Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-xbtfd Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-07T03:29:16.375Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

12 - Urban futures

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 June 2012

Kevin J. Gaston
Affiliation:
University of Sheffield
Get access

Summary

In this chapter, I review some of the extensive literature on urbanisation to examine the future of urban growth and its impact on the biosphere. I argue that the relatively few ecological studies on urbanisation thus far have typically focused on the environmental impact of cities at local spatial scales when we also need to consider urban impacts at regional and global scales. By expanding our view of urban impacts beyond describing local environmental impacts, it becomes clear that cities can provide opportunities for biological conservation at many spatial scales. For example, cities concentrate human populations and produce economies of scale that can reduce per capita human impact on the atmosphere and on regional watersheds, as well as on local air quality. A ‘sustainable’ city is thus not just a city that sustains its own existence. Rather it is a city that contributes to the long-term persistence of the biosphere and indeed the global environment (McGranahan & Satterthwaite 2003). Ecologists should therefore find and recommend ways that urban impacts can be reduced on regional and global scales as well as the local scale. To that end, this chapter devotes considerable discussion on ways to create more sustainable cities.

The future growth of cities

The proportion of humanity living in urban areas has consistently increased in recent decades, from just 10% in 1900 to 50% in 2007. Put another way, the twentieth century witnessed a ten-fold increase in urban populations.

Type
Chapter
Information
Urban Ecology , pp. 287 - 308
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2010

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Andersson, E., Barthel, S. and Ahrne, K. (2007). Measuring social-ecological dynamics behind the generation of ecosystem services. Ecological Applications, 17, 1267–78.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Babbitt, C. W. and Lindner, A. S. (2008). A life cycle comparison of disposal and beneficial use of coal combustion products in Florida. International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment, 13, 555–63.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bech, J., Poschenrieder, C., Llugany, M.et al. (1997). Arsenic and heavy metal contamination of soil and vegetation around a copper mine in Northern Peru. Science of the Total Environment, 203, 83–91.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bettencourt, L. M., Lobo, J. and Helbing, D. (2007). Growth, innovation, scaling, and the pace of life in cities. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA, 104, 7301–6.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Borgstrom, G. (1972). The Hungry Planet: The Modern World at the Edge of Famine, 2nd edn. New York: Macmillan.Google Scholar
Brown, L. R. (2001). Eco-Economy: Building an Economy for the Earth. New York: Norton.Google Scholar
Brunner, P. H., Daxbeck, H. and Baccini, P. (1994). Industrial metabolism at the regional and local level: a case-study on a Swiss region. In Ayres, R. U. and Simonis, E. E., eds., Industrial Metabolism: Restructuring for Sustainable Development. Tokyo: UN University Press, pp. 163–93.Google Scholar
Brunner, P. H. (2007). Reshaping urban metabolism. Journal of Industrial Ecology, 11, 11–13.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cazplicka-Kolarz, K., Wachowicz, J. and Bojarska-Kraus, M. (2004). A life cycle method for assessment of a colliery's eco-indicator. International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment, 9, 247–53.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Choi, Y., Temperton, V. M., Allen, E. B., Grootjans, A. P. and Torok, K. (2008). Ecological restoration for future sustainability in a changing environment. Ecoscience, 15, 53–64.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cohen, B. (2006). Urbanization in developing countries: current trends, future projections, and key challenges for sustainability. Technology in Society, 28, 63–80.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Colding, J. (2007). Ecological land-use complementation for building resilience in urban ecosystems. Landscape and Urban Planning, 81, 46–55.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Connolly, P. (1999). Mexico City: our common future?Environment and Urbanization, 11, 53–78.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Czech, B., Krausman, P. R. and Devers, P. K. (2000). Economic associations among causes of species endangerment in the United States. BioScience, 50, 593–601.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Decker, H., Elliott, S., Smith, F. A., Blake, D. R. and Sherwood Rowland, F. A. (2000). Energy and material flow through the urban ecosystem. Annual Review of Energy and the Environment, 25, 685–740.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Devictor, V., Julliard, R., Couvet, D., Lee, A. and Jiguet, F. (2007). Functional homogenization effect of urbanization on bird communities. Conservation Biology, 21, 741–51.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Donato, D. B., Nichols, O. and Possingham, H. (2007). A critical review of the effects of gold cyanide-bearing tailings solutions on wildlife. Environment International, 33, 974–84.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Doughty, M. R. and Hammond, G. P. (2004). Sustainability and the built environment at and beyond the city scale. Building and Environment, 39, 1223–33.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Edderai, D. and Dame, M. (2006). A census of the commercial bushmeat market in Yaounde, Cameroon. Oryx, 40, 472–5.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ehrlich, P. (1968). The Population Bomb. New York: Ballantine.Google Scholar
Elberling, B., Sondergaard, J. and Jensen, L. A. (2007). Arctic vegetation damage by winter-generated coal mining pollution released upon thawing. Environmental Science and Technology, 41, 2407–13.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Erwin, K. L. (2009). Wetlands and global climate change: the role of wetland restoration in a changing world. Wetlands Ecology and Management, 17, 71–84.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fetridge, E. D., Ascher, J. S. and Langellotto, G. A. (2008). The bee fauna of residential gardens in a suburb of New York City (Hymenoptera: Apoidea). Annals of the Entomological Society of America, 101, 1067–77.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fiedler, A. K., Landis, D. A. and Wratten, S. D. (2008). Maximizing ecosystem services from conservation biological control: the role of habitat management. Biological Control, 45, 254–71.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Folke, C., Jansson, A., Larsson, J. and Costanza, R. (1997). Ecosystem appropriation by cities. Ambio, 26, 167–72.Google Scholar
Fuller, R. A., Irvine, K. N., Devine-Wright, P., Warren, P. H. and Gaston, K. J. (2007). Psychological benefits of greenspace increase with biodiversity. Biology Letters, 3, 390–4.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Fuller, R. A., Tratalos, J. and Gaston, K. J. (2009). How many birds are there in a city of half a million people?Diversity and Distributions, 15, 328–37.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fullerton, D. and Wu, W. B. (1998). Policies for green design. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 36, 131–48.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gibbs, D. and Deutz, P. (2005). Implementing industrial ecology? Planning for eco-industrial parks in the USA. Geoforum, 36, 452–64.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Green, R. E., Cornell, S. J., Scharlemann, J. P. W. and Balmford, A. (2005). Farming and the fate of wild nature. Science, 307, 550–5.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Grimm, N. B., Faeth, S. H., Golubiewski, N. E.et al. (2008). Global change and the ecology of cities. Science, 319, 756–60.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Hammond, G. P. (2000). Energy, environment and sustainable development: a UK perspective. Transactions in Chemical Engineering Part B, 78, 304–23.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hammond, R. A. and Hudson, M. D. (2007). Environmental management of UK golf courses for biodiversity – attitudes and actions. Landscape and Urban Planning, 83, 127–36.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hansen, A. J., Knight, R. L., Marzluff, J. M.et al. (2005). Effects of exurban development on biodiversity: patterns, mechanisms, and research needs. Ecological Applications, 15, 1893–905.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hardoy, J. E., Mitlin, D. and Satterthwaite, D. (2001). Environmental Problems in an Urbanizing World: Finding Solutions for Cities in Africa, Asia and Latin America. London: Earthscan.Google Scholar
Jones, T. A. (2003). The restoration gene pool concept: beyond the native versus non-native debate. Restoration Ecology, 11, 281–90.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jopling, J. and Girardet, H. (1996). Creating a Sustainable London. London: Sustainable London Trust.Google Scholar
Kalisinska, E., Salicki, W. and Myslek, P. (2004). Using the Mallard to biomonitor heavy metal contamination of wetlands in north-western Poland. Science of the Total Environment, 320, 145–61.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Kaye, J. P., Groffman, P. M., Grimm, N. B., Baker, V. and Pouyat, R. V. (2006). A distinct urban biogeochemistry?Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 21,192–9.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Kellert, S. R. (1996). The Value of Life. Washington, DC: Island Press.Google Scholar
Kennedy, C., Cuddihy, J. and Engel-Yan, J. (2007). The changing metabolism of cities. Journal of Industrial Ecology, 11, 43–59.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kryuchkov, V. (1993). Extreme anthropogenic loads and the northern ecosystem condition. Ecological Applications, 3, 622–30.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Lawson, D. M., Lamar, C. K. and Schwartz, M. W. (2008). Quantifying plant population persistence in human-dominated landscapes. Conservation Biology, 22, 922–8.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Lepczyk, C. A., Hammer, R. B. and Stewart, S. I. (2007). Spatiotemporal dynamics of housing growth hotspots in the North Central US from 1940 to 2000. Landscape Ecology, 22, 939–52.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Liu, J., Daily, G. C., Ehrlich, P. R. and Luck, G. W. (2003). Effects of household dynamics on resource consumption and biodiversity. Nature, 421, 530–3.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
McGranahan, G. and Satterthwaite, D. (2003). Urban centers: an assessment of sustainability. Annual Review of Energy and the Environment, 28, 243–74.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
McKinney, M. L. (2002). Urbanization, biodiversity, and conservation. BioScience, 52, 883–90.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
McKinney, M. L. (2006). Urbanization as a major cause of biotic homogenization. Biological Conservation, 127, 247–60.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mcmanus, P. and Haughton, G. (2006). Planning with ecological footprints: a sympathetic critique of theory and practice. Environment and Urbanization, 18, 113–27.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Martinez, M. L. and Lopez-Barrera, F. (2008). Restoring and designing ecosystems for a crowded planet. Ecoscience, 15, 1–5.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Marzluff, J. M. and Ewing, K. (2001). Restoration of fragmented landscapes for the conservation of birds: a general framework and specific recommendations for urbanizing landscapes. Restoration Ecology, 9, 280–92.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mehmood, S. R. and Zhang, D. W. (2001). A roll call analysis of the Endangered Species Act amendments. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 83, 501–12.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Meybeck, M. (2004). The global change of continental aquatic systems: dominant impacts of human activities. Water Science and Technology, 49, 73–83.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Milder, J. C., Lassoie, J. P. and Bedford, B. L. (2008). Conserving biodiversity and ecosystem function through limited development: an empirical evaluation. Conservation Biology, 22, 70–9.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Miller, J. R. (2005). Biodiversity conservation and the extinction of experience. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 20, 430–4.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Miller, J. R. (2006). Restoration, reconciliation, and reconnecting with nature nearby. Biological Conservation, 127, 356–61.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mills, G. (2007). Cities as agents of global change. International Journal of Climatology, 27, 1849–57.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Montalvo, C. (2008). General wisdom concerning the factors affecting the adoption of cleaner technologies: a survey 1990–2007. Journal of Cleaner Production, 16, S7–S13.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Moos, M., Whitfield, J., Johnson, L. C. and Andrey, J. (2006). Does design matter? The ecological footprint as a planning tool at the local level. Journal of Urban Design, 11, 195–224.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Muezzinoglu, A. (2003). A review of environmental considerations on gold mining and production. Critical Reviews in Environmental Science and Technology, 33, 45–71.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Newman, P. (1999). Sustainability and cities: extending the metabolism model. Landscape and Urban Planning, 44, 219–26.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Newman, P. and Kenworthy, J. (1991). Cities and Automobile Dependence: An International Source Book. Aldershot, UK: Avebury.Google Scholar
Newman, P. and Kenworthy, J. (1999). Sustainability and Cities: Overcoming Automobile Dependence. Washington, DC:Island Press.Google Scholar
Nilson, J. (1995). A phosphorus budget for a Swedish municipality. Journal of Environmental Management, 45, 243–53.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Nishioka, S., Noriguchi, Y. and Yamamura, S. (1990). Megalopolis and climate change: the case of Tokyo. In McCullock, J., ed., Cities and Global Climate Change. Washington, DC: Climate Institute, pp. 108–33.Google Scholar
Oberndorfer, E., Lundholm, J., Bass, B.et al. (2007). Green roofs as urban ecosystems: ecological structures, functions, and services. BioScience, 57, 823–33.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Odum, E. P. (1963). Ecology. New York: Holt, Rinehart and Winston.Google Scholar
Odum, H. T. (1971). Environment, Power, and Society. New York: Wiley-Interscience.Google Scholar
Olalla-Tarraga, M. A. (2006). A conceptual framework to assess sustainability in urban ecological systems. International Journal of Sustainable Development and World Ecology, 13, 1–15.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
O'Meara, M. (1999). Exploring a new vision for cities. In Brown, L. R., ed., State of the World 1999. New York:Norton, pp. 133–50.Google Scholar
Pennington, D. N., Hansel, J. and Blair, R. B. (2008). The conservation value of urban riparian areas for landbirds during spring migration: land cover, scale, and vegetation effects. Biological Conservation, 141, 1235–48.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rees, W. E. (1997). Is ‘sustainable city’ an oxymoron?Local Environment, 2, 303–10.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rees, W. E. (2000). Eco-footprint analysis: merits and brickbats. Ecological Economics, 32, 371–4.Google Scholar
Rees, W. E. and Wackernagel, M. (1996). Urban ecological footprints: why cities cannot be sustainable – and why they are a key to sustainability. Environmental Impact Assessment Review, 16, 223–48.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Roach, W. J., Heffernan, J. B., Grimm, N. B.et al. (2008). Unintended consequences of urbanization for aquatic ecosystems: a case study from the Arizona desert. BioScience, 58, 715–27.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Robinson, J. M. (2001). The dynamics of avicultural markets. Environmental Conservation, 28, 76–85.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rosenzweig, M. L. (2003). Win–Win Ecology: How the Earth's Species Can Survive in the Midst of Human Enterprise. New York: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Sanford, M. P., Manley, P. N. and Murphy, D. D. (2009). Effects of urban development on ant communities: implications for ecosystem services and management. Conservation Biology, 23, 131–41.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Satterthwaite, D. (1997). Sustainable cities or cities that contribute to sustainable development?Urban Studies, 34, 1667–91.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Schwartz, M. W., Thorne, J. H. and Viers, J. H. (2006). Biotic homogenization of the California flora in urban and urbanizing regions. Biological Conservation, 127, 282–91.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sorice, M. G. (2005). Book review: win–win ecology: how the earth's species can survive in the midst of human enterprise. Society and Natural Resources, 18, 89–91.Google Scholar
Tratalos, J., Fuller, R. A., Warren, P. H., Davies, R. G. and Gaston, K. J. (2007). Urban form, biodiversity potential and ecosystem services. Landscape and Urban Planning, 83, 308–17.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Turner, K., Lefler, L. and Freedman, B. (2005). Plant communities of selected urbanized areas of Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada. Landscape and Urban Planning, 71, 191–206.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
,UN-HABITAT (2003). Water and Sanitation in the World's Cities. London: Earthscan.Google Scholar
,United Nations (2008). World Urbanization Prospects: The 2007 Revision. New York: United Nations.Google Scholar
Venter, O., Brodeur, N. N. and Nemiroff, L. (2006). Threats to endangered species in Canada. BioScience, 56, 903–10.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Verissimo, A., Barreto, P., Tarifa, R. and Uhl, C. (1995). Extraction of a high-value natural resource in Amazonia – the case of mahogany. Forest Ecology and Management, 72, 39–60.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
der Lippe, M. and Kowarik, I. (2008). Do cities export biodiversity? Traffic as dispersal vector across urban–rural gradients. Diversity and Distributions, 14, 18–25.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wackernagel, M., Kitzes, J., Moran, D., Goldfinger, S. and Thomas, M. (2006). The ecological footprint of cities and regions: comparing resource availability with resource demand. Environment and Urbanization, 18, 103–12.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
White, R. (1992). The international transfer of urban technology: does the North have anything to offer for the global environmental crisis?Environment and Urbanization, 4, 109–20.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Winfree, R., Williams, N. M., Dushoff, J. and Kremen, C. (2007). Native bees provide insurance against ongoing honey bee losses. Ecology Letters, 11, 1105–13.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Zhang, J. and Gan, J. B. (2007). Who will meet China's import demand for forest products?World Development, 55, 2150–60.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure [email protected] is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

Available formats
×