Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-g7gxr Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-04T16:29:40.820Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Shortcuts Versus Encyclopedias: Information and Voting Behavior in California Insurance Reform Elections

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 September 2013

Arthur Lupia
Affiliation:
University of California, San Diego

Abstract

Voters in mass elections are notorious for their apparent lack of information about relevant political matters. While some scholars argue that an electorate of well-informed voters is necessary for the production of responsive electoral outcomes, others argue that apparently ignorant voters will suffice because they can adapt their behavior to the complexity of electoral choice. To evaluate the validity of these arguments, I develop and analyze a survey of California voters who faced five complicated insurance reform ballot initiatives. I find that access to a particular class of widely available information shortcuts allowed badly informed voters to emulate the behavior of relatively well informed voters. This finding is suggestive of the conditions under which voters who lack encyclopedic information about the content of electoral debates can nevertheless use information shortcuts to vote as though they were well informed.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 1994

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Bartels, Larry M. 1990. “Public Opinion and Political Interests.” Presented at the annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago.Google Scholar
Belsley, David A., Kuh, Edwin, and Welch, Roy E.. 1980. Regression Diagnostics: Identifying Influential Data and Sources of Collinearity. New York: Wiley.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Brady, Henry E., and Sniderman, Paul M.. 1985. “Attitude Attribution: A Group Basis for Political Reasoning.” American Political Science Review 79:1061–78.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
California. Department of Insurance. 1988. Preliminary Report on Private Passenger Automobile Liability Experience by Zip Code. Los Angeles: California Department of Insurance.Google Scholar
California. Department of Insurance. Consumer Affairs Division. 1987. Study of the Availability and Affordability of Automobile Insurance in Los Angeles County. Prepared by Gillespie, Roxani M., Brookhart, Everett, and Al-Faris, Khalid. Los Angeles: California Department of Insurance.Google Scholar
California. Department of Insurance. Statistical Services Unit. 1988a. Claim Cost for Bodily Injury and Property Damage Liability by Zip Code and County. Los Angeles: California, Department of Insurance.Google Scholar
California. Department of Insurance. Statistical Services Unit. 1988b. Claim Frequency of Bodily Injury and Property Damage Liability by Zip Code and County. Los Angeles: California Department of Insurance.Google Scholar
California. Department of Insurance. Statistical Services Unit. 1988c. Claim Frequency of Uninsured Motorist Accidents by Zip Code and County. Los Angeles: California, Department of Insurance.Google Scholar
Calvert, Randall L. 1985. “The Value of Biased Information: A Rational Choice Model of Political Advice.” Journal of Politics 47:530–55.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Campbell, Angus, Converse, Philip E., Miller, Warren E., and Stokes, Donald E.. 1960. The American Voter. New York: Wiley.Google Scholar
Crawford, Vincent, and Sobel, Joel. 1982. “Strategic Information Transmission.” Econometrica 50:1431–51.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cronin, Thomas E. 1989. Direct Democracy: The Politics of Referendum, Initiative, and Recall. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Downs, Anthony. 1957. An Economic Theory of Democracy. New York: Harper & Row.Google Scholar
Feldman, Stanley, and Conover, Pamela Johnston. 1986. “Emotional Reactions to the Economy: I'm as Mad as Hell and I'm Not Going To Take It Anymore.” American journal of Political Science 30:5078.Google Scholar
Fiorina, Morris P. 1981. Retrospective Voting in American National Elections. New Haven: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Gerber, Elisabeth R., and Lupia, Arthur. 1993. “When Do Campaigns Matter? Informed Votes, the Heteroscedastic Logit, and the Responsiveness of Electoral Outcomes.” Social Science Working Paper no. 814. California Institute of Technology.Google Scholar
Grofman, Bernard, and Norrander, Barbara. 1990. “Efficient Use of Reference Group Cues in a Single Dimension.” Public Choice 64:213–17.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Key, V. O. Jr., 1966. The Responsible Electorate. New York: Vintage.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kuklinski, James H., Metlay, Daniel S., and May, W. D.. 1982. “Citizen Knowledge and Choice on the Complex Issue of Nuclear Energy.” American Journal of Political Science 26:615–42.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lupia, Arthur. 1992. “Busy Voters, Agenda Control, and the Power of Information.” American Political Science Review 86:390404.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lupia, Arthur. 1993. “Credibility and the Responsiveness of Direct Legislation.” In Political Economy: Institutions, Competition, and Representation, ed. Barnett, William A., Schofield, Norman J. and Hinich, Melvin J.. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Lupia, Arthur. N.d. “The Effect of Information on Voting Behavior and Electoral Outcomes: An Experimental Study of Direct Legislation.” Public Choice. Forthcoming.Google Scholar
McKelvey, Richard D., and Ordeshook, Peter C.. 1985. “Elections with Limited Information: A Fulfilled Expectations Model Using Contemporaneous Poll and Endorsement Data as Information Sources.” Journal of Economic Theory 36:5585.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
McKelvey, Richard D., and Ordeshook, Peter C.. 1986. “Information, Electoral Equilibria, and the Democratic Ideal.” Journal of Politics 48:909–37.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Magleby, David B. 1984. Direct Legislation: Voting on Ballot Propositions in the United States. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Milgrom, Paul, and Roberts, John. 1986. “Relying on the Information of Interested Parties.” Rand Journal of Economics 17:1832.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Page, Benjamin I., and Shapiro, Robert Y.. 1992. The Rational Public: Fifty Years of Trends in Americans' Policy Preferences. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Popkin, Samuel L. 1991. The Reasoning Voter: Communication and Persuasion in Presidential Campaigns. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Reich, Kenneth. 1987a. “Insurance Lobby Study Cites Large Gifts to Politicians by Trial Lawyers.” Los Angeles Times, 20 06, sec. I.Google Scholar
Reich, Kenneth. 1987b. “Accord over Revised Laws for Insurance Believed Near.” Los Angeles Times, 30 11, sec. I.Google Scholar
Reich, Kenneth. 1988a. “Bid To Qualify Five Insurance Initiatives Is in High Gear.” Los Angeles Times, 15 02, sec. I.Google Scholar
Reich, Kenneth. 1988b. “Lawyers Stop TV Ads.” Los Angeles Times, 15 10, sec. I.Google Scholar
Spence, Michael. 1973. “Job Market Signaling.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 87:355–74.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sobel, Joel. 1985. “A Theory of Credibility.” Review of Economic Studies 52:557–73.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Submit a response

Comments

No Comments have been published for this article.