious disease surveillance. Emerg Infect Dis. 2009;15(5):689-695. https://doi.org/10.3201/eid1505.081114.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
20. Velasco, E, Agheneza, T, Denecke, K, et al. Social media and Internet-based data in global systems for public health surveillance: a systematic review. Milbank Q. 2014;92(1):7-33. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0009.12038.Google Scholar
21. Signorini, A, Segre, AM, Polgreen, PM. The use of Twitter to track levels of disease activity and public concern in the US during the influenza A H1N1 pandemic. PLoS One. 2011;6(5):e19467. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0019467.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
22. Lampos, V, De Bie, T, Cristianini, N. Flu detector - tracking epidemics on Twitter. In: Machine Learning and Knowledge Discovery in Databases. Berlin: Springer; 2010:599-602. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-15939-8_42 Google Scholar
23. Aramaki, E, Maskawa, S, Morita, M. Twitter catches the flu: detecting influenza epidemics using Twitter. In: Proceedings of the Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing. Stroudsburg, PA: Association for Computational Linguistics; 2011.Google Scholar
24. Mirhaji, P. Public health surveillance meets translational informatics: a desiderata. J Assoc Lab Autom. 2009;14(3):157-170. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jala.2009.02.007.Google Scholar
25. Zhang, L, Pentina, I. Motivations and usage patterns of Weibo. Cyberpsychol Behav Soc Netw. 2012;15(6):312-317. https://doi.org/10.1089/cyber.2011.0615.Google Scholar
26. Gao, Q, Abel, F, Houben, GJ, Yu, Y. A comparative study of users’ microblogging behavior on Sina Weibo and Twitter. In: International Conference on User Modeling, Adaptation, and Personalization. Berlin: Springer; 2012:88-101. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-31454-4_8.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
27. Fung, IC-H, Fu, K-W, Ying, Y, et al. Chinese social media reaction to the MERS-CoV and avian influenza A (H7N9) outbreaks. Infect Dis Poverty. 2013;2(1):31. https://doi.org/10.1186/2049-9957-2-31.Google Scholar
28. Chen, Y, Li, Z, Nie, L, et al. A semi-supervised Bayesian network model for microblog topic classification. In: Proceedings of COLING 2012. Powai, Mumbai, India: The COLING 2012 Organizing Committee Indian Institute of Technology Bombay; 2012:561-576.Google Scholar
29. Cui, X, Yang, N, Wang, Z, et al. Chinese social media analysis for disease surveillance. Pers Ubiquit Comput. 2015;19:1125. doi: 10.1007/s00779-015-0877-5.Google Scholar
30. Wang, S, Paul, MJ, Dredze, M. Exploring health topics in Chinese social media: an analysis of Sina Weibo. Presented at the Twenty-Eighth AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence; July 27-31, 2014; Québec City, Canada.Google Scholar
31. Fu, K-W, Chau, M. Reality check for the Chinese microblog space: a random sampling approach. PloS One. 2013;8(3):e58356. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0058356.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
32. Ono, T, Hishigaki, H, Tanigami, A, et al. Automated extraction of information on protein–protein interactions from the biological literature. Bioinformatics. 2001;17(2):155-161. https://doi.org/10.1093/bioinformatics/17.2.155.Google Scholar
33. World Health Organization website. Frequently asked questions on Ebola virus disease [in Chinese]. http://www.who.int/csr/disease/ebola/faq-ebola/zh/. Last updated May 2017. Accessed June 20, 2017.Google Scholar
34. Zhou, L, Zhang, D. NLPIR: A theoretical framework for applying natural language processing to information retrieval. J Am Soc Inf Sci Technol. 2003;54(2):115-123. https://doi.org/10.1002/asi.10193.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
35. Lei, L, Ji, L. Empirical analysis of Micro-blogger behavior clustering on public opinion topics. J Intell. 2014;33(3):118-121.Google Scholar
36. Haizhou, L, Baosheng, Y. Chinese word segmentation. Language. 1998;212:217.Google Scholar
37. Luke, DA, Harris, JK. Network analysis in public health: history, methods, and applications. Annu Rev Public Health. 2007;28(1):69-93. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.publhealth.28.021406.144132.Google Scholar
38. Scott, J. Social Network Analysis. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publishing; 2012.Google Scholar
39. Freeman, LC. Centrality in social networks conceptual clarification. Soc Networks. 1978-1979;1(3):215-239. https://doi.org/10.1016/0378-8733(78)90021-7.Google Scholar
40. Jordan, IK, Mariño-Ramírez, L, Wolf, YI, et al. Conservation and coevolution in the scale-free human gene coexpression network. Mol Biol Evol. 2004;21(11):2058-2070. https://doi.org/10.1093/molbev/msh222.Google Scholar
41. Greene, JA, Choudhry, NK, Kilabuk, E, et al. Online social networking by patients with diabetes: a qualitative evaluation of communication with Facebook. J Gen Intern Med. 2011;26(3):287-292. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11606-010-1526-3.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
42. Randolph, W, Viswanath, K. Lessons learned from public health mass media campaigns: marketing health in a crowded media world. Annu Rev Public Health. 2004;25(1):419-437. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.publhealth.25.101802.123046.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
43. Larson, HJ, Cooper, LZ, Eskola, J, et al. Addressing the vaccine confidence gap. Lancet. 2011;378(9790):526-535. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(11)60678-8.Google Scholar
44. Glik, DC. Risk communication for public health emergencies. Annu Rev Public Health. 2007;28(1):33-54. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.publhealth.28.021406.144123.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
45. Hawn, C. Take two aspirin and tweet me in the morning: how Twitter, Facebook, and other social media are reshaping health care. Health Aff (Millwood). 2009;28(2):361-368. https://doi.org/10.1377/hlthaff.28.2.361.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
46. McNab, C. What social media offers to health professionals and citizens. Bull World Health Organ. 2009;87(8):566. https://doi.org/10.2471/BLT.09.066712.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
47. Rimal, RN, Lapinski, MK. Why health communication is important in public health. Bull World Health Organ. 2009;87(4):247-247a. https://doi.org/10.2471/BLT.08.056713.Google Scholar
48. Wakefield, MA, Loken, B, Hornik, RC. Use of mass media campaigns to change health behaviour. Lancet. 2010;376(9748):1261-1271. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(10)60809-4.Google Scholar