Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-dsjbd Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-30T17:14:07.872Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

References

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 April 2024

Paul Embrechts
Affiliation:
Swiss Federal University (ETH), Zürich
Marius Hofert
Affiliation:
The University of Hong Kong
Valérie Chavez-Demoulin
Affiliation:
Université de Lausanne, Switzerland
Get access

Summary

Image of the first page of this content. For PDF version, please use the ‘Save PDF’ preceeding this image.'
Type
Chapter
Information
Risk Revealed
Cautionary Tales, Understanding and Communication
, pp. 346 - 356
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2024

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Acerbi, C., and Székely, B. 2019. The minimally biased backtest for ES. Risk. September 2019.Google Scholar
Acharya, V. V., Cooley, T., Richardson, M., and Walter, I. 2010. Manufacturing tail-risk: A perspective on the Financial Crisis of 2007–2009. Foundations and Trends® in Finance, 4(4), 247325.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Andrews, D. F., and Herzberg, A. M. 1985. Data: A Collection of Problems from Many Fields for the Student and Research Worker. New York: Springer-Verlag.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Andrews, R. G. 2022. Tonga shock wave created tsunamis in two different oceans. January 25, 2022. science.org/content/article/tonga-shock-wave-created-tsunamis-two-different-oceans. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Andriano, P., and McKelvey, B. 2007. Beyond Gaussian averages: Redirecting international business and management research toward extreme events and power laws. Journal of International Business Studies, 38, 12121230.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Artzner, P., Delbaen, F., Eber, J. M., and Heath, D. 1999. Coherent measures of risk. Mathematical Finance, 9, 203228.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Asimov, E. 2019. How climate change impacts wine. The New York Times, October 14. nytimes.com/interactive/2019/10/14/dining/drinks/climate-change-wine.html. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
AXA Insurance Group. 2019. From grape to glass: Managing wine risk. axaxl.com/fast-fast-forward/articles/from-grape-to-glass-managing-wine-risk. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Barabasi, A.-L., and Frangos, J. 2013. Linked: The New Science of Networks. New York: Perseus Books.Google Scholar
BBC. 1996. Fermat’s last theorem. bbc.co.uk/programmes/b0074rxx. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Becker, M., Karpytcheva, M., Davy, M., and Doekes, K. 2009. Impact of a shift in mean on the sea level rise: Application to the tide gauges in the Southern Netherlands. Continental Shelf Research, 29(4), 741749.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Begert, M., and Frei, C. 2018. Long-term area-mean temperature series for Switzerland – Combining homogenized station data and high resolution grid data. International Journal of Climatology, 38(6), 27922807.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Beirlant, J., Keiko, A., Reynkens, T., and Einmahl, J. H. J. 2019. Estimating the maximum possible earthquake magnitude using extreme value methodology: The Groningen case. Natural Hazards, 98(3), 10911113.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Belzile, L. R., Davison, A. C., Rootzén, H., and Zholud, D. 2021. Human mortality at extreme age. Royal Society Open Science, 8(9), 115.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Belzile, L. R., Davison, A. C., Gampe, J., Rootzén, H., and Zholud, D. 2022. Is there a cap on longevity? A statistical review. Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, 9, 2145.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bernoulli, J. 1713. Ars Conjectandi. Basel: Thurneysen Brothers.Google Scholar
Bernstein, P. L. 1996. Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk. New York: Wiley.Google Scholar
Bingham, N. H. 2013. The worldwide influence of the work of B. V. Gnedenko. Teoriya Veroyatnostei i ee Primeneniya, 58(1), 2736.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bingham, N. H., Goldie, C. M., and Teugels, J. L. 1987. Regular Variation. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Binswanger, K., and Embrechts, P. 1994. Longest runs in coin tossing. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 15, 139149.Google Scholar
Bird, J., and Fortune, J. 2007. Bird & Fortune – silly money – investment bankers. youtube.com/watch?v=9z70BKwfSUA. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
BIS. 2020. Statistical release: OTC derivatives statistics at end-June 2020. bis.org/publ/otc_hy2011.pdf. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Blastland, M., Freeman, A. L. J., van der Linden, S., Marteau, D. M., and Spiegelhalter, D. 2020. Five rules for evidence communication. Nature, 587(19), 362364.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Blum, P. 2019. The Weather Machine: How We See Into the Future. London: The Bodley Head.Google Scholar
Bollerslev, T. 1986. Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307327.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bortkiewicz, L. J. 1898. Das Gesetz der Kleinen Zahlen. Leipzig: B. G. Teubner.Google Scholar
Brenner, A. D. 1990. A Guide to the Microfilm Edition of the Emil J. Gumbel Collection: Political Papers of an Anti-Nazi Scholar in Weimar and Exile, 1914–1966. New York: Leo Baeck Institute.Google Scholar
Brenner, A. D. 2002. Emil J. Gumbel: Weimar German Pacifist and Professor. Brill Academic Publishers.Google Scholar
Brown, P. 2015. How math’s most famous proof nearly broke. Nautilus Newsletter. nautil.us/how-maths-most-famous-proof-nearly-broke-rp-235446/. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Bui, H. M. 2010. Mathematicians and physicists on banknotes. personalpages.manchester.ac.uk/staff/hung.bui/Collection/Notes/banknotes.htm. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Camus, A. 1947. La Peste. Gallimard.Google Scholar
Cantor, G. 1891. Ueber eine elementare Frage der Mannigfaltigkeitslehre. Jahresbericht der Deutschen Mathematiker-Vereinigung, 1, 7578.Google Scholar
Cardil, R. 2019. Kepler: The volume of a barrel, another look. www.matematicasvisuales.com/english/html/history/kepler/keplerbarrel2.html. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Carroll, L. 1865. Alice’s Adventures in Wonderland. London: Macmillan and Co.Google Scholar
Cartlidge, E. 2015. Italy’s supreme court clears L’Aquila earthquake scientists for good. Science. doi: 10.1126/science.aad7473.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cartlidge, E. 2016. Seven-year legal saga ends as Italian official is cleared of manslaughter in earthquake trial. Science. doi:10.1126/science.aah7374.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Caspari, R., and Lee, S.-H. 2012. The evolution of grandparents: The rise of senior citizens may have played a big role in the success of our species. Scientific American, 22(1S), 3843. doi:10.1038/scientificamericanhuman1112-38.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
CERN. 2013. New results indicate that particle discovered at CERN is a Higgs boson. CERN Press Release, 14 March. home.cern/news/press-release/cern/new-results-indicate-particle-discovered-cern-higgs-boson. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Ciecka, J. E. 2008. The first mathematically correct life annuity. Journal of Legal Economics, 15(1), 5963.Google Scholar
Cohen, A. N. 2020. False positives in PCR tests for COVID-19. icd10monitor.medlearn.com/false-positives-in-pcr-tests-for-covid-19/. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Colman, A.D. 2000. Report of the Re-opened Formal Investigation into the Loss of the MV Derbyshire. London: The Stationery Office Books.Google Scholar
Congressional Oversight Panel. 2010. June Oversight Report. The AIG rescue, its impact on markets, and the government’s exit strategy. govinfo.gov/content/pkg/CPRT-111JPRT56698/pdf/CPRT-111JPRT56698.pdf. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Conway, J. H., and Kochen, S. 2006. The free will theorem. Foundations of Physics, 36(10), 14411473.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
CRED (Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters). 2021. EM-DAT – The International Disaster Database. emdat.be. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Dalal, S. R., Fowlkes, E. B., and Hoadley, B. 1989. Risk analysis of the Space Shuttle: pre-Challenger prediction of failure. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 84(408), 945957.Google Scholar
d’Alembert, J. L. R. 1754. Croix ou pile. Pages 512513 of: Diderot, D., and d’Alembert, J. L. R. (eds.), Encyclopédie ou Dictionnaire Raisonné des Sciences, des Arts et des Métiers, vol. 4.Google Scholar
Das, B., Embrechts, P., and Fasen, V. 2013. Four theorems and a financial crisis. International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, 54, 701716.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Davison, A. C., and Hinkley, D. V. 1997. Bootstrap Methods and Their Application. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Daw, R. H., and Pearson, E. S. 1972. Studies in the history of probability and statistics. XXX. Abraham De Moivre’s 1733 derivation of the normal curve: A bibliographical note. Biometrika, 59(3), 677680.Google Scholar
de Grey, A. 2004. We will be able to live to 1,000. news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/4003063.stm. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
de Witt, J. 1671. Treatise on Life Annuities. English translation by Frederick Hendriks: Contributions to the history of insurance, and of the theory of life contingencies, with a restoration of the Grand Pensionary De Wit’s treatise on Life annuities. Journal of the Institute of Actuaries, 2(3), 222258 (1852).Google Scholar
Deacon, B. 2021. ‘One-in-100-years’ flood talk disastrously misleading and should change, risk experts say. ABC Weather, March 28. abc.net.au/news/2021-03-28/one-in-100-years-flood-talk-misleading/100030144. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Delta Committee. 1962. Report of the Delta Committee: Final Report. Part 1. The Hague: State Printing and Publishing Office.Google Scholar
Deltacommissie. 1961. Rapport Deltacommissie. ’s-Gravenhage: Staatsdrukkerij en Uitgeverijbedrijf.Google Scholar
Devlin, K. 2002. The most beautiful equation in mathematics. Wabash Magazine, Winter/Spring. wabash.edu/magazine/2002/WinterSpring2002/mostbeautiful.html. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Diaconis, P., and Mosteller, F. 1989. Methods for studying coincidences. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 84(408), 853861.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dodge, M. M. 1866. Hans Brinker, or The Silver Skates: A Story of Life in Holland. New York: James O’Kane.Google Scholar
Drake, S. 1967. Dialogue Concerning the Two Chief World Systems – Ptolemaic and Copernican. Berkeley and Los Angeles: University of California Press.Google Scholar
Dumas, A. 1850. La Tulipe Noire. Paris: Baudry.Google Scholar
Edunov, S., Bhagat, S., Burke, M., Diuk, C., and Filiz, I. O. 2016. Three and a half degrees of separation. research.facebook.com/blog/2016/02/three-and-a-half-degrees-of-separation/. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Efron, B. 1979. Bootstrap methods: Another look at the jackknife. Annals of Statistics, 7(1), 126.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Einmahl, J. H. J., and Magnus, J. R. 2008. Records in athletics through extreme-value theory. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 103(484), 13821391.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Einmahl, J. J., Einmahl, J. H. J., and de Haan, L.. 2019. Limits to human life span through extreme value theory. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 114(527), 10751080.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Embrechts, P. 1999. Die Zauberformel gibt es nicht. Pages 2829 of: Wüstholz, G. (ed.), Mathematik – Das Geistige Auge. Departement Mathematik, ETH-Zurich.Google Scholar
Embrechts, P. 2018. January 31, 1953, and September 11, 2001: Living with risk. Farewell Lecture. video.ethz.ch/speakers/lecture/32c992d0-4586-45de-98ea-dea16af0c154.html. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Embrechts, P., Klüppelberg, C., and Mikosch, T. 1997. Modelling Extremal Events for Insurance and Finance. Berlin: Springer.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Engle, R. F. 1982. Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 9871007.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
EMSC (European–Mediterranean Seismological Centre). 2021. Search for earthquakes. emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/?filter=yes. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Euclid. 300 BCE. Elements. Vol. 5. Edited and translated into English by Richard Fitzpatrick. farside.ph.utexas.edu/books/Euclid/Euclid.html. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
FBIIC (Financial and Banking Information Infrastructure Committee). 2008. Market wide pandemic exercise 2006 progress report. https://www.fbiic.gov/public/2008/june/Market%20Wide%20Pandemic%20Exercise%202008%20Progress%20Update%20May%202008.pdf. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Ferguson, T. S. 1989. Who solved the secretary problem? Statistical Science, 4(3), 282289.Google Scholar
Ferreira, A., and de Haan, L.. 2015. On the block maxima method in extreme value theory: PWM estimators. Annals of Statistics, 43(1), 276298.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Feynman, R. P., and Leighton, R. 1985. “Surely You’re Joking, Mr. Feynman!”: Adventures of a Curious Character. New York: W. W. Norton & Company.Google Scholar
Feynman, R. P., and Leighton, R. 1988. “What Do You Care What Other People Think?”: Further Adventures of a Curious Character. New York: W. W. Norton & Company.Google Scholar
Flusfeder, D. 2018. Luck. London: Fourth Estate Ltd.Google Scholar
Forbes, J. D. 1843. Travels through the Alps of Savoy and Other Parts of the Pennine Chain: With Observations on the Phenomena of Glaciers. Bibliothèque de Genève, FB 325.Google Scholar
Frei, G., and Stammbach, U. 2007. Mathematicians and Mathematics in Zürich, at the University and the ETH. ETH Zürich Bibliothek.Google Scholar
Gabbud, C., Micheletti, N., and Lane, S. N. 2016. Response of a temperate alpine valley glacier to climate change at the decadal scale. Geografiska Annaler: Series A, Physical Geography, 98(1), 8195.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gage, J., and Spiegelhalter, D. 2018. Teaching Probability. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Gaivoronski, A. A., and Pflug, G. 2005. Value-at-risk in portfolio optimization: Properties and computational approach. Journal of Risk, 7(2), 131.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Galeano, E. 2001. Upside Down: A Primer for the Looking-Glass World. London: Picador.Google Scholar
Galileo, G. 1623. The Assayer. Translated from the Italian “Il Saggiatore” by S. Drake and C. D. O’Malley, 1960. Philadelphia: University of Pennsylvania Press.Google Scholar
Galileo, G. 1632. Dialogue Concerning the Two Chief World Systems – Ptolemaic and Copernican. English Translation by Stillman Drake, 1953. Second edition 1967. Berkeley and Los Angeles: University of California Press.Google Scholar
Garber, P. M. 2000. Famous First Bubbles: The Fundamentals of Early Manias. Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gardner, M. 1970a. Mathematical games: The fantastic combinations of John Conway’s new solitary game “life”. Scientific American, 223(4), 120123.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gardner, M. 1970b. The paradox of the nontransitive dice. Scientific American, 223(4), 110111.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gascoigne, T., Schiele, B., Leach, J., Riedlinger, M., Lewenstein, B. V., Massarani, L., and Broks, P. 2020. Communicating Science: A Global Perspective. ANU Press. press.anu.edu.au/publications/communicating-science. Last accessed April 24, 2022.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gates, W. H. 2015. The next outbreak? We’re not ready. ted.com/talks/bill_gates_the_next_outbreak_we_re_not_ready. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Gbari, K. Y. A. S., Poulain, M., Dal, L., and Denuit, M. 2017. Extreme value analysis of mortality at the oldest ages: A case study based on individual ages at death. North American Actuarial Journal, 21(3), 397416.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Geller, R. J. 1997. Earthquake prediction: A critical review. Geophysical Journal International, 131(3), 425450.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gemmrich, J., and Cicon, L. 2022. Generation mechanism and prediction of an observed extreme rogue wave. Scientific Reports, 12(1718).CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Gerritsen, H. 2005. What happened in 1953? The big flood in the Netherlands in retrospect. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 363(1831), 12711291.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
GLAMOS. 2020. Swiss glacier length change. Release 2020, Glacier Monitoring Switzerland. doi: 10.18750/lengthchange.2020.r2020.Google Scholar
GLAMOS. 2021. Swiss glaciers. glamos.ch. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Goddard Institute for Space Studies. 2021. Combined land–surface air and sea–surface water temperature anomalies (Land–Ocean Temperature Index, L-OTI). Global-mean monthly, seasonal, and annual means, 1880–present, updated through most recent month. data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Goodell, J. 2017. The Water Will Come. Rising Seas, Sinking Cities, and the Remaking of the Civilized World. New York: Little, Brown and Company.Google Scholar
Gorroochurn, P. 2011. Errors of probability in historical context. The American Statistician, 65(4), 246254.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gorvett, R. 2014. Living to 100: Socioeconomic implications of increased longevity. Living to 100 Symposium in Orlando, Florida. soa.org/globalassets/assets/files/resources/essays-monographs/2014-living-to-100/mono-li14-4b-gorvett.pdf. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Gould, S. J. 1992. Bully for Brontosaurus: Reflections in Natural History. New York: W. W. Norton & Company.Google Scholar
Graham, D. W. 2021. Heraclitus. In: The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy, Zalta, E. N. (ed.).Google Scholar
Guldimann, T. M. 2000. The story of RiskMetrics. Risk, 13(1), 5658.Google Scholar
Gumbel, E. J. 1958. Statistics of Extremes. New York: Columbia University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
de Haan, L.. 1970. On regular variation and its application to the weak convergence of sample extremes. Thesis, Mathematical Centre Tract, vol. 32, University of Amsterdam.Google Scholar
de Haan, L.. 1990. Fighting the arch-enemy with mathematics. Statistica Nederlandica, 44(2), 4568.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hand, D. J. 2014. The Improbability Principle: Why Coincidences, Miracles and Rare Events Happen Every Day. London: Transworld-Penguin.Google Scholar
Hand, D. J. 2020a. Dark data, on being misled by what isn’t there and what to do about it. Significance, 17(3), 4244.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hand, D. J. 2020b. Dark Data: Why What You Don’t Know Matters. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Harris, W. 1994. Heraclitus: The complete fragments: Translation and commentary, and the Greek text. Middlebury College. wayback.archive-it.org/6670/20161201173100/http:/community.middlebury.edu/~harris/. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Hasian, M. Jr., Paliewicz, N. S., and Gehl, R. W. 2014. Earthquake controversies, the L’Aquila trials, and the argumentative struggles for both cultural and scientific power. Canadian Journal of Communication, 39(4), 557576.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hawkes, A. G. 1971. Spectra of some self-exciting and mutually exciting point processes. Biometrika, 58, 8390.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hawkins, E., Orgega, P., Suckling, E., Schurer, A., Hegerl, G., Jones, P., Joshi, M., Osborn, T. J., Masson-Delmotte, V., Mignot, J., Thorne, P., and van Oldenborgh, G. J. 2017. Estimating changes in global temperature since the preindustrial period. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98(9), 18411856.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Heffernan, J. E., and Tawn, J. A. 2001. Extreme value analysis of a large designed experiment: A case study in bulk carrier safety. Extremes, 4, 359378.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Heffernan, J. E., and Tawn, J. A. 2003. An extreme value analysis for the investigation into the sinking of the M. V. Derbyshire. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics), 52(3), 337354.Google Scholar
Heffernan, J. E., and Tawn, J. A. 2004. Extreme values in the dock. Significance, 1(1), 1317.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Heilprin, J. 2013. Now confident: CERN physicists say new particle is Higgs boson (Update 3). phys.org/news/2013-03-confident-cern-physicists-higgs-boson.html. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Herzberg, A. M., and Krupka, I. (eds.). 1997. Statistics, Science and Public Policy II: Hazards and Risks. Proceedings of the Conference on Statistics, Science and Public Policy, Queen’s University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada, April 23–25, 1997.Google Scholar
Hesterberg, T. C. 2015. What teachers should know about the bootstrap: Resampling in the undergraduate statistics curriculum. The American Statistician, 69(4), 371386.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Higgs, P. W. 1964. Broken symmetries and the masses of gauge bosons. Physical Review Letters, 13(16), 508509.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hirsch, L. 2021. What’s next for the business of longevity?s New York Times, October 16. www.nytimes.com/2021/10/16/business/dealbook/the-business-of-longevity.html. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Hoehn, A., and Huber, M. 2005. Pythagoras. Erinnern Sie Sich? Zürich: Orell Füssli.Google Scholar
Hofert, M., and Scherer, M. 2011. CDO pricing with nested Archimedean copulas. Quantitative Finance, 11(5), 775787.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hofert, M., Frey, R., and McNeil, A. J. 2020a. The Quantitative Risk Management Exercise Book. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Hofert, M., Frey, R., and McNeil, A. J. 2020b. The Quantitative Risk Management Exercise Book Solution Manual. github.com/qrmtutorial/qrm/releases/download/TQRMEB/The_QRM_Exercise_Book.pdf. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Hofstadter, D. 1979. Gödel, Escher, Bach: An Eternal Golden Braid. New York: Basic Books.Google Scholar
Holton, G. A. 2014. Value-at-Risk: Theory and Practice. Second edition. www.value-at-risk.net/.Google Scholar
Ibragimov, R., and Walden, J. 2007. The limits of diversification when losses may be large. Journal of Banking and Finance, 31(8), 25512569.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ibrion, M., Paltrinieri, N., and Nejad, A. R. 2020. Learning from non-failure of Onagawa nuclear power station: An accident investigation over its life cycle. Results in Engineering, 8, 100185.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Imperiale, A. J., and Vanclay, F. 2019. Reflections on the L’Aquila trial and the social dimensions of disaster risk. Disaster Prevention and Management, 28(4), 434445.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Iovenko, C. 2018. Dutch masters: The Netherlands exports flood-control expertise. Earth Magazine, August 31. https://www.earthmagazine.org/article/dutch-masters-netherlands-exports-flood-control-expertise. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
IPCC. 1998. Principles governing IPCC work. ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/09/ipcc-principles.pdf. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
IPCC. 2021. Climate Change 2021: The physical science basis. Sixth Assessment Report. ipcc.ch/report/sixth-assessment-report-working-group-i/. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia. 2021. Earthquake list with real-time updates. http://cnt.rm.ingv.it/en. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Jones, S. 2009. On couples and copulas: The formula that felled Wall St. Financial Times, 14 January. www.ft.com/content/912d85e8-2d75-11de-9eba-00144feabdc0. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Jorion, P. 2006. Value at Risk: The New Benchmark for Managing Financial Risk. Third edition. New York: McGraw–Hill.Google Scholar
Jorion, P. 2008. Risk management lessons from Long-Term Capital Management. European Financial Management, 6(3), 277300.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kahane, J.-P. 2018. Les mathématiques responsables de la crise? Progressistes. N° 19, Où va la Finance? revue-progressistes.org/2018/05/10/les-mathematiques-responsables-de-la-crise-jean-pierre-kahane/. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Karinthy, F. 1929. Chain links. vadeker.net/articles/Karinthy-Chain-Links_1929.pdf. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Kepler, J. 1615. Nova Stereometria Doliorum Vinariorum. Posner Memorial Collection, Carnegie Mellon University Libraries. http://posner.library.cmu.edu/Posner/books/book.cgi?call=520_K38PN. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Kind, J. M. 2014. Economically efficient flood protection standards for the Netherlands. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 7(2), 103117.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kolmogorov, A. N. 1933. Grundbegriffe der Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechung. Berlin: Springer-Verlag.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kruizinga, S., and Lewis, P. 2018. How high is high enough? Dutch flood defenses and the politics of security. BMGN – Low Countries Historical Review, 133(4), 427.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kurokawa, K., Ishibashi, K., Tanaka, K., Oshima, K., Tanaka, M., Sakiyama, H., Hachisuka, R., Sakurai, M., and Yokoyama, Y. 2012. The Official Report of The Fukushima Nuclear Accident Independent Investigation Commission. The National Diet of Japan. nirs.org/wp-content/uploads/fukushima/naiic_report.pdf. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Lagarias, J. C., Rains, E., and Vanderbei, R. J. 2009. The Kruskal count. Pages 371391 of: The Mathematics of Preference, Choice and Order: Essays in Honor of Peter J. Fishburn, Brams, S., Gehrlein, W. V., and Roberts, F. S. (eds.). Berlin: Springer-Verlag.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lambert, P. 2020. MV Derbyshire – 40 years on. National Museums Liverpool. liverpoolmuseums.org.uk/stories/mv-derbyshire-40-years. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Leadbetter, M. R. 1991. On a basis for “peaks over threshold” modeling. Statistics & Probability Letters, 12, 357362.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lecat, M. 1935. Erreurs de Mathématiciens des Origines à nos Jours. Bruxelles: Librairie Castaigne.Google Scholar
L’Ecuyer, P. 1999. Good parameters and implementations for combined multiple recursive random number generators. Operations Research, 47(1), 159164.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Leemis, L. M., and McQueston, J. T. 2008. Univariate distribution relationships. The American Statistician, 62(1), 4553.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Leeson, N. 2015. Rogue Trader. London: Sphere.Google Scholar
Leibniz, G. W. 1768. Opera Omnia. Vol. 6. Geneva: Fratres de Tournes.Google Scholar
LePan, N. 2020. Visualizing the history of pandemics. Visual Capitalist, March 14. www.visualcapitalist.com/history-of-pandemics-deadliest/. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Lerner-Lam, A. L. 1997. Predictable debate. Seismological Research Letters, 68(3), 381382.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Levitis, D. A., and Martinez, D. E. 2017. The two halves of U-shaped mortality. Frontiers in Genetics of Aging, 4(31), 16.Google Scholar
Li, D. X. 2000. On default correlation: A copula function approach. Journal of Fixed Income, 9(4), 4354.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Littlewood, J. E. 1953. Miscellany. London: Methuen.Google Scholar
Livio, M. 2020. Did Galileo truly say, “And yet it moves”? A modern detective story. Scientific American, May.Google Scholar
Mace, R. 2021. What’s a 100-year flood? A hydrologist explains. The Conversation, June. theconversation.com/whats-a-100-year-flood-a-hydrologist-explains-162827. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Mackay, C., and De La Vega, J. 1995. Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds & Confusión de Confusiones. New York: Wiley.Google Scholar
Malkiel, B. G. 2003. A Random Walk Down Wall Street. New York: W. W. Norton & Company.Google Scholar
Margaritondo, G. 2005. Explaining the physics of tsunamis to undergraduate and non-physics students. European Journal of Physics, 26(3), 401407.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Maslow, A. H. 1966. The Psychology of Science: A Reconnaissance. New York: Harper & Row.Google Scholar
Masters, A.. 2022. Behind the numbers: The RSS puts the statistical skills of MPs to the test. Statistics News, February 11. rss.org.uk/news-publication/news-publications/2022/general-news/behind-the-numbers-the-rss-puts-the-statistical-sk/. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Matsuzawa, T. 2014. The largest earthquakes we should prepare for. Journal of Disaster Research, 9(3), 248251.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mattmüller, M. 2014. The difficult birth of stochastics: Jacob Bernoulli’s Ars Conjectandi (1713). Historia Mathematica, 41(3), 277290.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
McAllister, S. 2021. How does climate change affect wine? Zurich Magazine, July. zurich.com/en/media/magazine/2021/how-does-climate-change-affect-wine. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
McConway, K., and Spiegelhalter, D. 2021. Communicating statistics through the media in the time of COVID-19. blogs.lse.ac.uk/impactofsocialsciences/2021/02/03/communicating-statistics-through-the-media-in-the-time-of-covid-19/. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
McLean, B., and Nocera, J. 2010. All the Devils are Here: The Hidden History of the Financial Crisis. New York: Portfolio/Penguin Press.Google Scholar
McNeil, A. J., Frey, R., and Embrechts, P. 2015. Quantitative Risk Management: Concepts, Techniques and Tools. Second edition. Princeton NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Meadows, D. H., Meadows, D. L., Randers, J., and Behrens, W. W. III 1972. The Limits to Growth. New York: Universe Books.Google Scholar
Merseyside Maritime Museum. 2021. Life on Board: The sinking of MV Derbyshire. liverpool museums.org.uk/merseyside-maritime-museum/mv-derbyshire#section derbyshire-family-association. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Met Office. 2021. Hadley Centre Central England Temperature (HadCET) dataset. metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
MeteoSwiss. 2021. Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss. meteoswiss.admin.ch. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Milgram, S. 1967. The small-world problem. Psychology Today, 1, 6167.Google Scholar
Modena, C., Valluzzi, M. R., da Porto, F., and Casarin, F. 2011. Structural aspects of the conservation of historic masonry constructions in seismic areas: Remedial measures and emergency actions. International Journal of Architectural Heritage, 5(4-5), 539558.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Moore, H. 2011. The story behind the financial crisis tattoo. Marketplace May 13, 2011. marketplace.org/2011/05/13/story-behind-financial-crisis-tattoo/. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Morgan, J. P. and Reuters, . 1996. RiskMetrics™ – Technical Document. Fourth Edition. https://www.msci.com/documents/10199/5915b101-4206-4ba0-aee2-3449d5c7e95a. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Morris, R. L. 2016. Lazy Mathematicians? rebeccaleamorris.com/2016/09/30/lazy-mathematicians/. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
MTECT (Ministère de la Transition Écologique et de la Cohésion des Territoires). 2020. Impacts du changement climatique: Agriculture et forêet. ecologie.gouv.fr/impacts-du-changement-climatique-agriculture-et-foret. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
National Research Council. 2014. Lessons Learned from the Fukushima Nuclear Accident for Improving Safety of U.S. Nuclear Plants. Washington, D.C.: The National Academies Press.Google Scholar
Nordhaus, W. 2009. An analysis of the Dismal Theorem. Yale University: Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper 1686. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1330454. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Normile, D. 2021. Zhengzhou subway flooding a warning for other major cities: The unprecedented rainfall showed the vulnerability of underground infrastructure. Science, July 29.Google Scholar
Ogata, Y. 1988. Statistical models for earthquake occurrences and residual analysis for point processes. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 83(401), 927.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ogata, Y. 1998. Space-time point-process models for earthquake occurrences. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 50(2), 379402.Google Scholar
Ogawa, Y. 2009. The Housekeeper and the Professor. London: Picador.Google Scholar
O’Harrow, R. Jr., and Dennis, B. 2008a. The beautiful machine. Washington Post, December 29. washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/12/28/AR2008122801916.html. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
O’Harrow, R. Jr., and Dennis, B. 2008b. A crack in the system. Washington Post, December 30. washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/12/29/AR2008122902670.html. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
O’Harrow, R. Jr., and Dennis, B. 2008c. Downgrades and downfall. Washington Post, December 31. washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/12/30/AR2008123003431.html. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Olshansky, S. J. 2004. Don’t fall for the cult of immortality. BBC News December 3. news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/4059549.stm. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Osinski, M. 2018. The oyster farmer of Wall Street. youtube.com/watch?v=O3lHpy0MAU4. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Pais, A. 1982. How Einstein got the Nobel Prize. American Scientist, 70(4), 358365.Google Scholar
Parker, D. E., Legg, T. P., and Folland, C. K. 1992. A new daily Central England temperature series, 1772–1991. International Journal of Climatology, 12, 317342.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pavord, A. 1999. The Tulip: The Story of a Flower That Has Made Men Mad. London: Bloomsbury Publishing Ltd.Google Scholar
Peacock, E. 2013. When the gambler’s fallacy comes true: Beating the online casino. Significance, 10(6), 4042.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pearce, M., and Raftery, A. E. 2022. Will this be a record-breaking century for human longevity? Significance, 18(6), 67.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Persily, N., and Tucker, J. A. 2020. Social Media and Democracy. The State of the Field and Prospects for Reform. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Petram, L. 2014. The World’s First Stock Exchange. New York: Columbia Business School Publishing.Google Scholar
Pollack, L. 2012. The formula that Wall Street never believed in. Financial Times, June 15. ft.com/content/a19cdaf1-f5db-3abc-823a-8671e8169c5a. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Pollard, J. M. 1978. Monte Carlo methods for index computation (mod p). Mathematics of Computation, 32(143), 918924.Google Scholar
Posthumus, N. W. 1929. The tulip mania in Holland in the years 1636 and 1637. Journal of Economic and Business History, 1(3), 434466.Google Scholar
Preece, D. A., Ross, G. J. S., and Kirby, S. P. J. 1988. Bortkewitsch’s horse-kicks and the generalised linear model. 37(3), 313318.Google Scholar
Puccetti, G., and Scherer, M. 2018. Copulas, credit portfolios, and the broken heart syndrome: An interview with David X. Li. Dependence Modeling, 6(1), 114130.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Quantitative Finance Stack Exchange. 2017. Data for the tulip mania. quant.stackexchange.com/questions/36804/data-for-the-tulip-mania. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Rajan, R. G. 2005a. The Greenspan era: Lessons for the future. International Monetary Fund, August 27. imf.org/en/News/Articles/2015/09/28/04/53/sp082705. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Rajan, R. G. 2005b. Has financial development made the world riskier? National Bureau for Economic Research, NBER Working Paper 11728. nber.org/papers/w11728. Last accessed April 24, 2022.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rajan, R. G. 2010. Fault Lines: How Hidden Fractures Still Threaten the World Economy. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Raspe, R. E. 1785. Baron Munchausen’s Narrative of His Marvellous Travels und Campaigns in Russia. Oxford: Smith.Google Scholar
Reinhart, C. M., and Rogoff, K. S. 2009. This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Remund, A., Camarda, C. G., and Riffe, T. 2018. A cause-of-death decomposition of young adult excess mortality. Demography, 55, 957978.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Rijkswaterstaat. 2021. Ministerie van Infrastructuur en Waterstaat. waterinfo.rws.nl/#!/kaart/ Waterbeheer/. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Robinson, M. E., and Tawn, J. A. 1995. Statistics for exceptional athletics records. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics), 44(4), 499511.Google Scholar
Rocard, M. 2008. La crise sonne le glas de l’ultralibéralisme. Le Monde, November 1, 2008. lemonde.fr/la-crise-financiere/article/2008/11/01/michel-rocard-la-crise-sonne-le-glas-de-l-ultraliberalisme_1113586_1101386.html. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Rogers, W. P. 1986. Report to the President on the Space Shuttle Challenger Accident. sma.nasa.gov/SignificantIncidents/assets/rogers_commission_report.pdf. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Rootzén, H., and Katz, R. W. 2013. Design life level: Quantifying risk in a changing climate. Water Resources Research, 49, 59645972.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rose, T., and Sweeting, T. 2016. How safe is nuclear power? A statistical study suggests less than expected. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, 72(2), 112115.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ruf, D. 2019. Statistik des Verbrechens – Ein Mathematiker gegen das Naziregime. Sudwestrundfunk, September 19. swr.de/unternehmen/kommunikation/pressedossiers/swrfernsehen-junger-dokumentarfilm-2019-statistik-des-verbrechens-100.html. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Sagan, C. 1997. Billions and Billions: Thoughts on Life and Death at the Brink of the Millennium. New York: Ballantine Books.Google Scholar
Salmon, F. 2009. Recipe for disaster: The formula that killed Wall Street. Wired, February 23. wired.com/2009/02/wp-quant/?currentPage=all. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Salmon, F. 2012. The formula that killed Wall Street. Significance, 9(1), 1620.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Schiff, D. 2005. AIG replaces Hank Greenberg as CEO: The inevitable hour. Schiff’s Insurance Observer, 17(5). insuranceobserver.com/PDF/2005/031505.pdf. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Schmitt, R. 2009. Prophet and loss. Stanford Magazine, March/April. stanfordmag.org/contents/prophet-and-loss. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Schneider, I. 1984. The role of Leibniz and Jakob Bernoulli for the development of probability theory. LLULL, Boletin de la Sociedad Española de Historia de las Ciencias, 7, 6989.Google Scholar
Scott, A. J., Martin, E., and Sinclair, D. A. 2021. The economic value of targeting aging. Nature Aging, 1, 616623.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Shafer, G., and Vovk, V. 2018. The origins and legacy of Kolmogorov’s Grundbegriffe. Available at arxiv.org/abs/1802.01219. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Shreve, S. E. 2008. Don’t blame the quants. Forbes, October 8. forbes.com/2008/10/07/securities-quants-models-oped-cx_ss_1008shreve.html. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Sigmund, K. 2017. Exact Thinking in Demented Times: The Vienna Circle and the Epic Quest for the Foundations of Science. New York: Basic Books.Google Scholar
Sinclair, D. A. 2019. Lifespan. New York: HarperCollins.Google Scholar
Singh, S. 1997. Fermat’s Last Theorem. London: Fourth Estate Ltd.Google Scholar
Sippel, S., Fischer, E. M., Scherrer, S. C., Meinshausen, N., and Knutti, R. 2020. Late 1980s abrupt cold season temperature change in Europe consistent with circulation variability and long-term warming. Environmental Research Letters, 15, 094056.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Slager, K. 2003. De Ramp. Amsterdam: Olympus Pockets.Google Scholar
Smith, R. L. 1997. Letter to the editors. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics), 46(1), 123128.Google Scholar
Sornette, D. 2009. Dragon-kings, black swans and the prediction of crises. International Journal of Terraspace Science and Engineering, 1(3), 117.Google Scholar
Sornette, D., Kröger, W., and Wheatley, S. 2019. New Ways and Needs for Exploiting Nuclear Energy. Berlin: Springer.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Spiegelhalter, D. 2011. Fear and numbers in Fukushima. Significance, 8(3), 100103.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Spiegelhalter, D. 2019. Good luck Professor Spiegelhalter. BBC Radio 4, February 22. bbc.co.uk/programmes/b09kpmys. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Spiegelhalter, D. 2020. David Spiegelhalter and false positives. MathsWorldUK, October 14. youtube.com/watch?v=XmiEzi54lBI. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Spiegelhalter, D., and Masters, A. 2021. Covid by Numbers. Making Sense of the Pandemic with Data. Milton Keynes: Pelican Books, Penguin Random House.Google Scholar
Steinhaus, H., and Trybula, S. 1959. On a paradox in applied probabilities. Bulletin of the Polish Academy of Sciences, Mathematics, 7, 6769.Google Scholar
Stephenson, A. G., and Tawn, J. A. 2013. Determining the best track performances of all time using a conceptual population model for athletics records. Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, 9(1), 6776.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Stigler, S. M. 1990. The History of Statistics: The Measurement of Uncertainty Before 1900. Cambridge, MA: The Belknap Press of Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Stiglitz, J. E. 1992. Banks versus markets as mechanisms for allocating and coordinating investment. Pages 1538 in: The Economics of Cooperation: East Asian Development and the Case for Pro-Market Intervention, Roumasset, J. A. and Barr, S. (eds.). Boulder, CO: Westview Press.Google Scholar
Sullivan, J. 2018. The historic 1988 Senate climate hearing: 30 years later. UN Foundation, June 22. unfoundation.org/blog/post/the-historic-1988-senate-climate-hearing-30-years-later/. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Sunday Times Wine Club. 2018. Why English sparkling wine is the new Champagne. The Sunday Times, May 16. thetimes.co.uk/static/why-english-sparkling-is-the-new-champagne/. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Swain, F. 2021. The device that reverses CO2 emissions. BBC Future Planet, March 12. bbc.com/future/article/20210310-the-trillion-dollar-plan-to-capture-co2. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Swiss Federal Banking Commission. 2008. Subprime crisis: SFBC investigation into the causes of the write-downs of UBS AG. finma.ch/FinmaArchiv/ebk/e/publik/medienmit/20081016/ubs-subprime-bericht-ebk-e.pdf. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Swiss Re Institute. 2019. L’Aquila, 10 years on. Sigma, Special feature. swissre.com/dam/jcr:a1800651-558e-403a-b8df-cb4d8ce9e2ec/Sigma_2_2019_feature_EN.PDF. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Sylvestre, A. 1975. Une sorcière comme les autres. EPM Musique.Google Scholar
Synolakis, C., and Kânoğlu, U. 2015. The Fukushima accident was preventable. Philosophical Transactions: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 373(2053), 123.Google ScholarPubMed
Tahan, M. 1993. The Man Who Counted: A Collection of Mathematical Adventures. New York: W. W. Norton & Company.Google Scholar
Taleb, N. N. 2007. The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable. New York: Random House.Google Scholar
Taleb, N. N. 2018. Skin in the Game: Hidden Asymmetrics in Daily Life. New York: Penguin Random House.Google Scholar
Tawn, J. A. 2017. Extreme value theory: An impact case study for international shipping standards. youtube.com/watch?v=-6NPV5vb4yM. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Tawn, J. A., and Heffernan, J. E. 2001. Summary of statistical analysis of the seakeeping model tests. Pages 4154 of: Proc. Royal Institution of Naval Architects Conference. Design & Operation of Bulk Carriers: Post M.V. Derbyshire, London.Google Scholar
TEPCO (Tokyo Electric Power Company). 2012a. Fukushima nuclear accident analysis report <summary attachment>. www.tepco.co.jp/en/press/corp-com/release/betu12_e/images/120620e0103.pdf. Last accessed April 24, 2022..+www.tepco.co.jp/en/press/corp-com/release/betu12_e/images/120620e0103.pdf.+Last+accessed+April+24,+2022.>Google Scholar
TEPCO (Tokyo Electric Power Company). 2012b. The scale of the tsunami far exceeded all previously held expectations and knowledge. www.tepco.co.jp/en/nu/fukushima-np/info/12042401-e.html. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Thompson, E. A. 2007. The tulipmania: Fact or artifact? Public Choice, 130, 99114.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
United Nations. 2015. Paris Agreement. unfccc.int/sites/default/files/english_paris_agreement.pdf. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
USGS (United States Geological Survey). 2021a. Cool earthquake facts. usgs.gov/programs/earthquake-hazards/cool-earthquake-facts?qt-science_center_objects=0#qt-science_center_objects. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
USGS (United States Geological Survey). 2021b. Search earthquake catalog. earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Utsu, T. 1970. Aftershocks and earthquake statistics (II): Further investigation of aftershocks and other earthquake sequences based on a new classification of earthquake sequences. Journal of the Faculty of Science, Hokkaido University, Series 7, Geophysics, 3(4), 197266.Google Scholar
van Dantzig, D. 1956. Economic decision problems for flood prevention. Econometrica, 24(3), 276287.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
van Doorn, L. 2010. Tulip mania. Bachelor Thesis, Tilburg University. arno.uvt.nl/show.cgi?fid=129437. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
van Son, C. 2015. Space is the place. sites.psu.edu/vansonspace/. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
van Staveren, I. 2014. The Lehman sisters hypothesis. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 38(5), 9951014.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Veerman, C. P. and Stive, M.J. 2008. Working together with water: A living land builds for its future. Deltacommissie. https://repository.tudelft.nl/islandora/object/uuid:af79991f-31e7-47a4-a6ef-bfd54ca59c57?collection=research. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Vishal, K. 2019. The mystery of MV Derbyshire. Marine Chronicle, May 10.Google Scholar
Weitzman, M. 2009. On modeling and interpreting the economics of catastrophic climate change. Review of Economics and Statistics, 91(1), 119.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wells, H. G. 1903. Mankind in the Making. Chapman & Hall.Google Scholar
Wigner, E. 1960. The unreasonable effectiveness of mathematics in the natural sciences. Communications on Pure and Applied Mathematics, 13(1), 114.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wikipedia. 2020a. 2009 swine flu pandemic. wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2009_swine_flu_pandemic&oldid=952432460. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Wikipedia. 2020b. Tyche. wikipedia.org/wiki/Tyche. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Wikipedia. 2021a. 2009 L’Aquila earthquake. wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_L’Aquila_earthquake#Aftershocks. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Wikipedia. 2021b. Actuarial notation. wikipedia.org/wiki/Actuarial_notation. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Wikipedia. 2021c. Power law. wikipedia.org/wiki/Power_law#Examples. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Wikipedia. 2021d. Simpson’s paradox. wikipedia.org/wiki/Simpson’s_paradox. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Wikipedia. 2021e. Special report on global warming of 1.5 °C. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special_Report_on_Global_Warming_of_1.5_%c2%b0C. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
World Future Council. 2016. Sponge cities: What is it all about? January 20. worldfuturecouncil.org/sponge-cities-what-is-it-all-about/. Last accessed April 24, 2022.Google Scholar
Wucker, M. 2016. The Gray Rhino: How to Recognize and Act on the Obvious Dangers we Ignore. New York: St Martin’s Press.Google Scholar
Yu, K. J. Z. 2016. Sponge City: Theory and Practice. China Architecture & Building Press.Google Scholar

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure [email protected] is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

Available formats
×