Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-t8hqh Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-28T01:19:13.218Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Measuring the uncertainty of population forecasts: a comparison of two approaches

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 July 2016

Joel E. Cohen*
Affiliation:
Rockefeller University

Abstract

Image of the first page of this content. For PDF version, please use the ‘Save PDF’ preceeding this image.'
Type
Inference for Stochastic Processes
Copyright
Copyright © Applied Probability Trust 1985 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Furstenberg, H. and Kesten, H. (1960) Products of random matrices. Ann. Math. Statist. 31, 457469.Google Scholar
Hall, P. and Heyde, C. C. (1980) Martingale Limit Theory and Its Applications. Academic Press, New York.Google Scholar
Heyde, C. C. (1985) On inference for demographic projection of small populations. In Proceedings of the Neyman-Kiefer Memorial Conference , ed. Olshen, R..Google Scholar
Heyde, C. C. and Cohen, J. E. (1985) Confidence intervals for demographic projections based on products of random matrices. Theoret. Popn Biol. Google Scholar
Stoto, M. A. (1983) The accuracy of population projections. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 78, 1320.Google Scholar
Williams, W. H. and Goodman, M. L. (1971) A simple method for the construction of empirical confidence limits for economic forecasts. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 66, 752754.CrossRefGoogle Scholar