Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-xbtfd Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-07T21:21:32.018Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Explaining Social Movements in Two Oil-Exporting States: Divergent Outcomes in Nigeria and Iran

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  03 June 2009

Edmund Burke III
Affiliation:
University of California, Santa Cruz
Paul Lubeck
Affiliation:
University of California, Santa Cruz

Extract

If one were to survey social movements in the last decade that were inextricably linked to global socioeconomic processes, the significant social movements that have emerged in Islamic oil-producing countries could hardly escape notice. Since nine oil-exporting states possess Muslim majorities, there appears to be an objective relationship between the global consequences of the post–1973 oil-price revolution and the socioeconomic transformation of Muslim populations. Although most Muslim states experienced social movements in this period, it is clear that in the oil-producing Islamic countries, the particular social impact and institutional location of petroleum rents greatly intensified the disruption of urban social networks. Indeed, the cases of Shi‘ite Iran and Muslim northern Nigeria indicate how this disruptive element may have contributed to Islamic revolutionary movements which, though having quite distinct goals, ideologies, and social bases, remain inexplicable without analyzing the consequences of the petroleum boom on the relationship between state and society.

Type
The Politics of Change
Copyright
Copyright © Society for the Comparative Study of Society and History 1987

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

1 See, for example, Amuzegar, J., “Oil and Wealth: A Very Mixed Blessing,” Foreign Affairs, 60:4 (04 1982), 814–35CrossRefGoogle Scholar; and Pipes, D., “The Curse of Oil Wealth,” The Atlantic (07 1982), 1925Google Scholar.

2 For of a typical example of export-commodity determinism, see the work of Wallerstein, Immanuel, notably his The Capitalist World Economy (New York: Cambridge University Press, 1979)Google Scholar. Cultural determinism is, of course, the predominant paradigm used in analyzing Islamic societies. For a typical example, see Paden, John, Religion and Political Culture in Kano (Berkeley: University of California Press, 1974)Google Scholar. Sometimes, as in the work of Daniel Pipes, the two are run together. In his “‘This World is Political!!’ The Islamic Revival of the Seventies,” Orbis, 24 (Spring 1980), 941Google Scholar, Pipes not only manages to confuse the Saudi-backed Nigerian ‘Yan Izala movement with that of ‘Yan Tatsine (discussed here), but puts forward his own theory of commodity determinism (p. 40).

3 See for example, Skocpol, Theda, States and Social Revolution (New York: Cambridge University Press, 1979)CrossRefGoogle Scholar. In her later analysis of the Iranian revolution, Rentier State and Shi’a Islam in the Iranian Revolution,” Theory and Society, 11 (05 1982), 265–83Google Scholar, however, Skocpol shifts her ground and adopts a culturalist explanation. The mystificatory powers of orientalist discourse have rarely been better illustrated.

4 For an excellent overview of the transformations associated with the petroleum boom, see Richards, Alan, “Oil, Agriculture, and the State: A Research Agenda,” in State and Agriculture in Nigeria, Watts, Michael, ed. (Berkeley: Institute for International Studies, University of California, Berkeley, forthcoming)Google Scholar.

5 For the Nigerian case, see Watts, Michael, Silent Violence (Berkeley: University of California Press, 1983), esp. ch. 8Google Scholar, “Food, Agriculture, and the Oil Boom, 1970–1980.” On Iran, see Katouzian, Homa, The Political Economy of Modern Iran, 1926–1979 (New York: New York University Press, 1981)CrossRefGoogle Scholar.

6 For a thorough analysis of the “cheap food solution,” see Janvry, Alain de, The Agrarian Question and Reformism in Latin America (Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1979)Google Scholar.

7 On the comparison of Muslim and European cities, see Lapidus, Ira, Muslim Cities in the Later Middle Ages (Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 1968)Google Scholar; and Hodgson, Marshall, The Venture of Islam, 3 vols. (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1979)Google Scholar.

8 On the role of the ulama, see Lapidus, , Muslim Cities; and Keddie, N. R., ed., Scholars, Saints, and Sufis (Berkeley and Los Angeles: University of California Press, 1973)Google Scholar.

9 This is argued at greater length in Lubeck, Paul, Islam and Urban Labor: The Making of a Muslim Working Class in Northern Nigeria (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1986)Google Scholar. For a parallel discussion of the impact of social change and industrialization on the English working class, see Thompson, Edward P., “Time, Work-Discipline, and Industrial Capitalism,” Past and Present, no. 38 (1967), 5697CrossRefGoogle Scholar.

10 Of comparative interest is the Egyptian experience, on which an interesting literature is beginning to accumulate. On this, see Goldberg, Ellis. Tinker, Tailor, and Textile Worker: Class and Politics in Egypt, 1930–1954 (Berkeley: University of California Press, 1986)Google Scholar.

11 On urban protest in the Middle East, see Burke, Edmund, III, “Understanding Arab Protest Movements,” Arab Studies Quarterly, 8:4(1986), 333–45Google Scholar. Also see Raymond, Andre, “Quartiers et mouvements populaires au Caire au XVIIIe siècle,” in Political and Social Change in Modern Egypt, Holt, P. M., ed. (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1968), 104–16Google Scholar; and Baer, Gabriel, “Popular Revolt in Ottoman Cairo,” Der Islam, 54:2(1977), 213–42CrossRefGoogle Scholar.

12 See Algar, Hamid, “The Oppositional Role of the Iranian Ulama,” in Scholars, Saints, and Sufis, Keddie, , ed., 231–55Google Scholar.

13 The population of Nigeria is unknown. We accept the estimate of the World Bank (87 million). We argue that Nigeria is at least half Muslim because of the population density in the northern precolonial Muslim states, the rapid rate of Islamization among the Yoruba, and the pronounced tendency of urban migrants to affiliate as Muslims.

14 On the Saudi Arabian events of November 1979, see Paul, Jim, “Insurrection at Mecca,” Middle East Research and Information Project Reports (hereafter cited as M.E.R.I.P.), no. 91 (10 1980), 34Google Scholar; and Ghassane Salameh, “Political Power and the Saudi State,” Ibid., 5–22.

15 On the recent political economy of Nigeria, see Kirk-Greene, A. and Rimmer, D., Nigeria since 1970: A Political and Economic Outline (London: Hodder and Stoughton, 1981)Google Scholar; Bienen, Henry and Diejomaoh, V. R., eds., The Political Economy of Income Distribution in Nigeria (New York: Holmes and Meier, 1981)Google Scholar; Beckman, B., “Whose State: State and Capitalist Development in Nigeria,” Review of African Political Economy, 23 (1982), 3751CrossRefGoogle Scholar; and Forrest, Tom, “State Capital, Capitalist Development, and Class Formation in Nigeria,” in The African Bourgeoisie, Lubeck, Paul, ed. (Boulder, Colo.: Lynne Rienner Publications, 1987)Google Scholar.

16 It is interesting to contrast this with the experience of Iran, where the Mossadegh government's comparatively modest nationalist program led to its overthrow by Western intelligence services. The survival of the politically weak Iranian monarchy was seen by Iranians to depend upon its Western backers. Viewed through Nigerian spectacles, the shah's regime had two strikes against it. It was obviously not nationalist, and the survival of the dynasty, rather than the interests of merchant and industrial groups, came first: Thus it had no class base when the chips were down.

17 Shea, Philip, “The Development of an Export-Oriented Dyed-Cloth Industry in Kano Emirate” (Ph.D. diss., University of Wisconsin, Madison, 1975)Google Scholar.

18 See Paul Lubeck, “Industrial Labor in Kano” (147–69), and Shea, Philip, “Approaching the Study of Production in Rural Kano” (93115), both in A History of Kano, Barkindo, B., ed., Studies in the History of Kano (Ibadan: Heinemann, 1983)Google Scholar.

19 These statistics are taken from Watts, Silent Violence, 483.

20 Statistics are from R. Sarly, “Urban Development Strategy in Metropolitan Kano,” unpublished World Bank paper (1981), cited in Frishman, Alan, “Urban Transportation Decisions in Kano,” Department of Economics, Hobart and William Smith Colleges (1982), manuscript, 12Google Scholar.

21 For example, cement construction is being replaced"by traditional mud-brick construction, mostly because of labor cost increases. Similarly, motorized transport is replacing pushcarts and head porterage.

22 See Lubeck, Paul, “Class Formation at the Periphery: The Convergence of Class and Islamic National Consciousness,” in The Sociology of Work: Worker's Consciousness, , R. and Simpson, I., eds. (Greenwich, Conn.: J.A.I. Press, 1981), 3770Google Scholar. See also Lubeck, Islam and Urban Labor.

23 On the tradition of West African Mahdism, see Hodgkin, Thomas, “Mahdism, Messianism, and Marxism in the African Setting,” in Sudan in Africa, Hasan, Yusuf Fadl, ed. (Khartoum: n.p., 1971), 109–27Google Scholar.

24 Maganar Kano (Kano), (19 12 1980), p. 8Google ScholarPubMed. We wish to thank Ahmed Bako for his assistance in translating this article.

25 Nigerian Standard (JOS), (13 02 1981), p. 1Google ScholarPubMed.

26 On which see Abrahamian, Ervand, Iran between Two Revolutions (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1981), esp. ch. 11Google Scholar.

27 See Algar, “Oppositional Role.” Also see Keddie, Nikki, “Iran: De l’indépendence religieuse à l’opposition politique,” Le monde diplomatique (08 1977), 1112Google Scholar.

28 For an overview of modem Iranian history, see Keddie, Nikki, Roots of Revolution: An Interpretive History of Modern Iran (New Haven: Yale University Press, 1981)Google Scholar; and Abrahamian, Iran between Two Revolutions.

29 On the general performance of the Iranian economy in the 1970s, see Abrahamian, Ervand, “Structural Causes of the Iranian Revolution,” M.E.R.I.P., no. 87 (05 1980), 2126Google Scholar; Graham, Robert, Iran: The Illusion of Power (New York: St. Martin's Press, 1979)Google Scholar; Halliday, Fred, Iran: Dictatorship and Development (New York: Penguin Books, 1979), chs. 5–6Google Scholar; and Katouzian, Homa, The Political Economy of Modern Iran (New York: New York University Press, 1981)CrossRefGoogle Scholar.

30 On the impact of the boom on Iranian agriculture, see, in addition to the general works cited in note 28, Hooglund, Eric J., Land and Revolution in Iran, 1960–1980 (Austin: University of Texas Press, 1981)Google Scholar. See also the special issue of M.E.R.I.P.: "Iran's Revolution: The Rural Dimension,” (no. 87, (05 1980))Google Scholar; and Katouzian, H., “Oil versus Agriculture: A Case of Dual Resource Depletion in Iran,” Journal of Peasant Studies, 5 (04 1978), 347–69CrossRefGoogle Scholar.

31 On this, see Hooglund, , “The Khwushnishin Population of Iran,” Iranian Studies, 6 (Autumn 1973), 229–45CrossRefGoogle Scholar.

32 The key error was the government attempt to control agricultural commodity prices for staples. By a complex series of economic linkages, under the impact of the oil boom real food prices rose sharply in the cities as demand surged, and imports of foodstuffs increased sharply, while agricultural production of staples remained stagnant or even declined. These factors, together with the higher wages available in the cities (especially in construction) and fixed commodity prices, led many peasants to desert the land or switch to non-staple (and non-pricecontrolled) commodities. On this, see Salmanzadeh, Cyrus, Agricultural Change and Rural Society in Southern Iran (Cambridge, England: Middle East and North African Studies Press, 1980)Google Scholar.

33 Abrahamian, “Structural Causes,” 21–26; and Hooglund, Eric, “Rural Participation in the Revolution,” MERIP, no. 87 (05 1980), 36CrossRefGoogle Scholar.

34 This at least is the conclusion of one study. See Brun, Thierry and Dumont, René, “Iran: Des prétentions impériales à la dépendence alimentaire,” Peuples Méditerraneens/Mediterranean Peoples, no. 2 (01/03 1978), 324Google Scholar.

35 See Kazemi, Farhad, Poverty and Revolution in Iran (New York: New York University Press, 1980)Google Scholar.

36 See Keddie, N. R., “Religion, Society, and Revolution in Modern Iran,” in Modern Iran: The Dialectics of Continuity and Change, Bonine, Michael and Keddie, Nikki, eds. (Albany: State University of New Yoik Press, 1981), 137Google Scholar.

37 On the impact of the educational reforms on the Shi’ite clergy, see Fischer, Michael, Iran: From Religious Dispute to Revolution (Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 1980)Google Scholar; and Akhavi, Shahrough, Religion and Politics in Contemporary Iran (Albany: State University of New York, 1980)Google Scholar.

38 On the disputed legacy of Shari’ati, see Abrahamian, Ervand, “Ali Shari’ati: Ideologue of the Iranian Revolution,” M.E.R.I.P., no. 102, (01 1982), 2428Google Scholar.

39 On the guerrillas, see Abrahamian, Ervand, “The Guerrilla Movement in Iran, 1963–1977,” M.E.R.I.P., no. 86 (03/04 1980), 321Google Scholar.

40 See, for example, the work of Farhad Kazemi, especially Poverty and Revolution in Iran, and his Urban Migrants and the Revolution,” Iranian Studies, 13 (1980), 257–78CrossRefGoogle Scholar. Also see Hooglund, “Rural Participation.”

41 Scholars have recently drawn attention to the ways in which Shi’ite doctrine has evolved in modem times. See, for a summary of this discussion, Keddie, “Religion, Society, and Revolution”; and Said Arjomand, Amir, “Religion, Political Action, and Legitimate Domination in Shi’ite Iran: Fourteenth to Eighteenth Centuries A.D.,” Archives europeennes de sociologie, 20:1(1979), 59109CrossRefGoogle Scholar.