Hostname: page-component-f554764f5-nqxm9 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2025-04-18T02:00:31.912Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

The Consequences of Negotiated Settlements in Civil Wars, 1945–1993

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 September 2013

Roy Licklider
Roy Licklider
Affiliation:
Rutgers University
Get access Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

We know very little about how civil wars end. Harrison Wagner has argued that negotiated settlements of civil wars are likely to break down because segments of power-sharing governments retain the capacity for resorting to civil war while victory destroys the losers' organization, making it very difficult to resume the war. An analysis of a data set of 91 post-1945 civil wars generally supports this hypothesis but only in wars over identity issues. Moreover, while military victories may be less likely to break down than negotiated settlements of identity civil wars, they are also more likely to be followed by acts of genocide. Outsiders concerned with minimizing violence thus face a dilemma.

Type
Research Notes
Information
American Political Science Review , Volume 89 , Issue 3 , September 1995 , pp. 681 - 690
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 1995

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Article purchase

Temporarily unavailable

References

Bell, J. Bowyer. 1972. “Societal Patterns and Lessons: The Irish Case.” In Civil Wars in the Twentieth Century, ed. Higham, Robin. Lexington: University Press of Kentucky.Google Scholar
Blainey, Geoffrey. 1988. The Causes of War. New York: Free Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bregan, Patrick. 1990. The Fighting Never Stopped: A Comprehensive Guide to World Conflict since 1945. New York: Random House.Google Scholar
Burton, John W. 1987. Resolving Deep-rooted Conflict: A Handbook. Lanham, MD: University Press of America.Google Scholar
Gurr, Ted Robert. 1990. “Ethnic Warfare and the Changing Priorities of Global Security.” Mediterranean Quarterly 1:82–98.Google Scholar
Harff, Barbara. 1992. “Recognizing Genocides and Politicides.” In Genocide Watch, ed. Fein, Helen. New Haven: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Iklé, Fred C. 1971. Every War Must End. New York: Columbia University Press.Google Scholar
Licklider, Roy. 1988. “Civil Violence and Conflict Resolution: A Framework for Analysis.” Presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association, St. Louis.Google Scholar
Licklider, Roy. 1992. “State Formation after Civil War: Making Peace Pay.” Presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association, Atlanta.Google Scholar
Licklider, Roy. 1993. Stopping the Killing: How Civil Wars End. New York: New York University Press.Google Scholar
Licklider, Roy. 1995. “Explaining Defeat and Justifying Cooperation After Civil Wars.” Presented at the Proseminar on Political Mobilization and Conflict, New School for Social Research, New York, and the Center for Historical Analysis, Rutgers University, New Brunswick.Google Scholar
Maoz, Zeev. 1984. “Peace by Empire: Conflict Outcomes and International Stability, 1816–1976.” Journal of Peace Research 21:227–41.Google Scholar
Miall, Hugh. 1992. The Peacemakers: Peaceful Settlement of Disputes since 1945. New York: St. Martin's.Google Scholar
Modelski, George. 1964. “International Settlement of Internal Wars.” In International Aspects of Civil Strife, ed. Rosenau, James N.. Princeton: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Pillar, Paul R. 1983. Negotiating Peace: War Termination as a Bargaining Process. Princeton: Princeton University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Schelling, Thomas C. 1966. Arms and Influence. New Haven: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Sivard, Ruth Leger. 1992. World Military and Social Expenditures 1991. 14th ed.Washington: World Priorities.Google Scholar
Sivard, Ruth Leger. 1993. World Military and Social Expenditures 1993. 15th ed.Washington: World Priorities.Google Scholar
Small, Melvin, and David Singer, J.. 1982. Resort to Arms: International and Civil Wars, 1816–1980. 2d ed.Beverly Hills: Sage.Google Scholar
Smith, Anthony D. 1986. “Conflict and Collective Identity: Class, Ethnie, and Nation.” In International Confita Resolution, ed. Azar, Edward D. and Burton, John W.. Boulder: Rienner.Google Scholar
Smith, Martin. 1991. Burma: Insurgency and the Politics of Ethnicity. London: Zed Books.Google Scholar
Spencer, Claire. 1994. “Algeria in Crisis.” Survival 36:149–63.Google Scholar
Stedman, Stephen John. 1991. Peacemaking in Civil War: International Mediation in Zimbabwe, 1974–1980. Boulder: Rienner.Google Scholar
Sullivan, Michael J. 1994. “Ethnicity and War in the Post–Cold War Era.” Presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association, Washington.Google Scholar
Tilly, Charles. 1978. From Mobilization to Revolution. Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley.Google Scholar
Wagner, Robert Harrison. 1993. “The Causes of Peace.” In Stopping The Killing, ed. Licklider, Roy. New York: New York University Press.Google Scholar
Wedge, Bryant. 1986. “Psychology of the Self in Social Conflict.” In International Conflict Resolution, ed. Azar, Edward D. and Burton, John W.. Boulder: Rienner.Google Scholar
Zartman, I. William. 1993. “The Unfinished Agenda: Negotiating Internal Conflicts.” In Stopping the Killing, ed. Licklider, Roy. New York: New York University Press.Google Scholar
Zartman, I. William. 1995. Elusive Peace: Negotiating an End to Civil Wars 1995–1996. Washington: Brookings Institution.Google Scholar
Submit a response

Comments

No Comments have been published for this article.