Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-fbnjt Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-07T23:11:43.123Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

Insect pest complexes associated with wheat and canola crops in the Canadian Prairies Ecozone: pest risk in response to variable climates using bioclimatic models

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  11 July 2022

R.M. Weiss ,
M.A. Vankosky Open the ORCID record for M.A. Vankosky [Opens in a new window]  and
O. Olfert Open the ORCID record for O. Olfert [Opens in a new window]
R.M. Weiss
Affiliation:
Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, Saskatoon Research and Development Centre, 107 Science Place, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, S7N 0X2, Canada
M.A. Vankosky*
Affiliation:
Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, Saskatoon Research and Development Centre, 107 Science Place, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, S7N 0X2, Canada
O. Olfert
Affiliation:
Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, Saskatoon Research and Development Centre, 107 Science Place, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, S7N 0X2, Canada
*
*Corresponding author. Email: [email protected]
Get access Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

Wheat, Triticum aestivum Linnaeus (Poaceae), and canola, Brassica napus Linnaeus (Brassicaceae), yield is at risk from insects, weeds, and pathogens. Insects must adapt to both seasonal and annual weather patterns and are known to respond to climate with changes in their distribution and relative abundance. Subsequently, risk to crop production also changes. Models that account for multiple species can serve to assess risk and address those risks proactively by monitoring, detecting, and managing insect pests. Bioclimatic models, developed individually for nine insect pests, were used to create a model to estimate risk to canola and wheat crops associated with the activity of multiple pest species. Once developed, the multiple-species model was used to analyse how crop risk responds to variation in temperature and precipitation across the prairies. For this analysis, we compared insect response and subsequent risk (a measure of the number of co-occurring pest species) to canola and wheat in current climate conditions and six incremental scenarios (warmer, cooler, drier, wetter, cooler and wetter, and warmer and drier). Results of the multiple-species model predict how pest complexes respond to climate conditions. The model will help increase risk awareness associated with insect pests.

Type
Research Paper
Information
The Canadian Entomologist , Volume 154 , Issue 1 , 2022 , e32
Check for updates
Copyright
© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the Entomological Society of Canada.

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

Subject editor: Deepa Pureswaran

References

Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada. 2021. Canada: outlook for principal field crops. Available from https://agriculture.canada.ca/en/canadas-agriculture-sectors/crops/reports-and-statistics-data-canadian-principal-field-crops/canada-outlook-principal-field-crops-2021-07-20 [accessed 5 September 2021].Google Scholar
Alberta Agriculture and Forestry. 2020. Economic Dashboard – wheat prices – all provinces. Available from https://economicdashboard.alberta.ca/GrainPrices#interprovincial [accessed 5 February 2021].Google Scholar
Basedow, T. 1977. The effects of temperature and precipitation on diapause and phenology of the wheat blossom midges Contarinia tritici and Sitodiplosis mosellana (Diptera: Cecidomyiidae). Zoologische Jahrbücher: Abteilung für Systematik, Ökologie und Geographie der Tiere, 104: 302–326. [In German.]Google Scholar
Campbell, C.A., Zentner, R.P., Gameda, S., Blomert, B., and Wall, D.D. 2002. Production of annual crops on the Canadian prairies: trends during 1976–1998. Canadian Journal of Soil Science, 82: 45–57.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dosdall, L.M., Weiss, R.M., Olfert, O., and Carcamo, H.A. 2002. Temporal and geographical distribution patterns of cabbage seedpod weevil (Coleoptera: Curculionidae) in canola. The Canadian Entomologist, 134: 403–418. https://doi.org/10.4039/Ent134403-3.Google Scholar
Ecological Framework of Canada. 2021. Prairies ecozone. Available from http://www.ecozones.ca/english/zone/Prairies/ecoregions.html [accessed 5 February 2021].Google Scholar
Elliott, R.H., Mann, L., and Olfert, O. 2009. Calendar and degree-day requirements for emergence of adult wheat midge, Sitodiplosis mosellana (Géhin) (Diptera: Cecidomyiidae) in Saskatchewan, Canada. Crop Protection, 28: 588–594.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Haye, T., Olfert, O., Weiss, R.M., Gariepy, T.D., Broadbent, B., and Kuhlmann, U. 2013. Bioclimatic analyses of distributions of a parasitoid Peristenus digoneutis and its host species Lygus spp. in Europe and North America. Agricultural and Forest Entomology, 15: 43–55.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kirkwood, V., Bootsma, A., de Jong, R., Dumanski, J., Hiley, J.C., Huffman, E.C., et al. 1993. Agroecological resource area databases for the prairies: user’s manual. CLBRR Contribution No. 93–17. Technical Bulletin 1993-13E. Agriculture Canada Centre for Land and Biological Resources Research, Government of Canada, Ottawa, Canada.Google Scholar
Kriticos, D.J., Maywald, G.F., Yonow, T., Zurcher, E.J., Herrmann, N.I., and Sutherst, R.W. 2015. CLIMEX Version 4: exploring the effects of climate on plants, animals and diseases. Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, Canberra, Australia.Google Scholar
Kriticos, D.J., Webber, B.L., Leriche, A., Ota, N., Macadam, I., Bathols, J., and Scott, J.K. 2012. CliMond: global high-resolution historical and future scenario climate surfaces for bioclimatic modelling. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 3: 53–64.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lehmann, P., Ammunét, T., Barton, M., Battisti, A., Eigenbrode, S.D., Jepsen, J.U., et al. 2020. Complex responses of global insect pests to climate warming. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 18: 141–150.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lui, J., Mori, B., Olfert, O., and Hallett, R. 2019. Determining temperature-dependent development and mortality parameters of the swede midge (Contarinia nasturtii) (Diptera: Cecidomyiidae). Journal of Economic Entomology, 112: 1665–1675.Google Scholar
Mason, P.G., Olfert, O., Sluchinski, L., Weiss, R.M., Boudrealt, C., Grossrieder, M., and Kuhlmann, U. 2003. Actual and potential distribution of an invasive canola pest, Meligethes viridescens (Coleoptera: Nitidulidae), in Canada. The Canadian Entomologist, 135: 405–413. https://doi.org/10.4039/n02-046.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
McGinn, S.M. 2010. Weather and climate patterns in Canada’s prairie grasslands. In Arthropods of Canadian grasslands. Edited by Shorthouse, J.D. and Floate, K.D.. Biological Survey of Canada, Ottawa, Canada. Pp. 105–119.Google Scholar
Mika, A.M., Weiss, R.M., Olfert, O., Hallett, R.H., and Newman, R.H. 2008. Will climate change be beneficial or detrimental to the invasive swede midge in North America? Contrasting predictions using climate projections from different general circulation models. Global Change Biology, 14: 1721–1733.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Oerke, E.C. 2006. Crop losses to pests. The Journal of Agricultural Science, 144: 31–43.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Olfert, O. and Chapco, W. 2001. Analysis of historical surveys and genetic diversity of grasshopper populations to assess risk. In Final Technical Report for Activities 3a and 3c, Agri-Food Innovation Fund Project #92000132: Integrated Management of Cropland Pests. Edited by Thomas, A.G.. Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, Saskatoon Research and Development Centre, Saskatoon, Canada.Google Scholar
Olfert, O., Hallett, R.H., Weiss, R.M., Soroka, J., and Goodfellow, S. 2006. Potential distribution and relative abundance of swede midge, Contarinia nasturtii, an invasive pest in Canada. Entomologia Experimentalis et Applicata, 120: 221–228.Google Scholar
Olfert, O. and Weiss, R.M. 2006a. Impact of climate change on potential distributions and relative abundances of Oulema melanopus, Meligethes viridescens and Ceutorhyncus obstrictus in Canada. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment, 113: 295–301.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Olfert, O. and Weiss, R.M. 2006b. Bioclimatic model of Melanoplus sanguinipes (Fabricius) (Orthoptera: Acrididae) populations in Canada and the potential impacts of climate change. Journal of Orthoptera Research, 15: 65–77.Google Scholar
Olfert, O., Weiss, R.M., Cárcamo, H.A., and Meers, S. 2012a. The influence of abiotic factors on an invasive pest of pulse crops, Sitona lineatus (L.) (Coleoptera: Curculionidae), in North America. Psyche, 2012: 1–11.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Olfert, O., Weiss, R.M., Catton, H., Carcamo, H., and Meers, S. 2019. Bioclimatic assessment of abiotic factors affecting relative abundance and distribution of wheat stem sawfly (Hymenoptera: Cephidae) in western Canada. The Canadian Entomologist, 151: 16–33. https://doi.org/10.4039/tce.2018.46.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Olfert, O., Weiss, R.M., and Elliott, R.H. 2016. Bioclimatic approach to assessing the potential impact of climate change on wheat midge (Diptera: Cecidomyiidae) in North America. The Canadian Entomologist, 148: 52–67. https://doi.org/10.4039/tce.2015.40.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Olfert, O., Weiss, R.M., Elliott, R.H., and Soroka, J.J. 2017. Bioclimatic approach to assessing the potential impact of climate change on two flea beetle (Coleoptera: Chrysomelidae) species in Canada. The Canadian Entomologist, 149: 616–627. https://doi.org/10.4039/tce.2017.39.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Olfert, O., Weiss, R.M., Giffen, D., and Vankosky, M.A. 2021. Modeling ecological dynamics of a major agricultural pest insect (Melanoplus sanguinipes; Orthoptera: Acrididae): a cohort-based approach incorporating the effects of weather on grasshopper development and abundance. Journal of Economic Entomology, 114: 122–130.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Olfert, O., Weiss, R.M., and Kriticos, D. 2011. Application of general circulation models to assess the potential impact of climate change on potential distribution and relative abundance of Melanoplus sanguinipes (Fabricius) (Orthoptera: Acrididae) in North America. Psyche, 2011: 1–9.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Olfert, O., Weiss, R.M., Soroka, J.J., and Elliott, R.H. 2018. Bioclimatic approach to assessing factors influencing shifts in geographic distribution and relative abundance of two flea beetle species (Coleoptera: Chrysomelidae) in North America. The Canadian Entomologist, 150: 66–79. https://doi.org/10.4039/tce.2017.51.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Olfert, O., Weiss, R.M., Turkington, K., Beckie, H., and Kriticos, D. 2012b. Bioclimatic approach to assessing the potential impact of climate change on representative crop pests in North America. Canadian Weed Science Society, Pinawa, Manitoba, Canada.Google Scholar
Olfert, O., Weiss, R.M., Vankosky, M., Hartley, S., and Doane, J.F. 2020. Modelling the tri-trophic population dynamics of a host crop (Triticum aestivum; Poaceae), a major pest insect (Sitodiplosis mosellana; Diptera: Cecidomyiidae), and a parasitoid of the pest species (Macroglenes penetrans; Hymenoptera: Pteromalidae): a cohort-based approach incorporating the effects of weather. The Canadian Entomologist, 152: 311–329. https://doi.org/10.4039/tce.2020.17.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Olfert, O., Weiss, R.M., Woods, S., Philip, H., and Dosdall, L. 2004. Potential distribution and relative abundance of an invasive cereal crop pest, Oulema melanopus (Coleoptera: Chrysomelidae), in Canada. The Canadian Entomologist, 136: 277–287. https://doi.org/10.4039/n03-073.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pickford, R. 1972. The effects of climatic factors on egg survival and fecundity in grasshoppers. In International study conference on current and future problems of acridology. Edited by Hemming, C.F. and Taylor, T.H.C.. Centre for Overseas Pest Research, London, United Kingdom. Pp. 257–260.Google Scholar
Sauchyn, D., Barrow, E., Hopkinson, R., and Leavitt, P. 2002. Aridity on the Canadian Plains. Géographie physique et Quaternaire, 56: 247–259.Google Scholar
Soroka, J.J., Grenkow, L., Otani, J., Gavloski, J., and Olfert, O. 2018. Flea beetle (Coleoptera: Chrysomelidae) species in canola (Brassicaceae) on the northern Great Plains of North America. The Canadian Entomologist, 150: 100–115. https://doi.org/10.4039/tce.2017.60.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sutherst, R.W. 2000. Climate change and invasive species: a conceptual framework. In Invasive species in a changing world. Edited by Mooney, H.A. and Hobbs, R.J.. Island Press, Washington, United States of America. Pp. 211–240.Google Scholar
Taylor, S. and Kumar, L. 2012. Sensitivity analysis of CLIMEX parameters in modelling potential distribution of Lantana camara L. PLOS One, 7: e40969.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed