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Implications of real-world distributions and the conversation game for studies of human probability judgments
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 29 October 2007
Abstract
Subjects in experiments use real-life strategies that differ significantly from those assumed by experimenters. First, true randomness is rare in both natural and constructed environments. Second, communication follows conventions which depend on the game-theoretic aspects of situations. Third, in the common rhetorical stance of storytelling, people do not tell about the representative but about unusual, exceptional, and rare cases.
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- Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2007
References
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