Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-j824f Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-16T02:14:09.015Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

10 - Climate, Demography, Economy, and Polity in the Late Medieval–Early Modern World, 1350–1700

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 August 2014

John L. Brooke
Affiliation:
Ohio State University
Get access

Summary

The epoch between the Black Death and the onset of the Industrial Revolution was the fundamental hinge of human history. During the three and a half centuries between 1350 and 1700, the path of the human condition was shaped by a final florescence of the patterns that had consolidated after the last Hallstatt solar crisis and the Old World Iron Age and by a profound deflection toward the explosive expansions, capacities, and perils of our modern condition.

Perhaps because of this epoch’s fundamentally contradictory, transitional nature, again we have a problem with labels and definitions. Traditionally, in chronologies defined by European history, this era consists of the Late Middle Ages, from 1350 to 1500, and the early modern period, from 1500 to 1815. Obviously, no one at the time would have recognized their respective “lateness” or “earliness,” though they might well have sensed enduring continuity and new departures. But in hindsight we can see broad parallel shifts in societies around the globe, in a wave front of advance that looks more like that of the ancient world than it does that of the Middle Ages. These three centuries saw not just a recovery from the Black Death in Eurasia and the medieval megadroughts in parts of the tropics, but a long surge of population growth, trade, Smithian economic growth, and the consolidation of the authority and reach of state governance. Perhaps the entire period from the recovery from the Black Death to the first launch of the steam engine could be called “late archaic,” or better yet, “late organic,” because from 1700 forward we can see the beginnings of the mineral energy economy.

Type
Chapter
Information
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2014

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Goldstone, Jack A., “Efflorescences and Economic Growth in World History: Rethinking the ‘Rise of the West’ and the Industrial Revolution,” JWH 13 (2002), 323–90Google Scholar
Jones, Eric L., Growth Recurring: Economic Change in World History (Ann Arbor, MI, 2000 [1988])
Biraben, Jean-Noël, “Essai sur l-Évolution du Nombre des Hommes,” Population 34 (1979), 13–24Google Scholar
Christian, David, Maps of Time: An Introduction to Big History (Berkeley, CA, 2004), 344–5
McEvedy, Colin and Jones, Richard, Atlas of World Population History (New York, 1979), 171
Goldstone, Jack A., Revolution and Rebellion in the Early Modern World (Berkeley, CA, 1991)
Parker, Geoffrey and Smith, Leslie M., eds., The General Crisis of the Seventeenth Century, second edition (London, 1997)
Riley, James C., Rising Life Expectancy: A Global History (New York, 2001), 6–31.
Braudel, Fernand, Civilization and Capitalism: 15th to 18th Century, 3 vols., Reynolds, Siân, trans. (New York, 1979)
Fletcher, Joseph, “Integrative History: Parallels and Interconnections in the Early Modern Period, 1500–1800,” Journal of Turkish Studies 9 (1985), 37–57Google Scholar
Bayley, C. A., Imperial Meridian: The British Empire and the World, 1780–1830 (London, 1989), 16–34
Richards, John F., “Early Modern India and World History,” JWH 8 (1997), 197–209Google Scholar
Lieberman, Victor, ed., Beyond Binary Histories: Re-Imagining Eurasia to c. 1830 (Ann Arbor, MI, 1999)
Beaujard, Philippe, “The Indian Ocean in Eurasian and African World-Systems before the Sixteenth Century,” JWH 16 (2005), 41–465Google Scholar
Richards, John F., The Unending Frontier: An Environmental History of the Early Modern World (Berkeley, CA, 2003)
Lieberman, Victor, Strange Parallels: Southeast Asia in Global Context, c. 800–1300. Vol. I: Integration on the Mainland and Vol. II: Mainland Mirrors: Europe, Japan, China, South Asia and the Islands (New York, 2003, 2009), esp. II: 1–122
Vries, Jan de, The Industrious Revolution: Consumer Behavior and the Household Economy, 1650 to the Present (New York, 2008), 78–87
–, “The Industrial Revolution and the Industrious Revolution,” JEconH 54 (1994), 249–70
Prak, Maarten, ed., Early Modern Capitalism: Economic and Social Change in Europe, 1400–1800 (New York, 2001), 177–94.
Pomeranz, Kenneth, The Great Divergence: China, Europe, and the Making of the Modern World Economy (Princeton, NJ, 2000)
Bin Wong, R., China Transformed (Ithaca, NY, 1997)
Stokes, Gale, “The Fate of Human Societies: A Review of Recent Macrohistories,” AHR 106 (2001), 508–25Google Scholar
Bengtsson, Tommy et al., Life under Pressure: Mortality and Living Standards in Europe and Asia, 1700–1900 (Cambridge, MA, 2004), 38–42
Allen, Robert C., “India in the Great Divergence,” in Hatten, Timothy J. et al., eds., The New Comparative History: Essays in Honor of Jeffrey G. Williamson (Cambridge, MA, 2007), 9–32
Pomeranz, Kenneth, Parthasarathi, Prasannan, and Allen, Robert C. in Allen, Robert C. et al., eds., Living Standards in the Past: New Perspectives on Well-Being in Asia and Europe (New York, 2008), 23–76, 99–130
Özmucur, Süleyman and Pamuk, Şevket, “Real Wages and Standards of Living in the Ottoman Empire, 1489–1914,” JEconH 62 (2002), 293–321.Google Scholar
Epstein, S. R., Freedom and Growth: The Rise of States and Markets in Europe, 1300–1750 (London, 2000)
Mote, F. W., Imperial China: 900–1800 (Cambridge, MA, 1999), 598–621, 646–53, 685–722, 747–69
Manz, Beatrice F., The Rise and Rule of Tamerlane (New York, 1999), 90–106
Richards, John F., The Mughal Empire, Vol. I.5, The New Cambridge History of India (New Delhi, 1993), 6–57.
Findley, Carter V., The Turks in World History (New York, 2005), 93–132
Mikhail, Alan, Nature and Empire in Ottoman Egypt: An Environmental History (New York, 2011)
Richardson, James B., People of the Andes (Washington, DC, 1994), 146–64
Evans, Susan Toby, Ancient Mexico and Central America: Archaeology and Culture History (New York, 2008), 447–511
Jones, Eric L., The European Miracle: Environments, Economies and Geopolitics in the History of Europe and Asia, second edition (New York, 1987), 3–28
Cunliffe, Barry, Facing the Ocean: The Atlantic and Its Peoples, 8000 BC–AD 1500 (Oxford, 2001), 517–53
McNeill, William H., Europe’s Steppe Frontier, 1500–1800 (Chicago, IL, 1964), 16–123.
Snooks, Graeme D., Economics without Time: A Science Blind to the Forces of Historical Change (Ann Arbor, MI, 1993), 246–69
Maddison, Angus, Contours of the World Economy, 1–2030 AD (New York, 2007), 70–1
Levine, David, At the Dawn of Modernity: Biology, Culture, and Material Life in Europe after the Year 1000 (Berkeley, CA, 2000)
Frank, Andre Gunder, ReOrient: Global Economy in the Asian Age (Berkeley, CA, 1998)
–, World Accumulation, 1492–1789 (New York, 1978)
Allen, Robert C., “The Great Divergence in European Wages and Prices from the Middle Ages to the First World War,” ExpEconH 38 (2001), 411–47Google Scholar
Pamuk, Şevket, “The Black Death and the Origins of the ‘Great Divergence’ across Europe, 1300–1600,” EREconH 1 (2007), 289–317.Google Scholar
Davis, Robert C., Christian Slaves, Muslim Masters: White Slavery in the Mediterranean, the Barbary Coast, and Italy, 1500–1800 (New York, 2003), 23–48, 139–74
Findlay, Ronald and O’Rourke, Kevin H., Power and Plenty: Trade, War, and the World Economy in the Second Millennium (Princeton, NJ, 2007)
Modelski, George and Thompson, William R., Leading Sectors and World Powers: The Coevolution of Global Politics and Economics (Columbia, SC, 1996)
Hugill, Peter J., World Trade since 1431: Geography, Technology, and Capitalism (Baltimore, MD, 1993), 9–15.
Bloch, Marc, French Rural History: An Essay on Its Basic Characteristics, Sondheimer, Janet, trans. (Berkeley, CA, 1966), 102
Herlihy, David, The Black Death and the Transformation of the West (Cambridge, MA, 1997)
Findlay, Ronald, “Globalization and the European Economy: Medieval Origins to the Industrial Revolution,” in Kierzkowski, Henryk, ed., Europe and Globalization (New York, 2002), 32–63.
Bois, Guy, The Crisis of Feudalism: Economy and Society in Eastern Normandy, c. 1300–1550 (Cambridge, 1984), 263–368
Seward, Desmond, The Hundred Years War: The English in France, 1337–1453 (London, 1978), 73–5, 193–5, 263–5
Allmand, Christopher, The Hundred Years War: England and France at War, c. 1300–1450 (Cambridge, 1988), 120–35
Kekewich, Margaret L. and Rose, Susan, Britain, France, and the Empire, 1350–1500 (Houndmills, 2005), 3–11, 72–84, 135–63
Wallerstein, Immanuel, The Modern World System, Vol. I: Capitalist Agriculture and the Origins of the European World Economy in the Sixteenth Century (New York, 1974), 21–33
Parker, Geoffrey, The Military Revolution: Military Innovation and the Rise of the West, 1500–1800, second edition (New York, 1996), 6–18, 24–8, 89–92
Rogers, Clifford J., “The Military Revolutions of the Hundred Years War,” in Rogers, Clifford J., ed., The Military Revolution Debate: Readings on the Military Transformation of Early Modern Europe (Boulder, CO, 1995), 55–94.
Cohn, Samuel K., Jr., “The Black Death: End of a Paradigm,” AHR 107 (2002), 703–38, esp. 707–9, 737–8Google Scholar
Cohn, Samuel K., Jr., The Black Death Transformed: Disease and Culture in Early Renaissance Europe (London, 2002), 48–9, 223–52
Biraben, Jean-Noël, Les hommes et la peste en France at dans les pays européens et méditerranéens (Mouton, 1975–6), 1: 118–30, 2: 85–181
Cipolla, Carlo M., Public Health and the Medical Profession in the Renaissance (New York, 1976), 11–66
McNeill, William, Plagues and Peoples (New York, 1976), 150–1, 162–5
Flinn, Michael W., The European Demographic System, 1500–1800 (Baltimore, MD, 1981), 58–61
Watts, Sheldon, Epidemics and History: Disease, Power, and Imperialism (New Haven, CT, 1997), 15–25.
Panzac, Daniel, La Peste dans L’Empire Ottoman, 1700–1850 (Leuven, 1985), 105–8
Panzac, Daniel, Quarantaines at Lazarets: L’Europe and la Peste d’Orient (XVIIe-XXe siècles) (Aix-en-Provence, 1986), 31–61, 67–93
Rothenberg, Gunther E., “The Austrian Sanitary Cordon and the Control of the Bubonic Plague: 1710–1871,” Journal of the History of Medicine 28 (1973), 15–23Google Scholar
Konstantinidou, Katerina et al., “Venetian Rule and Control of Plague Epidemics on the Ionian Islands during 17th and 18th Centuries,” EmInfDis 15 (2009), 39–43.Google Scholar
Post, John D., “Famine, Mortality, and Epidemic Disease in the Process of Modernization,” EconHistR, 2d ser., 29 (1976), 14–37Google Scholar
Appleby, Andrew B., “Epidemics and Famine in the Little Ice Age,” JInterdH 10 (1980), 643–63Google Scholar
Kaplan, Steven L., Bread, Politics and Political Economy in the Reign of Louis XV (Hague, 1976), 19–96
Raeff, Marc, “The Well-Ordered Police State and the Development of Modernity in Seventeenth- and Eighteenth-Century Europe: An Attempt at a Comparative Approach,” AHR 80 (1975), 1221–43.Google Scholar
Omran, Abdel R., “The Epidemiological Transition: A Theory of Population Change,” The Milbank Memorial Fund Quarterly 49 (1971), 509–38Google Scholar
Jay Olshansky, S. and Brian Ault, A., “The Fourth Stage of the Epidemiologic Transition: The Age of Delayed Degenerative Diseases,” The Milbank Quarterly 64 (1986), 355–91.Google Scholar
Cohn, Norman, The Pursuit of the Millennium: Revolutionary Millenarians and Mystical Anarchists of the Middle Ages, rev. ed. (New York, 1970), 131–47
Reeves, Marjorie, The Influence of Prophecy in the Late Middle Ages: A Study in Joachimism (Oxford, 1969), 295–305, 359–60
Watts, Pauline Moffitt, “Prophecy and Discovery: On the Spiritual Origins of Christopher Columbus’s ‘Enterprise to the Indies,’AHR 90 (1985), 73–102Google Scholar
Sweet, Leonard I., “Christopher Columbus and the Millennial Vision of the New World,” Catholic Historical Review 72 (1986), 369–82Google Scholar
Phelan, John L., The Millennial Kingdom of the Franciscans in the New World, second edition (Berkeley, CA, 1970), 5–38, 69–77, 118–25
Armitage, David, The Ideological Origins of the British Empire (New York, 2000), 61–70, 82–99
French, Peter, John Dee: The World of an Elizabethan Magus (New York, 1972), 177–98
Clulee, Nicholas H., John Dee’s Natural Philosophy: Between Science and Religion (London, 1988), 180–9, 220–30
Williamson, Arthur H., “An Empire to End Empires: The Dynamic of Early Modern British Expansion,” Huntington Library Quarterly 68 (2005), 227–56.Google Scholar
Benedictow, Ole J., The Black Death, 1346–1353: The Complete History (Woodbridge, UK, 2004), 381–2
Farris, William Wayne, Population, Disease, and Land in Early Japan, 645–900 (Cambridge, MA, 1985), 50–73
Adolphson, Mikael et al., Heian Japan, Centers and Peripheries (Honolulu, HI, 2007), 275–304
Jannetta, Ann B., Epidemics and Mortality in Early Modern Japan (Princeton, NJ, 1987), 16–32, 65–70, 114–17, 147–50, 191–200
Dobbs, Michael W., The Black Death in the Middle East (Princeton, NJ, 1977), 109–21, 285–98
Borsch, Stuart W., The Black Death in Egypt and England: A Comparative Study (Austin, TX, 2005), 245–55
Varlik, Nükhet, “Conquest, Urbanization and Plague Networks in the Ottoman Empire, 1453–1600,” in Woodhead, Christine, ed., The Ottoman World (London, 2011), 251–63
White, Sam, “Rethinking Disease in Ottoman History,” International Journal of Middle Eastern Studies 42 (2010), 549–67Google Scholar
Musallam, Basim, Sex and Society in Islam: Birth Control before the Nineteenth Century (New York, 1983), 105–21.
Findlay, Ronald and Lundahl, Mats, “Toward a Factor Proportion Approach to Economic History: Population, Precious Metals, and Prices from the Black Death to the Price Revolution,” in Findlay, Ronald et al., eds., Bertil Ohlin: A Centennial Celebration, 1899–1999 (Cambridge, MA, 2002), 495–528
Russell-Wood, A. J., A World on the Move: The Portuguese in Africa, Asia, and America, 1415–1808 (New York, 1992), 8–26
Curtin, Philip D., The Rise and Fall of the Plantation Complex: Essays in Atlantic History (New York, 1990), 17–57
Elliott, J. H., Empires of the Atlantic World: Britain and Spain in America, 1492–1830 (New Haven, CT, 2006), 88–114
Schwartz, Stuart B., Sugar Plantations in the Formation of Brazilian Society: Bahia, 1550–1835 (New York, 1985), 3–72
Boxer, C. R., The Dutch Seaborne Empire, 1600–1800 (Harmondsworth, 1973), 187–214.
Abu-Lughod, Janet L., Before European Hegemony: The World System, A.D. 1250–1350 (New York, 1989)
Shaffer, Linda, “Southernization,” JWH 5 (1994), 1–21Google Scholar
Bauer, Brian S., Ancient Cuzco: Heartland of the Inca (Austin, TX, 2004), 71–138
Sanders, William T. et al., The Basin of Mexico: Ecological Processes in the Evolution of a Civilization (New York, 1979), 1: 183–219
Crosby, Alfred W., “Virgin Soil Epidemics as a Factor in the Aboriginal Depopulation in America,” WMQ, 3d ser., 33 (1976), 289–99Google Scholar
Crosby, Alfred W., The Columbian Exchange: Biological and Cultural Consequences of 1492 (Westport, CT, 1972), 35–63, 122–64
Cook, Noble D., Born to Die: Disease and New World Conquest, 1492–1650 (New York, 1998)
Daniels, John D., “The Indian Population of North America in 1492,” WMQ, 3d ser., 49 (1992), 298–320Google Scholar
Jones, David S., “Virgin Soils Revisited,” WMQ 3d ser., 49 (2003), 703–42Google Scholar
Smith, C. T., “Depopulation of the Central Andes in the 16th Century,” CA 11 (1970), 453–64, at 459Google Scholar
O’Fallon, Brendan and Fehren-Schmitz, Lars, “Native Americans Experienced a Strong Population Bottleneck Coincident with European Contact,” PNAS 108 (2011), 20444–8.Google Scholar
Acuna-Soto, Rodolfo et al., “When Half the Population Died: The Epidemic of Hemorrhagic Fevers of 1576 in Mexico,” FEMS Microbiology Letters 240 (2004), 1–5Google Scholar
Acuna-Soto, Rodolfo et al., “Megadrought and Megadeath in 16th Century Mexico,” EmInfDis 8 (2002), 360–2Google Scholar
Thornton, Russell et al., “Depopulation in the Southeast after 1492,” in Verano, John W. and Ubelaker, Douglas H., eds., Disease and Demography in the Americas (Washington, DC, 1993), 169–96
Fenn, Elizabeth A., Pox Americana: The Great Smallpox Epidemic of 1775–1782 (New York, 2001)
Gallay, Alan, The Indian Slave Trade: The Rise of the English Empire in the American South, 1670–1717 (New Haven, CT, 2002)
Kelton, Paul, Epidemics and Enslavement: Biological Catastrophe in the Native Southeast, 1492–1715 (Lincoln, NE, 2007)
Perzigian, Anthony J. et al., “Prehistoric Health in the Ohio River Valley,” in Cohen, Mark Nathan and Armelagos, George, eds., Paleopathology at the Origins of Agriculture (New York, 1984), 347–66, quote at 361
Dobyns, Henry F., “Native American Trade Centers as Contagious Disease Foci,” in Verano and Ubelaker, Disease and Demography, 25–40, 177–96
Palkovich, Ann M., “Historic Epidemics among the Pueblos,” in Larsen, Clark Spencer and Milner, George R., eds., In the Wake of Contact: Biological Responses to Conquest (New York, 1994), 21–46, 87–96
Smith, Marvin T., “Aboriginal Depopulation in the Postcontact Southeast,” in Charles Hudson and Carmen Chaves Tesser, eds., The Forgotten Centuries: Indians and Europeans in the American South, 1521–1704 (Athens, GA, 1994), 257–75
Harper, Kristin et al., “On the Origin of the Treponematoses: A Phylogenetic Approach,” PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases 2 (2008), e148Google Scholar
Muiigan, Connie J., “Molecular Studies in Treponema Pallidum Evolution,” PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases 2 (2008), e184Google Scholar
Rothschild, Bruce M. et al., “First European Exposure to Syphilis: The Dominican Republic at the Time of European Contact,” Clinical Infectious Diseases 31 (2000), 936–41Google Scholar
Crosby, Alfred W., “Infectious Diseases and the Demography of the Atlantic Peoples,” JWH 2 (1991), 119–33, at 120Google Scholar
Harris, Marvin’s controversial argument regarding protein deficiencies in Aztec Mexico: Cannibals and Kings (New York, 1977), 147–66
Kiple, Kenneth F., A Moveable Feast: Ten Millennia of Food Globalization (New York, 2007), 135–49
McNeill, John R., The Mountains of the Mediterranean World: An Environmental History (New York, 1992), 89–91
McCann, James C., Maize and Grace: Africa’s Encounter with a New World Crop, 1500–2000 (Cambridge, MA, 2005), 23–7, 40–2, 63–77
Komlos, John, “The New World’s Contribution to Food Consumption during the Industrial Revolution,” JEEconH 27 (1998), 67–84Google Scholar
McKeown, Thomas, The Modern Rise of Population (London, 1976), 131–2
Langer, William L., “American Foods and Europe’s Population Growth, 1750–1850,” Journal of Social History 8 (1975), 51–66Google Scholar
Fogel, Robert in The Escape from Hunger and Premature Death, 1700–2100: Europe, America, and the Third World (New York, 2004)
Szreter, Simon, “Industrialization and Health,” British Medical Bulletin 69 (2004), 75–86.Google Scholar
McKendrick, Neil et al., The Birth of a Consumer Society: The Commercialization of Eighteenth-Century England (Bloomington, IN, 1982)
Mintz, Sidney W., Sweetness and Power: The Place of Sugar in Modern History (New York, 1985)
Brewer, John and Porter, Roy, eds., Consumption and the World of Goods (New York, 1993)
Smith, Woodruff D., Consumption and the Making of Respectability, 1600–1800 (New York, 2002)
McFarlane, Alan, The Savage Wars of Peace: England, Japan, and the Malthusian Trap (Houndmills, 2003), 124–53
Cowan, Brian, The Social Life of Coffee: The Emergence of the British Coffeehouse (New Haven, CT, 2005)
Norton, Marcy, Sacred Gifts, Profane Pleasures: A History of Tobacco and Chocolate in the Atlantic World (Ithaca, NY, 2008)
Freedman, Paul, Out of the East: Spices and the Medieval Imagination (New Haven, CT, 2008)
O’Brien, Patrick, “European Economic Development: The Contribution of the Periphery,” EconHistR 35 (1982), 1–18Google Scholar
Landes, David S., The Wealth and Poverty of Nations: Why Some are so Rich and Some are so Poor (New York, 1998)
North, Douglas and Thomas, Robert Paul, The Rise of the Western World: A New Economic History (New York, 1973), 146–58
Mokyr, Joel, The Enlightened Economy: An Economic History of Britain, 1700–1850 (New Haven, CT, 2009)
Wrigley, E. A., Continuity, Chance, and Change: The Character of the Industrial Revolution in England (New York, 1988)
Acemoglu, Daron et al., “The Rise of Europe: Atlantic Trade, Institutional Change, and Economic Growth,” AER 95 (2005), 54–579Google Scholar
Allen, Robert C., “Progress and Poverty in Early Modern Europe,” EconHistR 56 (2003), 403–43Google Scholar
Inikori, Joseph E., Africans and the Industrial Revolution in England: A Study in International Trade and Economic Development (New York, 2002)
Williams, Eric, Capitalism and Slavery (Chapel Hill, NC, 1944)
Vries, Jan de, European Urbanization, 1500–1800 (Cambridge, MA, 1984)
Vries, Jan de and Woude, Ad van der, The First Modern Economy: Success, Failure, and Perseverance of the Dutch Economy, 1500–1815 (Cambridge, UK, 1997), 57–78, 507–21
Cook, Edward R. et al., “Megadroughts in North America: Placing IPCC Projections of Hydroclimatic Change in a Long-Term Palaeoclimate Context,” JQS 25 (2010), 48–61Google Scholar
Stahle, David W. et al., “Tree-Ring Reconstructed Megadroughts over North America since A.D. 1300,” ClimCh 83 (2007), 133–49Google Scholar
Villanueva-Diaz, Jose et al., “Winter-Spring Precipitation Reconstructions from Tree Rings for Northeast Mexico,” ClimCh 83 (2007), 117–31Google Scholar
Therrell, Matthew D. et al., “Aztec Drought and the ‘Curse of One Rabbit,’Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 85 (2004), 1263–72Google Scholar
Stahle, David W. et al., “The Lost Colony and Jamestown Droughts,” Science 280 (1998), 564–7Google Scholar
Anderson, David G. et al., “Paleoclimate and the Potential Food Reserves of Mississippian Societies: A Case Study from the Savannah River Valley,” AmAntiq 60 (1995), 258–86Google Scholar
Hunt, B. G. and Elliott, T. I., “Mexican Megadrought,” ClimDyn 20 (2002), 1–12.Google Scholar
Acuna-Soto, Rodolfo et al., “Drought, Epidemic Disease, and the Fall of Classical Period Cultures in Mesoamerica (AD 750–950): Hemorrhagic Fevers as a Cause of Massive Population Loss,” MedHyp 65 (2005), 405–9Google Scholar
Ruddiman, William F., “The Anthropogenic Greenhouse Era began Thousands of Years Ago,” ClimCh 61 (2003), 261–93, at 279–85Google Scholar
Ruddiman, , Plows, Plagues, and Petroleum: How Humans took Control of Climate (Princeton, NJ, 2005), 119–46
The Early Anthropogenic Hypothesis: Challenges and Responses,” Reviews of Geophysics 45 (2007), RG4001
Hoof, Thomas B. van et al., “A Role for Atmospheric CO2 in Preindustrial Climate Forcing,” PNAS 105 (2008), 15815–18Google Scholar
Hoof, Thomas B. van et al., “Forest Re-Growth on Medieval Farmland after the Black Death Pandemic – Implications for Atmospheric CO2 Levels,” PPP 237 (2006), 396–411Google Scholar
Yeloff, Dan and Gel, Bas van, “Abandonment of Farmland and Vegetation Succession following the Eurasian Plague Pandemic of AD 1347–52,” Journal of Biogeography 34 (2007), 575–82.Google Scholar
Nevle, Richard J. and Bird, Dennis K., “Effects of Syn-Pandemic Fire Reduction and Reforestation in the Tropical America on Atmospheric CO2 during European Conquest,” PPP 264 (2008), 25–38Google Scholar
Faust, Franz X. et al., “Evidence for the Postconquest Demographic Collapse of the Americas in Historical CO2 Levels,” Earth Interactions 10/11 (2006), 1–14Google Scholar
Ferretti, D. F. et al., “Unexpected Changes to the Global Methane Budget over the Past 2000 Years,” Science 309 (2005), 1714–17Google Scholar
Pärssinen, Martti et al., “Pre-Columbian Geometric Earthworks in the Upper Purús: A Complex Society in Western Amazonia,” Antiquity 83 (2010), 1084–95Google Scholar
Hechenberger, Michael J. et al., “Pre-Columbian Urbanism, Anthropogenic Landscapes, and the Future of the Amazon,” Science 321 (2008), 1214–17Google Scholar
Neves, Eduardo Góes, “Ecology, Ceramic Chronology and Distribution, Long-Term History, and Political Change in the Amazonian Floodplain, in Silverman, Helaine and Isbell, William H., eds. Handbook of South American Archaeology (New York, 2008), 359–79
Brooks, George E., Landlords and Strangers: Ecology, Society, and Trade in Western Africa, 1000–1630 (Boulder, CO, 1993), 7–25
Shanahan, T. M. et al., “Atlantic Forcing of Persistent Drought in West Africa,” Science 324 (2009), 377–80Google Scholar
Street-Perrott, F. A. et al., “Drought and Dust Deposition in the West African Sahel: A 5500-Year Record from Kajemarum Oasis, Northeastern Nigeria,” Holocene 10 (2000), 293–302Google Scholar
Russell, J. M. and Johnson, T. C., “Little Ice Age Drought in Equatorial Africa: Intertropical Convergence Zone Migrations and El-Niño-Southern Oscillation Variability,” Geology 35 (2007), 21–4Google Scholar
Brown, Erik T. and Johnson, Thomas C., “Coherence between Tropical East African and South American Records of the Little Ice Age,” Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems 6 (2005), Q12005Google Scholar
Nicholson, Sharon E., “The Methodology of Historical Climate Reconstruction and Its Application to Africa,” JAfrH 20 (1979), 31–49Google Scholar
Webb, James L. A., Desert Frontier: Ecological and Economic Change along the Western Sahel, 1600–1850 (Madison, WI, 1995), 4–5
McCann, James C., Green Land, Brown Land, Black Land: An Environmental History of Africa, 1800–1991 (Portsmouth, NH, 1999), 23–31.
Verschuren, Dirk et al., “Rainfall and Drought in Equatorial East Africa during the Past 1,100 Years,” Nature 403 (2001), 410–14.Google Scholar
Miller, Joseph C., “The Significance of Drought, Disease, and Famine in the Agriculturally Marginal Zones of West-Central Africa,” JAfrH 23 (1982), 17–61Google Scholar
Lovejoy, Paul E., ed., The Ideology of Slavery in Africa (London, 1981), 40–71
Birmingham, David and Martin, Phyllis M., eds., History of Central Africa, Vol. One (London, 1983), 118–59.
Manning, Patrick, “The Slave Trade: The Formal Demography,” in Inikora, Joseph E. and Engerman, Stanley L., eds., The Atlantic Slave Trade: Effects on Economies, Societies, and Peoples (Durham, NC, 1992), 119–20.
Eltis, David, “The Volume and Structure of the Transatlantic Slave Trade: A Reassessment,” WMQ, 3d ser., 58 (2001), 44Google Scholar
Dewald, Jonathan, “Crisis, Chronology, and the Shape of European Social History,” AHR 113 (2008), 1031–52Google Scholar
Elliott, J. H., “The General Crisis in Retrospect: A Debate without End,” in Benedict, Philip and Guttmann, Myron P., eds., Early Modern Europe: From Crisis to Stability (Newark, DE, 2005), 31–51
Mote, Frederick W., “The Rise of the Ming Dynasty, 1330–1367,” in Mote, Frederick W. and Twitchett, Denis, eds., The Cambridge History of China, Vol. 7: The Ming Dynasty, 1368–1644, Part I (Cambridge, 1988), 29–42
Brook, Timothy, The Troubled Empire: China in the Yuan and Ming Dynasties (Cambridge, MA, 2010)
Dreyer, Edward L., Zheng He: China and the Oceans in the Early Ming Dynasty, 1405–1433 (New York, 2007), 60–1, 166–73
Levathes, Louise, When China Ruled the Seas: The Treasure Fleet of the Dragon Throne 1405–1433 (New York, 1993), 173–80, 185
Waldron, Arthur, The Great Wall of China: From History to Myth (New York, 1990), 72–107.
Brook, Timothy, “Communications and Commerce,” in Mote, Frederick W. and Twitchett, Denis, eds., The Cambridge History of China, Vol. 8: The Ming Dynasty, 1368–1644, Part II (Cambridge, 1998), 606–7
Peterson, Willard J., “New Order for the Old Order,” in Peterson, Willard J., ed., The Cambridge History of China, Vol. 9: Part One: The Ch’ing Empire to 1800 (Cambridge, 2002), 5
Myers, Ramon H. and Wang, Yeh-Chien, “Economic Developments, 1644–1800,” in Peterson, ed., The Cambridge History of China, 9: 585–604, 621–3, 631
Marmé, Michael, “Locating Linkages and Painting Bull’s Eyes around Bullet-Holes? An East Asian Perspective on the Seventeenth-Century Crisis,” AHR 13 (2008), 1080–9Google Scholar
Dando, William A., The Geography of Famine (London, 1980), 128, 134
Lovejoy, A., The History and Economics of Indian Famines (London, 1914), 136–7
McCinn, Charles W., Famine Truths, Half Truths, Untruths (Calcutta, 1902), 29–32
Habib, Irfan, “Population,” in Raychaudhuri, Tapen and Habib, Irfan, eds., The Cambridge Economic History of India (Cambridge, 1982), I: 167
Gupta, Ajit Das, “Study of the Historical Demography of India,” in Glass, D. V. and Revelle, Roger, eds., Population and Social Change (London, 1972), 426, 430, 435
Richards, John F., “The Seventeenth-Century Crisis in South Asia,” Modern Asian Studies 24 (1990), 625–38, esp. 629–30Google Scholar
Clingingsmith, David and Williamson, Jeffrey G., “Deindustrialization in 18th and 19th Century India: Mughal Decline, Climate Shocks, and British Industrial Ascent,” ExpEconH 45 (2008), 209–34.Google Scholar
Chen, Fa-Hu et al., “Moisture Changes over the Last Millennium in Arid Central Asia: A Review, Synthesis and Comparison with Monsoon Region,” QSR 29 (2010), 1044–68Google Scholar
Kuzucuoğlu, Catherine et al., “Mid- to Late-Holocene Climate Change in Central Turkey: The Tecer Lake Record,” Holocene 21 (2011), 183–6Google Scholar
Trouet, Valérie et al., “Persistent Positive North Atlantic Oscillation Mode Dominated the Medieval Climate Anomaly,” Science 324 (2009), 78–80.Google Scholar
White, Sam, The Climate of Rebellion in the Early Modern Ottoman Empire (New York, 2011)
Nicault, A. et al., “Mediterranean Drought Fluctuation during the Last 500 Years Based on Tree-Ring Data,” ClimDyn 31 (2008), 227–45Google Scholar
Atwell, William S., “Volcanism and Short-Term Climatic Change in East Asia and World History, c. 1200–1699,” JWH 12 (2001), 29–96.Google Scholar
Koepke, Nikola and Baten, Joerg, “The Biological Standard of Living in Europe during the Last Two Millennia,” EREconH 9 (2005), 61–95, at 76, 77Google Scholar
Komlos, John, with Hau, M. and Bournguinat, N., “The Anthropometric History of Early-Modern France,” EREconH 7 (2003), 159–89Google Scholar
Cunningham, Andrew and Grell, Ole Peter, The Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse: Religion, War, Famine, and Death in Reformation Europe (Cambridge, 2000)
Vries, Jan de, The Economy of Europe in an Age of Crisis, 1600–1750 (New York, 1976)
Rabb, Theodore K., “The Effect of the Thirty Years War on the German Economy,” Journal of Modern History 34 (1962), 40–51Google Scholar
Kamen, Henry, “The Economic and Social Consequences of the Thirty Years War,” P&P 39 (1968), 44–61Google Scholar
Wallerstein, Immanuel, The Modern World System II: Mercantilism and the Consolidation of the European World Economy, 1600–1750 (New York, 1980), 12–35.
Goldstone, Jack A., “East and West in the Seventeenth Century: Political Crises in Stuart England, Ottoman Turkey, and Ming China,” Comparative Study of History and Society 30 (1988), 103–42Google Scholar
Parker, Geoffrey, The Global Crisis: War, Climate and Catastrophe in the Seventeenth-Century World (New Haven, CT, 2013)
–, “Crisis and Catastrophe: The Global Crisis of the Seventeenth Century,” AHR 113 (2008), 1053–1879
le Roy, Emmanuel, Ladurie’s Histoire humaine et comparée du climat: Tome 1, Canicules et glaciers XIIIe-XVIIIe siècles (Fayard, 2004), 183–530
Utterström, Gustaf, “Climatic Fluctuations and Population Problems in Early Modern History,” Scandinavian EconHistR 3 (1955), 3–47Google Scholar
Lamb, Hubert H., Climate, History and the Modern World, second edition (London, 1995), 211–41
Pfister, Christian and Brázdil, Rudolph, “Climatic Variability in Sixteenth-Century Europe and Its Social Dimension: A Synthesis,” ClimCh 43 (1999), 5–53.Google Scholar
Bauernfeind, Walter and Woitek, Ulrich, “The Influence of Climatic Change on Price Fluctuations during the 16th Century Price Revolution,” ClimCh 43 (1999), 303–21Google Scholar
Oster, Emily, “Witchcraft, Weather, and Economic Growth in Renaissance Europe,” JEconP 18 (2004), 215–28Google Scholar
Behringer, Wolfgang, “Climatic Change and Witch-Hunting: The Impact of the Little Ice Age on Mentalities,” ClimCh 43 (1999), 335–51.Google Scholar
Rostow, Walter W., The Stages of Economic Growth (New York, 1960)
Cole, W. A., British Economic Growth, 1688–1959 (Cambridge, 1962)
Landes, David S., The Prometheus Unbound: Technological Change and Industrial Development in Western Europe from 1750 to the Present (Cambridge, 1969)
Crafts, N. F. S., British Economic Growth during the Industrial Revolution (Oxford, 1985)
Crafts, N. F. S. and Harley, C. R., “Output Growth and the British Industrial Revolution: A Restatement of the Crafts-Harley View,” EconHistR 45 (1992), 703–30Google Scholar
Allen, Robert C., The British Industrial Revolution in Global Perspective (Cambridge, 2009), 106–55.
Clark, Gregory, “The Long March of History: Farm Wages, Population, and Economic Growth, England 1209–1869,” EconHistR 60 (2007), 120Google Scholar
Langdon, John and Masschaele, James, “Commercial Activity and Population Growth in Medieval England,” P&P 190 (2006), 65Google Scholar
Wrigley, E. A. and Schofield, R. S., The Population History of England, 1451–1871: A Reconstruction (London, 1981), 450–3
Bailey, Mark, “Demographic Decline in Late Medieval England: Some Thoughts on Recent Research,” EconHistR 49 (1996), 3–7Google Scholar
Goldberg, P. J. P., Women, Work, and Life Cycle in a Medieval Economy: Women in York and Yorkshire c.1300–1520 (Oxford, 1992), 345–61.
Hatcher, John, “The Great Slump of the Mid-Fifteenth Century,” in Richard Brintnell and John Hatcher, Progress and Problems in Medieval England (Cambridge, 1996), 237–72
Mitchell, B. R., British Historical Statistics (Cambridge, 1988), 358–9
Blanchard, Ian, “Population Change, Enclosure, and the Early Tudor Economy,” EconHistR, 2d ser., 23 (1970), 427–45.Google Scholar
Nightingale, Pamela, “Some New Evidence of Crises and Trends of Mortality in Late Medieval England,” P&P 187 (2005), 33–68Google Scholar
Hatcher, John, “Understanding the Population History of England, 1450–1750,” P&P 180 (2003), 83–130, esp. 95–101Google Scholar
Hatcher, John, “Mortality in the Fifteenth Century: Some New Evidence,” EconHistR 2d ser., 39 (1986), 19–38Google Scholar
–, Plague Population and the English Economy, 1348–1530 (London, 1977), 55–62
Harvey, Barbara, Living and Dying in England, 1100–1540: The Monastic Evidence (Oxford, 1993), 142–6
Hanawalt, Barbara, The Ties that Bound: Peasant Families in Medieval England (New York, 1986), 90–104
Herlihy, David and Klapisch-Zuber, Christiane, Tuscans and their Families: A Study of the Florentine Catasto of 1427 (New Haven, CT, 1985), 81–90
Wrigley, E. A. et al., English Population History from Family Reconstitution, 1580–1837 (Cambridge, 1997), 614
Brenner, Robert, Merchants and Revolution: Commercial Change, Political Conflict, and London’s Overseas Traders, 1550–1653 (Princeton, NJ, 1963), 3–23
Fisher, J. F., “Commercial Trends and Policy in Sixteenth-Century England,” EconHistR 10 (1940), 95–117Google Scholar
Hammersley, G., “The Charcoal Iron Industry and Its Fuel, 1540–1750,” EconHistR 2d ser., 26 (1973), 595–6Google Scholar
Slack, Paul, The Impact of the Plague in Tudor and Stuart England (London, 1985), 57–8, 61–2
Loschky, David and Childers, Ben D., “Early English Mortality,” JInterdH 24 (1993), 85–97Google Scholar
Palliser, D. M., “Tawney’s Century: Brave New World of Malthusian Trap?EconHistR 2d ser., 35 (1982), 344–7Google Scholar
Lee, Ronald, “Population Homeostasis and English Demographic History,” JInterdH 25 (1985), 635–66Google Scholar
Lee, Ronald and Anderson, Michael, “Malthus in State Space: Macro Economic-Demographic Relations in English History, 1540–1870,” Journal of Population Economics 15 (2002), 195–220Google Scholar
Moore, John S., “Jack Fisher’s ‘Flu’: A Visitation Revisited,” EconHistR 46 (1993), 280–307Google Scholar
Dobson, Mary J., Contours of Death and Disease in Early Modern England (Cambridge, 1997)
Nicolini, Esteban A., “Was Malthus Right? A VAR Analysis of Economic and Demographic Interactions in Pre-Industrial England,” EREconH 11 (2007), 99–121.Google Scholar
Wrightson, Keith, English Society, 1580–1680 (New Brunswick, NJ, 1982), 121–82
Slack, Paul, Poverty and Policy in Tudor and Stuart England (London, 1988), 113–87
Slack, Paul, From Reformation to Improvement: Public Welfare in Early Modern England (Oxford, 1998)
Braddick, Michael, State Formation in Early Modern England, c.1550–1700 (Cambridge, 2000), 103–35
Hindle, Steve, The State and Social Change in Early Modern England, 1550–1640 (New York, 2002), 1–36, 94–115, 171–230
Campbell, Bruce M. S., “Grain Yields on English Demesnes after the Black Death,” in Bailey, Mark and Rigby, Stephen, eds., Town and Countryside in the Age of the Black Death (Turnout, 2012), 121–74, esp. 142–62
Bailey, Mark and Rigby, Stephen, eds., “Agriculture in Kent in the High Middle Ages,” in Sweetinburgh, Sheila, ed., Later Medieval Kent, 1220–1540Woodbridge, UK, (2010), 25–50, esp. 42–50
Beidler, Peter G., “The Plague and Chaucer’s Pardoner,” The Chaucer Review 16 (1982), 257–69.Google Scholar
Appleby, Andrew B., Famine in Tudor and Stuart England (Palo Alto, CA, 1978)
Galloway, P. R., “Annual Variations in Deaths by Age, Deaths by Cause, Prices, and Weather in London, 1670–1830,” PopSt 39 (1985), 487–505Google Scholar
Walter, John and Schofield, Walter, “Famine, Disease, and Crisis Mortality in Early Modern Europe,” in Walter, John and Schofield, Walter, eds., Famine, Disease, and the Social Order in Early Modern Society (Cambridge, 1989), 1–74.
Wilkinson, Richard G., Poverty and Progress: An Ecological Perspective on Economic Development (New York, 1973), 112–37
Hoskins, W. G., “The Rebuilding of Rural England, 1570–1640,” P&P 4 (1953), 44–59Google Scholar
Machin, R., “The Great Rebuilding: A Reassessment,” P&P 77 (1977), 33–56.Google Scholar
Rackham, Oliver, Ancient Woodland: Its History, Vegetation, and Uses in England (London, 1980), 161–8
Rackham, Oliver, Trees and Woodland in the British Landscape (London, 1976), 84–93
Flinn, Michael W., “Timber and the Advance of Technology: A Reconsideration,” Annals of Science 15 (1959), 109–20Google Scholar
Sieferle, Rolf Peter, The Subterranean Forest: Energy Systems and the Industrial Revolution (Cambridge, 2001), 78–137
Thomas, Brinley, The Industrial Revolution and the Atlantic Economy: Selected Essays (London, 1993), 1–34.
Wrigley, E. A., “Urban Growth and Agricultural Change: England and the Continent in the Early Modern Period,” JInterdH 15 (1985), 683–728.Google Scholar
Nef, Joseph U., The Rise of the British Coal Industry (London, 1932), 1: 19–20
Hatcher, John, The History of the British Coal Industry, Vol. I, Before 1700: Towards the Age of Coal (Oxford, 1993), 68
Flinn, Michael W., History of the British Coal Industry, Vol. 2, 1700–1830: The Industrial Revolution (Oxford, 1984), 26
Mitchell, B. R., International Historical Statistics: Europe, 1750–1993, fourth edition (New York, 1998), 426, 428, 431, 477, 480
Law, C. M., “The Growth of Population in England and Wales, 1801–1911,” Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers 41 (1967), 142Google Scholar
de Zeeuw, J. W., “Peat and the Dutch Golden Age: The Historical Meaning of Energy-Attainability,” A.A.G.Bijdragen 21 (1978), 3–32Google Scholar
Kerridge, Eric, The Agricultural Revolution (London, 1967)
Jones, E. L., Agriculture and the Industrial Revolution (New York, 1974), 41–85
Allen, Robert C., “Tracking the Agricultural Revolution in England,” EconHistR 53 (1999), 209–35Google Scholar
Davis, Simon J. M. and Beckett, John V., “Animal Husbandry and Agricultural Improvement: The Archaeological Evidence from Animal Teeth and Bones,” Rural History 10 (1999), 1–17Google Scholar
Wrigley, E. A., “The Transition to an Advanced Organic Economy: Half a Millennium of English Agriculture,” EconHistR 59 (2006), 435–80Google Scholar
Allen, , “Progress and Poverty in Early Modern Europe,” and “Economic Structure and Agricultural Productivity in Europe, 1300–1800,” EREconH 3 (2000), 1–26.Google Scholar
Overton, Mark, Agricultural Revolution in England: The Transformation of the Agrarian Economy 1500–1850 (Cambridge, 1996)
Appleby, Andrew, “Grain Prices and Subsistence Crises in England and France, 1590–1740,” JEconH 39 (1979), 865–87Google Scholar
Nicolini, Estaban A., “Mortality, Interest Rates, Investment, and Agricultural Production in 18th Century England,” ExpEconH 41 (2002), 130–55.Google Scholar
Gemery, Henry A., “Emigration from the British Isles to the New World, 1630–1700,” in Paul Uselding, ed., Research in Economic History 5 (1980), 179–231Google Scholar
Sinke, Suzanne M., eds., A Century of European Migrations, 1830–1903 (Urbana, IL, 1991), 58–77
–, “Whatever Happened to Early American Population History?WMQ, 3rd ser., 50 (1993), 356–66
Canny, Nicholas, “English Migration into and across the Atlantic during the Seventeenth and Eighteenth Centuries,” in Canny, Nicholas, ed., Europeans on the Move: Studies on European Migration, 1500–1800 (Oxford, 1994), 39–75
Brooke, John L., “Ecology,” in Vickers, Daniel, ed., A Companion to Colonial America (Malden, MA, 2003), 44–75
Chesnais, Jean-Claude, The Demographic Transition: Stages, Patterns, and Economic Implications: A Longitudinal Study of Sixty-Seven Countries Covering the Period 1720–1984 (Oxford, 1992), 153–86.
Ormrod, David, The Rise of Commercial Empires: England and the Netherlands in the Age of Mercantilism, 1650–1770 (New York, 2003)
Zahediah, Nuala, The Capital and the Colonies: London and the Atlantic Economy 1660–1700 (Cambridge, 2010), 2–5, 238–92
North, Douglass C. and Weingast, Barry R., “Constitutions and Commitment: The Evolution of Institutions Governing Public Choice in Seventeenth-Century England,” JEconH 49 (1989), 803–32Google Scholar
Mokyr, Joel, “The Intellectual Origins of Modern Economic Growth,” JEconH 65 (2005), 285–351Google Scholar
Stasavage, David, Public Debt and the Birth of the Democratic State: France and Great Britain, 1688–1789 (Cambridge, 2003)
Goldstone, Jack, “The Rise of the West – or Not? A Revision to Socio-Economic History,” Sociological Theory 18 (2000), 175–94.Google Scholar
Pincus, Steven, 1688: The First Modern Revolution (New Haven, CT, 2009), 382–93.
Hills, Richard Leslie, Power from Steam: A History of the Stationary Steam Engine (New York, 1989), 13–20.

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure [email protected] is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

Available formats
×