P117: Does an age-adjusted D-dimer threshold provide adequate sensitivity in ED patients investigated for pulmonary embolism?

Abstract

Introduction: The D-dimer assay is a high sensitivity, low specificity test used to rule out pulmonary embolism (PE) in low risk ED patients. Patients with a positive D-dimer result will likely undergo CT imaging to confirm the diagnosis. Given the time, cost, and radiation exposure associated with CT, and the higher false-positive rate in older patients, an age-adjusted D-dimer threshold may be preferred. Our objective was to evaluate the sensitivity and specificity of an age-adjusted D-dimer and approximate the downstream effect on CT imaging utilization. Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study conducted using administrative data from Calgary emergency departments between July 2013 and January 2015. Eligible patients were individuals aged 50 and older who were undergoing PE workup including D-dimer testing. Outcomes were ascertained using CT imaging reports and by searching the regional administrative database for subsequent diagnosis of PE within 30 days of the index visit. These data were used to calculate the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of the D-dimer test using the standard threshold (500 ng/mL) and an age-adjusted threshold (10 ng/mL x patient age as an integer). From this, the potential reduction in CT imaging use and missed PE diagnoses were modeled. Results: Of 6669 patients aged 50 or older who had D-dimer testing for possible PE, 1504 (22.6%) underwent a CT scan, and 217 (14.4% of CT) received a discharge diagnosis of pulmonary embolism, which was confirmed on chart review. When test results were re-interpreted using an age-adjusted threshold, D-dimer specificity increased from 63.9% to 75.4%, while sensitivity decreased from 96.5% to 89.9%. This translates to 888 new true negatives, representing CT scans potentially avoided (a 59% reduction in CT utilization), but with 18 new missed PE diagnoses. Conclusion: The age-adjusted threshold may reduce use of CT imaging among older patients suspected of PE, but at the cost of more missed PE diagnoses.