Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-dsjbd Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-28T13:40:19.982Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

Base rates and randomness

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 December 1997

Ranald R. Macdonald
Ranald R. Macdonald
Affiliation:
Department of Psychology, University of Stirling, Stirling, FK9 4LA, [email protected] www.stir.ac/departments/humansciences/psychology/staff/rrm1
Get access Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

In base rate problems the estimated probability must equal the base rate only where random sampling is assumed. Otherwise there is uncertainty over and above that which can be included in any probability model and inductive inference is involved. Subjects should use base rates to the extent that the problem suggests a simple random sampling model.

Type
Continuing Commentary
Information
Behavioral and Brain Sciences , Volume 20 , Issue 4 , December 1997 , pp. 778
Copyright
© 1997 Cambridge University Press

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)