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The President, Referendum Voting, and Subnational Elections in the United States

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 August 2014

Dennis M. Simon ,
Charles W. Ostrom Jr.  and
Robin F. Marra
Dennis M. Simon
Affiliation:
Southern Methodist University
Charles W. Ostrom Jr.
Affiliation:
Michigan State University
Robin F. Marra
Affiliation:
Southern Methodist University
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Abstract

This research is designed to generalize a referendum voting model and investigate its ability to account for the aggregate outcomes of elections for the House, Senate, governorships, and upper and lower chambers of state legislatures. Our analysis shows that these outcomes are influenced by the same systematic short- and long-term forces. In addition to this common referendum structure, the analysis reveals that there is a common response to random shocks, a subtle form of interdependence found in systems of seemingly unrelated regressions.

Type
Articles
Information
American Political Science Review , Volume 85 , Issue 4 , December 1991 , pp. 1177 - 1192
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 1991

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