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The maximum size of a closed epidemic

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 July 2016

H. E. Daniels
H. E. Daniels*
Affiliation:
University of Birmingham
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Abstract

An approximation is found to the distribution of the maximum number of infectives present at any time during the course of a closed epidemic. The technique used is applicable to a commonly occurring type of random walk problem where there is a curved absorbing boundary which is far from the mean path except over a narrow range.

Keywords

EPIDEMICSRANDOM WALKSCURVED BOUNDARY
Type
Research Article
Information
Advances in Applied Probability , Volume 6 , Issue 4 , December 1974 , pp. 607 - 621
Copyright
Copyright © Applied Probability Trust 1974 

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References

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