Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-dsjbd Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-05T02:39:51.408Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Politically connected polluters under smog

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  20 January 2017

Abstract

I conduct an event study of an exogenous pollution shock-smog in the winter of 2013 to examine how the market values of firms in polluting industries and environmental protecting industries, respectively, responded in “the world's worst polluter”: China. I first show that politically connected polluters, defined by having at least one board member who was a former local bureaucrat, are more likely to be state owned and in debt. During the 21 days of the smog, polluters experienced a cumulative abnormal return of −5.38%, while protectors had a cumulative abnormal return of 3.50%. However, politically connected polluters were less susceptible to the shock: they experienced a 1% greater positive abnormal return than unconnected polluters. Connected protectors also benefited from a greater 1% abnormal return than unconnected protectors. The findings imply that environmental disasters have distributional effects, and support a theory that links rent-seeking behavior to pollution.

Type
Research articles
Copyright
Copyright © V.K. Aggarwal 2015 and published under exclusive license to Cambridge University Press 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Acemoglu, Daron, Johnson, Simon, Kermani, Amir, Kwak, Todd, and Mitton, James. 2013. “The Value of Connections In Turbulent Times: Evidence from the United States.” NBER Working Paper No. 19701. National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA.Google Scholar
Agrawal, Anup, and Knoeber, Charles R. 2001. “Do Some Outside Directors Play a Political Role?Journal of Law & Economics 44: 179198.Google Scholar
Aidt, Toke S. 1998. “Political Internalization of Economic Externalities and Environmental Policy.” Journal of Public Economics 69 (1): 116.Google Scholar
Ang, Yuen Yuen, and Jia, Nan. 2014. “Perverse Complementarity: Political Connections and the Use of Courts among Private Firms in China.” The Journal of Politics 76 (2): 318332.Google Scholar
Becker, Gary S. 1968. “Crime and Punishment: An Economic Approach.” The Journal of Political Economy 76 (2): 169217.Google Scholar
Becker, Gary S. 1983. “A Theory of Competition Among Pressure Groups for Political Influence.” The Quarterly Journal of Economics 98 (3): 371400.Google Scholar
Bernhard, William, and Leblang, David. 2006. Democratic Processes and Financial Markets: Pricing Politics. New York, NY: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Boubakri, Narjess, Cosset, Jean-Claude, and Saffar, Walid. 2008. “Political Connections of Newly Privatized Firms.” Journal of Corporate Finance 14 (5): 654673.Google Scholar
Cao, Xun, and Prakash, Aseem. 2010. “Trade Competition and Domestic Pollution: A Panel Study, 1980–2003.” International Organization 64 (3): 481503.Google Scholar
Cao, Xun, and Prakash, Aseem. 2012. “Trade Competition and Environmental Regulations: Domestic Political Constraints and Issue Visibility.” The Journal of Politics 74 (1): 6682.Google Scholar
Capelle-Blancard, Gunther, and Laguna, Marie-Aude. 2010. “How Does the Stock Market Respond to Chemical Disasters?Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 59 (2): 192205.Google Scholar
Chen, Yuyu, Ebenstein, Avraham, Greenstone, Michael, and Li, Hongbin. 2013. “Evidence on the Impact of Sustained Exposure to Air Pollution on Life Expectancy from China's Huai River Policy.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 110 (32): 1293612941.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Coase, Ronald Harry. 1960. “The Problem of Social Cost.” Journal of Law and Economics 3: 144.Google Scholar
Cole, Matthew A. 2007. “Corruption, Income and the Environment: An Empirical Analysis.” Ecological Economics 62 (3): 637647.Google Scholar
Cropper, Maureen L., and Oates, Wallace E. 1992. “Environmental Economics: A Survey.” Journal of Economic Literature 30 (2): 675740.Google Scholar
Dasgupta, Susmita, Ho Hong, Jong, Laplante, Benoit, and Mamingi, Nlandu. 2006. “Disclosure of Environmental Violations and Stock Market in the Republic of Korea.” Ecological Economics 58 (4): 759777.Google Scholar
Deily, Mary E., and Gray, Wayne B. 2007. “Agency Structure and Firm Culture: OSHA, EPA, and the Steel Industry.” Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization 23 (3): 685709.Google Scholar
Economy, Elizabeth. 2010. The River Runs Black: The Environmental Challenge to China's Future. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press.Google Scholar
Evans, Peter. 1995. Embedded Autonomy: States and Industrial Transformation. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Faccio, Mara. 2006. “Politically Connected Firms.” The American Economic Review 96 (1): 369386.Google Scholar
Fama, Eugene F., and Jensen, Michael C. 1983. “Separation of Ownership and Control.” Journal of Law & Economics 26 (2): 301325.Google Scholar
Ferguson, Thomas, and Voth, Hans-Joachim. 2008. “Betting on Hitler The Value of Political Connections in Nazi Germany.” The Quarterly Journal of Economics 123 (1): 101137.Google Scholar
Fisman, Raymond. 2001. “Estimating the Value of Political Connections.” The American Economic Review 91 (4): 10951102.Google Scholar
Fredriksson, Per G., and Svensson, Jakob. 2003. “Political Instability, Corruption and Policy Formation: The Case of Environmental Policy.” Journal of Public Economics 87 (7): 13831405.Google Scholar
Gray, Wayne B., and Deily, Mary E. 1996. “Compliance and Enforcement: Air Pollution Regulation in the US Steel Industry.” Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 31 (1): 96111.Google Scholar
Gray, Wayne B., and Shimshack, Jay P. 2011. “The Effectiveness of Environmental Monitoring and Enforcement: A Review of the Empirical Evidence.” Review of Environmental Economics and Policy 5 (1): 324.Google Scholar
Greenstone, Michael, and Kelsey Jack, B. 2013. “Envirodevonomics: A Research Agenda for a Young Field.” NBER Working Paper No. 19426. National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA.Google Scholar
Grossman, Gene M., and Krueger, Alan B. 1995. “Economic Growth and the Environment.” The Quarterly Journal of Economics 110 (2): 353377.Google Scholar
Hamilton, James T. 1995. “Pollution as News: Media and Stock Market Reactions to the Toxics Release Inventory Data.” Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 28 (1): 98113.Google Scholar
Holzinger, Katharina, Knill, Christoph, and Sommerer, Thomas. 2008. “Environmental Policy Convergence: The Impact of International Harmonization, Transnational Communication, and Regulatory Competition.” International Organization 62 (4): 553587.Google Scholar
Hsueh, Roselyn. 2011. China's Regulatory State: A New Strategy for Globalization. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press.Google Scholar
Jayachandran, Seema. 2006. “The Jeffords Effect.” Journal of Law and Economics 49 (2): 397425.Google Scholar
Johnson, Simon, and Mitton, Todd. 2003. “Cronyism and Capital Controls: Evidence from Malaysia.” Journal of Financial Economics 67 (2): 351382.Google Scholar
Kagan, Robert A., Gunningham, Neil, and Thornton, Dorothy. 2003. “Explaining Corporate Environmental Performance: How Does Regulation Matter?Law & Society Review 37 (1): 5190.Google Scholar
Karpoff, Jonathan M., Lott, John R. Jr., and Wehrly, Eric W. 2005. “The Reputational Penalties for Environmental Violations: Empirical Evidence.” Journal of Law and Economics 48 (2): 653675.Google Scholar
Khwaja, Asim Ijaz, and Mian, Atif. 2011. “Rent Seeking and Corruption in Financial Markets.” Annual Review of Economics 3 (1): 579600.Google Scholar
Klein, Benjamin, and Leffler, Keith B. 1981. “The Role of Market Forces in Assuring Contractual Performance.” The Journal of Political Economy 89 (4): 615641.Google Scholar
Konisky, David M. 2007. “Regulatory Competition and Environmental Enforcement: Is There a Race to the Bottom?American Journal of Political Science 51 (4): 853872.Google Scholar
Kossmann, Meinolf, and Sturman, Andrew. 2004. “The Surface Wind Field During Winter Smog Nights in Christchurch and Coastal Canterbury, New Zealand.” International Journal of Climatology 24 (1): 93108.Google Scholar
Laguna, Marie-Aude. 2009. “Unexpected Media Coverage and Stock Market Returns: Evidence from Chemical Disasters.” Working Paper EFMA 2009. Available from http://alturl.com/hgyyb. Accessed November 28, 2014.Google Scholar
Lim, Stephen S., Vos, Theo, Flaxman, Abraham D., Danaei, Goodarz, Shibuya, Kenji, Adair-Rohani, Heather, Amann, Markus, Ross Anderson, H., Andrews, Kathryn G., Aryee, Martin, Atkinson, Charles, Bacchus, Loraine J., Bahalim, Adil N., Balakrishnan, Kalpana, Balmes, John, Barker-Collo, Suzanne, Baxter, Amanda, Bell, Michelle L., Blore, Jed D., Blyth, Fiona, Bonner, Carissa, Borges, Guilherme, Bourne, Rupert, Boussinesq, Michel, Brauer, Michael, Brooks, Peter, Bruce, Nigel G., Brunekreef, Bert, Bryan-Hancock, Claire, Bucello, Chiara, Buchbinder, Rachelle, Bull, Fiona, Burnett, Richard T., Byers, Tim E., Calabria, Bianca, Carapetis, Jonathan, Carnahan, Emily, Chafe, Zoe, Charlson, Fiona, Chen, Honglei, Shen Chen, Jian, Tai-Ann Cheng, Andrew, Christine Child, Jennifer, Cohen, Aaron, Ellicott Colson, K., Cowie, Benjamin C., Darby, Sarah, Darling, Susan, Davis, Adrian, Degenhardt, Louisa, Dentener, Frank, Des Jarlais, Don C., Devries, Karen, Dherani, Mukesh, Ding, Eric L., Dorsey, E. Ray, Driscoll, Tim, Edmond, Karen, Ali, Suad Eltahir, Engell, Rebecca E., Erwin, Patricia J., Fahimi, Saman, Falder, Gail, Farzadfar, Farshad, Ferrari, Alize, Finucane, Mariel M., Flaxman, Seth, Fowkes, Francis Gerry R., Freedman, Greg, Freeman, Michael K., Gakidou, Emmanuela, Ghosh, Santu, Giovannucci, Edward, Gmel, Gerhard, Graham, Kathryn, Grainger, Rebecca, Grant, Bridget, Gunnell, David, Gutierrez, Hialy R, Hall, Wayne, Hoek, Hans W., Hogan, Anthony, Hosgood, H. Dean III, Hoy, Damian, Hu, oward, Hubbell, Bryan J., Hutchings, Sally J., Ibeanusi, Sydney E., Jacklyn, Gemma L., Jasrasaria, Rashmi, Jonas, Jost B., Kan, Haidong, Kanis, John A., Kassebaum, Nicholas, Kawakami, Norito, Khang, Young-Ho, Khatibzadeh, Shahab, Khoo, Jon-Paul, Kok, Cindy, Laden, Francine, Lalloo, Ratilal, Lan, Qing, Lathlean, Tim, Leasher, Janet L., Leigh, James, Li, Yang, Lin, John Kent, Lipshultz, Steven E., London, Stephanie, Lozano, Rafael, Lu, Yuan, Mak, Joelle, Malekzadeh, Reza, Mallinger, Leslie, Marcenes, Wagner, March, Lyn, Marks, Robin, Martin, Randall, McGale, Paul, McGrath, John, Mehta, Sumi, Memish, Ziad A., Mensah, George A., Merriman, Tony R., Micha, Renata, Michaud, Catherine, Mishra, Vinod, Hanafiah, Khayriyyah Mohd, Mokdad, Ali A., Morawska, Lidia, Mozaffarian, Dariush, Murphy, Tasha, Naghavi, Mohsen, Neal, Bruce, Nelson, Paul K, Nolla, Joan Miquel, Norman, Rosana, Olives, Casey, Omer, Saad B., Orchard, Jessica, Osborne, Richard, Ostro, Bart, Page, Andrew, Pandey, Kiran D., Parry, Charles D. H., Passmore, Erin, Patra, Jayadeep, Pearce, Neil, Pelizzari, Pamela M., Petzold, Max, Phillips, Michael R., Pope, Dan, Pope, C. Arden III, Powles, John, Rao, Mayuree, Razavi, Homie, Rehfuess, Eva A., Rehm, Jürgen T., Ritz, Beate, Rivara, Frederick P., Roberts, Thomas, Robinson, Carolyn, Rodriguez-Portales, Jose A., Romieu, Isabelle, Room, Robin, Rosenfeld, Lisa C., Roy, Ananya, Rushton, Lesley, Salomon, Joshua A., Sampson, Uchechukwu, Sanchez-Riera, Lidia, Sanman, Ella, Sapkota, Amir, Seedat, Soraya, Shi, Peilin, Shield, Kevin, Shivakoti, Rupak, Singh, Gitanjali M., Sleet, David A., Smith, Emma, Smith, Kirk R., Stapelberg, Nicolas J.C., Steenland, Kyle, Stöckl, Heidi, Stovner, Lars Jacob, Straif, Kurt, Straney, Lahn, Thurston, George D., Tran, Jimmy H., Dingenen, Rita Van, Donkelaar, Aaron van, Veerman, J. Lennert, Vijayakumar, Lakshmi, Weintraub, Robert, Weissman, Myrna M., White, Richard A., Whiteford, Harvey, Wiersma, Steven T., Wilkinson, James D., Williams, Hywel C., Williams, Warwick, Wilson, Nicholas, Woolf, Anthony D., Yip, Paul, Zielinski, Jan M., Lopez, Alan D., Murray, Christopher J.L., and Ezzati, Majid. 2012. “A Comparative Risk Assessment of Burden of Disease and Injury Attributable to 67 Risk Factors and Risk Factor Clusters in 21 Regions, 1990–2010: A Systematic Analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010.” The Lancet 380 (9859): 22242260.Google Scholar
Lorentzen, Peter, Landry, Pierre F., and Yasuda, John. 2014. “Undermining Authoritarian Innovation: The Power of China's Industrial Giants.” Journal of Politics 76 (1): 182194.Google Scholar
MacKinlay, A. Craig. 1997. “Event Studies in Economics and Finance.” Journal of Economic Literature 35 (1): 1339.Google Scholar
Muller, Nicholas Z., and Mendelsohn, Robert. 2009. “Efficient Pollution Regulation: Getting the Prices Right.” The American Economic Review 99 (5): 17141739.Google Scholar
Potoski, Matthew, and Prakash, Aseem. 2005. “Green Clubs and Voluntary Governance: ISO 14001 and Firms’ Regulatory Compliance.” American Journal of Political Science 49 (2): 235248.Google Scholar
Prakash, Aseem. 2000. Greening the Firm: The Politics of Corporate Environmentalism. New York, NY: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Prakash, Aseem, and Potoski, Matthew. 2006. “Racing to the Bottom? Trade, Environmental Governance, and ISO 14001.” American Journal of Political Science 50 (2): 350364.Google Scholar
Roberts, Brian E. 1990. “A Dead Senator Tells No Lies: Seniority and the Distribution of Federal Benefits.” American Journal of Political Science 31 (1): 3158.Google Scholar
Schattschneider, Elmer E. 1960. The Semi-Sovereign People: A Realist's View of Democracy in America. Boston, MA: Wadsworth Publishing.Google Scholar
Seaton, Anthony, Godden, D., MacNee, W., and Donaldson, K. 1995. “Particulate Air Pollution and Acute Health Effects.” The Lancet 345 (8943): 176178.Google Scholar
Shipan, Charles R., and Lowry, William R. 2001. “Environmental Policy and Party Divergence in Congress.” Political Research Quarterly 54 (2): 245263.Google Scholar
Steinfeld, Edward S. 2000. Forging Reform in China: The Fate of State-Owned Industry. New York, NY: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Stigler, George J. 1970. “The Optimum Enforcement of Laws.” The Journal of Political Economy 78 (3): 526536.Google Scholar
Stigler, George J. 1971. “The Theory of Economic Regulation.” The Bell Journal of Economics and Management Science 2 (1): 321.Google Scholar
Sun, Pei, Xu, Haoping, and Zhou, Jian. 2011. “The Value of Local Political Capital in Transition China.” Economics Letters 110 (3): 189192.Google Scholar
Urpelainen, Johannes. 2012. “How do Electoral Competition and Special Interests Shape the Stringency of Renewable Energy Standards?Environmental Economics and Policy Studies 14 (1): 2334.Google Scholar
Wang, Yuhua. 2013. “Beyond Local Protectionism.” University of Pennsylvania Working Paper. Available from http://alturl.com/wnkv8. Accessed November 28, 2014.Google Scholar
Wang, Yuhua. 2015. Tying the Autocrat's Hands: The Rise of the Rule of Law in China. New York, NY: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Ward, Hugh, Cao, Xun, and Mukherjee, Bumba. 2013. “State Capacity and the Environmental Investment Gap in Authoritarian States.” Comparative Political Economy 47 (3): 309343.Google Scholar
Wood, B. Dan. 1992. “Modeling Federal Implementation as a System: The Clean Air Case.” American Journal of Political Science 36 (1): 4067.Google Scholar
Xu, X. D., Zeng, S. X., and Tam, C. M. 2012. “Stock Markets Reaction to Disclosure of Environmental Violations: Evidence from China.” Journal of Business Ethics 107 (2): 227237.Google Scholar