Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-xbtfd Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-04T20:09:30.358Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Finite Time Ruin Problems for Perturbed Experience Rating and Connection with Discounting Risk Models

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  29 August 2014

F. Abikhalil*
Affiliation:
Université Libre de Bruxelles
*
Université Libre de Bruxelles, École de Commerce en CEME, CP135, Av. F. D. Roosevelt, 1050 Bruxelles, Belgium.
Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

Core share and HTML view are not available for this content. However, as you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button.

We consider a generalisation of a risk process under experience rating when the aggregation of claims up to time t is a Brownian motion (B.M.) with a drift. We prove that the distribution of ruin before time t is equivalent to the distribution of the first passage time of B.M. for parabolic boundary.

Using Wald identity for continuous time we give an explicit formula for this distribution. A connection is made with discounting risk model when the income process is a diffusion.

When the aggregation of claims is a mixture of B.M. and compound Poisson process, we give (using Gerber's result 1973) an upper bound for the distribution of finite time ruin probability.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © International Actuarial Association 1986

References

Arnold, L. (1974) Stochastic Differential Equations. Wiley: New York.Google Scholar
Daniels, D. A. (1979) The Minimum of a Stationary Markov Process Superimposed on a U-Shaped Tend. J. Appl. Prob. 6, 399408.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dunford, N. and Schwartz, J. (1958) Linear Operators. Interscience Publishers: New-York.Google Scholar
Gerber, H. (1973) Martingales in Risk Theory. Mitteilungen der Vereinigung Schweizerischer Versicherungsmathematiker 73, 205216.Google Scholar
Gerber, H. (1975) The Surplus Process as a Fair Game Utilitywise. The Astin Bulletin 8, 307322.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gihman, and Skorohod, (1972) Stochastic Differential Equations. Springer Verlag.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Harrison, J. M. (1977) Ruin Problems with Compounding Assets. Stochastic Processes and their Applications 5(1).CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Janssen, J. and Delfosse, Ph. (1982) Some Numerical Aspects in Transient Risk Theory. The Astin Bulletin 13, 99103.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pentikainen, T. (1982) Solvency of Insurers and Equalization Reserves, Vol. I. General Aspects. Insurance Publishing Company Ltd.: Helsinki.Google Scholar
Rentala, J. (1982) Solvency of Insurers and Equalization Reserves, Vol. II. Risk Theoretical Model. Insurance Publishing Company Ltd.: Helsinki.Google Scholar
Ruohonen, M. (1980) On the Probability of Ruin of Risk Process Approximated by a Diffusion Process. Scand. Actuarial J. 113120.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Shepp, L. A. (1969) Explicit Solutions to Some Problems of Optimal Stopping. Annals of Mathematical Statistics 40.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Taylor, G. C. (1979) Probability of Ruin under inflationary Conditions or under Experience Rating. The Astin Bulletin 10, 149162.CrossRefGoogle Scholar