Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-g8jcs Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-30T15:23:09.744Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Xi Jinping in Command: Solving the Principal–Agent Problem in CCP–PLA Relations?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  10 November 2017

Chien-wen Kou*
Affiliation:
National Chengchi University, Taiwan. Email: [email protected].

Abstract

The PLA has been a key player in Chinese elite politics since 1949. However, a series of developments over the last four years has prompted China watchers to re-evaluate Party–military relations. This paper argues that CCP–PLA relations in the Xi Jinping era are characterized by the centralization of power in a single civilian individual. This centralization is reflected by events such as a new emphasis on the CMC chairman responsibility system, the establishment of new coordination bodies under the top leader, radical reforms to the military command structure, the promotion of Xi's public image as the top leader, and large-scale personnel reshuffes during which Xi's trustees have gradually come to occupy key military posts while his rivals have been removed. For Xi, these measures are an antidote to the principal–agent problem in CCP–PLA relations caused by both information asymmetry and the discrepant interests of civilian leaders and the top brass of the PLA.

摘要

自 1949 年以后, 解放军一直是中国政治中的重要行为者。在过去四年中, 一连串的最新发展刺激外界观察家重新评估习近平时代的党军关系。本文主张, 习近平时代党军关系的最重要特征是权力集中在单一文职领导人身上, 具体现象包括重新强调军委主席负责制、在最高领导人领导之下建立新的跨部门协调机制、大规模改革军事指挥系统、积极塑造习近平为三军统帅的公共形象, 以及大规模人事调动。在人事调动的过程中, 习近平的亲信逐渐担任重要军职, 而政敌则逐渐被移除。对习近平来说, 这些做法都是解决最高领导人和高级将领之间, 因信息不对称和利益不一致而引起的委托代理问题。

Type
Special section: The People's Liberation Army in the Xi Jinping Era
Copyright
Copyright © SOAS University of London 2017 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Allen, Kenneth W., and Corbett, John F. Jr. 2004. “Predicting PLA leader promotions.” In Scobell, Andrew and Wortzel, Larry (eds.), Civil–Military Change in China: Elites, Institutes, and Ideas after the 16th Party Congress . Carlisle, PA: US Army War College, 257277.Google Scholar
Beech, Habbah. 2016. “China's chairman builds a cult of personality,” The Times, 11 April, 36–39.Google Scholar
Cao, Zhi, et al. 2015. “Xi zhuxi he zhongyang junwei yunchou sheji shenhua guofang he jundui gaige jishi” (A record of Chairman Xi and the Central Military Commission's plans and designs to deepen the reform of national defence and the armed forces), Renmin wang, 31 December, http://cpc.people.com.cn/n1/2015/1231/c64094-27997805.html. Accessed 12 April 2016.Google Scholar
Gong, Fangbin. 2015. “Guojia anquan weiyuanhui sheli hou de anquan guanli” (Security management after the establishment of the National Security Commission), Xuexi shibao, 11 November, http://www.studytimes.cn/zydx/ZLGL/ZHANLCK/2015-11-11/1206.html. Accessed 12 April 2016.Google Scholar
Hu, Weixing. 2016. “Xi Jinping's ‘big power diplomacy’ and China's Central National Security Commission (CNSC).” Journal of Contemporary China 25(98), 163177.Google Scholar
Huntington, Samuel P. 1985[1957]. The Soldier and the State: The Theory and Politics of Civil–Military Relations. Cambridge, MA: Belknap Press.Google Scholar
Kiser, Edgar. 1999. “Comparing varieties of agency theory in economics, political science, and sociology: an illustration from state policy implementation.” Sociological Theory 17(2), 146170.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kou, Chien-wen. 2010. Zhonggong jingying zhengzhi de yanbian: zhiduhua yu quanli zhuanyi, 1978–2010 (The Evolution of Chinese Elite Politics: Institutionalization and Power Transfer, 1978–2010) . Taipei: Wunan Book Co.Google Scholar
Kou, Chien-wen. 2011. “1987 nian yihou jiefangjun lingdaoren de zhengzhi liudong: zhuanyehua yu zhiduhua de yingxiang” (The political mobility of PLA leaders after 1987: the impact of professionalism and institutionalization). Zhongguo dalu yanjiu 54(2), 134.Google Scholar
Lampton, David M. 2014. Following the Leader: Ruling China, From Deng Xiaoping to Xi Jinping. Berkeley, CA: University of California Press.Google Scholar
Lampton, David M. 2015. “Xi Jinping and the National Security Commission: policy coordination and political power.” Journal of Contemporary China 24(95), 759777.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Li, Cheng. 2015. “Promoting ‘young guards’: the recent high turnover in the PLA leadership (part I: purges and reshuffles).” China Leadership Monitor 48, http://www.hoover.org/research/promoting-young-guards-recent-high-turnover-pla-leadership-part-i-purges-and-reshuffles. Accessed 12 April 2016.Google Scholar
Liu, Yan. 2014. “Jiefangjun xinyidai 148 ming shangjiang ruogan jiegou pouxi” (Some structural analysis of the 148 PLA senior generals of the new generation), Renmin wang, 24 February, http://dangshi.people.com.cn/BIG5/n/2014/0224/c85037-24449462-3.html. Accessed 12 April 2016.Google Scholar
Ma, Ya. 2015. “Women de duiwu xiang taiyang: xinshiqi Zhongguo jundui de shiming yu dandang – zhuanfang guofang daxue keyanbu buzhang Qin Tian shaojiang” (Our troops face the sun: the mission and responsibility of the Chinese military in the new era – an interview with Major General Qin Tian, head of the Scientific Research Department of National Defence University), Renmin wang, 27 May, http://theory.people.com.cn/n/2015/0527/c143844-27062618.html. Accessed 12 April 2016.Google Scholar
Miller, Gary J. 2005. “The political evolution of principal–agent models.” Annual Review of Political Science 8, 203225.Google Scholar
Mulvenon, James. 2015. “The yuan stops here: Xi Jinping and the ‘CMC Chairman Responsibility System’.” China Leadership Monitor 47, http://www.hoover.org/research/yuan-stops-here-xi-jinping-and-cmc-chairman-responsibility-system. Accessed 12 April 2016.Google Scholar
Shambaugh, David. 2002. Modernizing China's Military: Progress, Problems, and Prospects. Berkeley, CA: University of California Press.Google Scholar
Shih, Victor Chun-Hon. 2008. “‘Nauseating’ displays of loyalty: monitoring the factional bargain through ideological campaigns in China.” Journal of Politics 70(4), 116.Google Scholar
Wang, Heyan. 2015. “Erpao fuzhengwei Zhang Dongshui lüxin buman 14 tian beicha shibada hou reng bu shoushou” (Deputy commissar of the second artillery force Zhang Dongshui investigated less than 14 days after his inauguration at the post: continued wrongdoings after the 18th Party Congress), Caixin wang, 3 March, http://china.caixin.com/2015-03-03/100787229.html. Accessed 12 April 2016.Google Scholar
Wang, Shuo. 2015. “Guo Boxiong chenfu” (The rise and fall of Guo Boxiong), Caixin wang, 30 July, http://china.caixin.com/2015-07-30/100834676.html. Accessed 12 April 2016.Google Scholar
Wu, Ming. 2015. “Zhongsu wojun lingdao zhihui tizhi shi qiangjun xingjun de biran xuanze” (Reorganizing the command structure of our military is an inevitable decision towards a strong and modernized military), Jiefang jun bao, 30 November, http://www.81.cn/jfjbmap/content/2015-11/30/node_7.htm. Accessed 12 April, 2016.Google Scholar
Ye, Bing. 2015. “Xu Caihou shangjiang luoma (1): yi she quandou ji bozhou mimou” (The fall of General Xu Caihou (1): the probable involvement in power struggles and the Bo and Zhou plot), Voice of America, 11 August, http://www.voachinese.com/content/top-general-invesgated-20140701/1948242.html. Accessed 12 April 2016.Google Scholar
You, An. 2015. “Jiedi junhu: zhiqingzhe baoliao Guo Zhenggang tanfu neiqing” (Revealing the inside story of military tigers: insiders' leaks reveal the corruption story of Guo Zenggang), Duowei xinwen, 2 March, http://china.dwnews.com/big5/news/2015-03-02/59638483.html. Accessed 12 April 2016.Google Scholar
You, Ji, 2016. “China's National Security Commission: theory, evolution and operations.Journal of Contemporary China 25(98), 178196.Google Scholar
Yue, Feifei. 2015. “Jiemi junzhong dahu gaowei gangwei zhenggong guanyuan luoma bili zuigao” (Revealing high-risk military posts: the ratio of fallen political officers is the highest), Sohu xinwen, 27 April, http://news.sohu.com/20150427/n411946102.shtml. Accessed 12 April 2016.Google Scholar
Zhou, Yu. 2015. “Wang Yufa bei che zhengxie weiyuan zige, ceng yu 3 wei luoma jiangling you jiaoji” (Wang Yufa deprived of membership in the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference, having connections with three fallen generals), Dagong wang, 29 August, http://news.takungpao.com/mainland/topnews/2015-08/3148383.html. Accessed 12 April 2016.Google Scholar
Zhu, Ningzhu. 2014. “Xi Jinping to lead national security commission,” Xinhuanet, 24 January, http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/china/2014-01/24/c_133071876.htm.Google Scholar