Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-2plfb Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-24T14:37:38.736Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

14 - Underlying Sources of Growth: First and Second Nature Geography

from Part II - Factors Governing Differential Outcomes in the Global Economy

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  03 June 2021

Stephen Broadberry
Affiliation:
University of Oxford
Kyoji Fukao
Affiliation:
Hitotsubashi University, Tokyo
Get access

Summary

This chapter considers to what extent ‘geography’, broadly conceived, mattered for economic growth across the globe. First, it sets out the pattern of comparative aggregate growth between 1700 and 1870 and documents the east to west shift in the global distribution of economic activity. The next section surveys the comparative evidence on key first nature (or physical) geography characteristics that are potentially critical for long run economic development. This is followed by a discussion of second nature geography (the ’geography of interactions between economic agents’) and a quantitative assessment of the extent to which first nature characteristics, second nature geographical forces and institutional quality can account for income differentials across a sample of major economies in America, Asia, and Europe. Finally, a case study on shifting comparative advantage in the textile industry illustrates the outcomes of technical change within a changing global economic geography. The chapter concludes that changes in trade costs, agglomeration economies and differential access to markets with associated productivity gains probably played a major role in moving the economic centre of gravity. The West became absolutely and relatively richer than the East, not only because of better institutions but also because of more favourable geographies.

Type
Chapter
Information
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2021

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Acemoglu, D. (2009). Introduction to Modern Economic Growth, Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Acemoglu, D., Johnson, S. and Robinson, J. (2001). ‘The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development’, American Economic Review, 91, 13691401.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Acemoglu, D., Johnson, S. and Robinson, J. (2002). ‘Reversal of Fortune: Geography and Institutions in the Making of the Modern World Income Distribution’, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117(4), 12311294.Google Scholar
Álvarez-Nogal, C. and Prados de la Escosura, L. (2013). ‘The Rise and Fall of Spain (1270–1850)’, Economic History Review, 66(1), 137.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Anderson, J. E. and van Wincoop, E. (2004). Trade Costs’, Journal of Economic Literature, 42(3), 691–751.Google Scholar
Arroyo Abad, L. and van Zanden, J. L. (2016). ‘Growth Under Extractive Institutions? Latin American Per Capita GDP in Colonial Times’, Journal of Economic History, 76, 11821215.Google Scholar
Bairoch, P. (1982). ‘International Industrialization Levels from 1750 to 1980’, Journal of European Economic History, 11, 269331.Google Scholar
Bassino, J.-P., Broadberry, S., Fukao, K., Gupta, B. and Takashima, M. (2019). ‘Japan and the Great Divergence, 730–1870’, Explorations in Economic History (forthcoming).CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Beinroth, F. H., Eswaran, H. and Reich, P. F. (2001). ‘Global Assessment and Land Quality’, in Stott, D. E., Mohtar, R. H. and Steinhardt, G. C. (eds.), Sustaining the Global Farm, published by the International Soil Conservation Organization in cooperation with United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Research Service, and National Soil Erosion Research Laboratory and Purdue University, 569574.Google Scholar
Bogart, D. (2014). ‘The Transport Revolution in Industrializing Britain’, in Floud, R., Humphries, J. and Johnson, P. (eds), The Cambridge Economic History of Modern Britain, vol. 1: 1700–1870, 4th ed., Cambridge University Press, 5388.Google Scholar
Bosker, M. and Buringh, E. (2017). ‘City Seeds: Geography and the Origins of the European City System’, Journal of Urban Economics, 98, 139157.Google Scholar
Bosker, M. and Garretsen, H. (2009). ‘Economic Development and the Geography of Institutions’, Journal of Economic Geography, 9, 295328.Google Scholar
Broadberry, S. and Gupta, B. (2009). ‘Lancashire, India, and Shifting Competitive Advantage in Cotton Textiles, 1700–1850: The Neglected Role of Factor Prices’, Economic History Review, 62(2), 279305.Google Scholar
Broadberry, S. and Marrison, A. (2002). ‘External Economies of Scale in the Lancashire Cotton Industry, 1900–1950’, Economic History Review, 55(1), 5177.Google Scholar
Broadberry, S., Fremdling, R. and Solar, P. (2010). ‘Industry, 1700–1870’, in Broadberry, S. and O’Rourke, K. H. (eds.), The Cambridge Economic History of Modern Europe, vol. 1: 1700–1870, Cambridge University Press, 164186.Google Scholar
Broadberry, S., Campbell, B., Klein, A., Overton, M. and van Leeuwen, B. (2015a). British Economic Growth, 1270–1870, Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Broadberry, S., Custodis, J. and Gupta, B. (2015b). ‘India and the Great Divergence: An Anglo-Indian Comparison of GDP Per Capita, 1600–1871’, Explorations in Economic History, 55, 5875.Google Scholar
Broadberry, S., Guan, H. and Li, D. (2018). ‘China, Europe and the Great Divergence: A Study in Historical National Accounting’, Journal of Economic History, 78, 9551000.Google Scholar
Buyst, E. (2011). Towards Estimates of Long Term Growth in the Southern Low Countries, ca.1500–1846’, paper for the ‘Quantifying Long Run Economic Development’ conference at the University of Warwick in Venice, March 22–24.Google Scholar
Cain, L. P. (2006). ‘Transportation – Inland Freight Rates, by Type of Transportation: 1784–1900 (Series Df17-21)’, Historical Statistics of the United States Millennial Edition Online, Cambridge University Press, hsus.cambridge.org/HSUSWeb/HSUSEntryServlet (accessed 8 October 2020).Google Scholar
Carstensen, K. and Gundlach, E. (2006). ‘The Primacy of Institutions Reconsidered: Direct Income Effects of Malaria Prevalence’, The World Bank Economic Review, 20(3), 309339.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Crafts, N. and Harley, C. K. (1992), ‘Output Growth and the Industrial Revolution: A Restatement of the Crafts-Harley View’, Economic History Review, 45, 703730.Google Scholar
Crafts, N. and Venables, A. J. (2003). ‘Globalization in History: A Geographical Perspective’, in Bordo, M., Taylor, A. and Williamson, J. G. (eds.), Globalization in Historical Perspective, University of Chicago Press, 323364.Google Scholar
Crafts, N. and Wolf, N. (2014). ‘The Location of the UK Cotton Textiles Industry in 1838: A Quantitative Analysis’, Journal of Economic History, 74(4), 11031139.Google Scholar
Diamond, J. (1997). Guns, Germs and Steel: A Short History of Everybody for the Last 13,000 Years, reprint 2005, London: Vintage Books.Google Scholar
Dollar, D. and Kray, A. (2004). ‘Trade, Growth and Poverty’, Economic Journal, 114, 2249.Google Scholar
Easterly, W. and Levine, R. (2003). ‘Tropics, Germs, and Crops: How Endowments Influence Economic Development’, Journal of Monetary Economics, 50, 339.Google Scholar
Ellison, G., Glaeser, E. L. and Kerr, W. R. (2010). ‘What Causes Industry Agglomeration? Evidence from Coagglomeration Patterns’, American Economic Review, 100, 11951213.Google Scholar
Encyclopedia Britannica (n.d.). ‘Coal-mining’, www.britannica.com/technology/coal-mining (accessed 7 October 2020).Google Scholar
Encyclopedia Britannica (n.d.). ‘World Distribution of Coal’, www.britannica.com/science/coal-fossil-fuel/World-distribution-of-coal (accessed 7 October 2020).Google Scholar
Farnie, D. A. (2004). The English Cotton Industry and the World Market 1815–1896, Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Fernihough, A. and O’Rourke, K. H. (2014). ‘Coal and the European Industrial Revolution’, University of Oxford, Discussion Papers in Economic and Social History, no. 124.Google Scholar
Findlay, R. and O’Rourke, K. H. (2007). Power and Plenty: Trade, War, and the World Economy in the Second Millennium, Princeton University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fogel, R. W. (1964). Railroads and American Economic Growth: Essays in Econometric History, Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press.Google Scholar
Fourie, J. and van Zanden, J. L. (2013). ‘GDP in the Dutch Cape Colony: The National Accounts of a Slave-Based Society’, South African Journal of Economics, 81, 467490.Google Scholar
Frankel, J. and Romer, D. (1999). ‘Does Trade Cause Growth?’, American Economic Review, 89(3), 379399.Google Scholar
Glaeser, E. L. (2011). Triumph of the City: How Our Greatest Invention Makes Us Richer, Smarter, Greener, Healthier, and Happier, New York: Penguin.Google Scholar
Glaeser, E. L., La Porta, R., Lopez-de-Silanes, F. and Shleifer, A. (2004). ‘Do Institutions Cause Growth?’, Journal of Economic Growth, 9, 271303.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Grafe, R., Neal, L. and Unger, R. W. (2010). ‘The Services Sector’, in Broadberry, S. and O’Rourke, K. H. (eds.), The Cambridge Economic History of Modern Europe, vol. 1: 1700–1870, Cambridge University Press, 187213.Google Scholar
Hall, R. and Jones, C. L. (1999). ‘Why Do Some Countries Produce So Much More Output Per Worker than Others?’, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 114(1), 83116.Google Scholar
Harley, C. K. (1988). ‘Ocean Freight Rates and Productivity, 1740–1913: The Primacy of Mechanical Invention Reaffirmed’, Journal of Economic History, 48(4), 851876.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Harris, C. (1954). ‘The Market as a Factor in the Localization of Industry in the United States’, Annals of the American Geographers, 64, 315348.Google Scholar
Head, K. and Mayer, T. (2011). ‘Gravity, Market Potential and Economic Development’, Journal of Economic Geography, 11, 281294.Google Scholar
Inikori, J. E. (1989). ‘Slavery and the Revolution in Cotton Textile Production in England’, Social Science History, 13(4), 343379.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Inikori, J. E. (2002). Africans and the Industrial Revolution in England: A Study in International Trade and Economic Development, Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Jacks, D. S. and Novy, D. (2018). ‘Market Potential and Global Growth over the Long Twentieth Century’, Journal of International Economics, 114, 21237.Google Scholar
Jacks, D., Meissner, C. and Novy, D. (2010). ‘Trade Costs in the First Wave of Globalization’, Explorations in Economic History, 47, 127141.Google Scholar
Kaukianinen, Y. (2006). ‘Journey Costs, Terminal Costs, and Ocean Freight Rates: How the Price of Distance Declined from the 1870s to 2000’, International Journal of Maritime History, 18(2), 1764.Google Scholar
Kausel, A. (1979). ‘Österreichs Volkseinkommen 1830–1913’, in Österreichisches Statistisches Zentralamt (ed.), Geschichte und Ergebnisse der zentralen amtlichen Statistik in Österreich 1829–1979, Vienna: Österreichisches Statistisches Zentralamt.Google Scholar
Kiszewski, A., Mellinger, A., Spielman, A., Malaney, P., Ehrlich Sachs, S. and Sachs, J. (2004). ‘A Global Index Representing the Stability of Malaria Transmission’, American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 70(5), 486498.Google Scholar
Komlos, J. (1983). The Habsburg Monarchy as a Customs Union: Economic Development in Austria-Hungary in the Nineteenth Century, Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Krugman, P. (1991). Geography and Trade. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Krugman, P. (1996). ‘Urban Concentration: The Role of Increasing Returns and Transport Costs’, International Regional Science Review, 19 (1 & 2), 530.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Leunig, T. (2003). ‘A British Industrial Success: Productivity in the Lancashire and New England Cotton Spinning Industries a Century Ago’, Economic History Review 56(1), 90117.Google Scholar
Maddison Project Database, version 2013. Bolt, J. and van Zanden, J. L. (2014). ‘The Maddison Project: Collaborative Research on Historical National Accounts’, Economic History Review, 67(3), 627651.Google Scholar
Maddison Project Database, version 2018. Bolt, J., Inklaar, R., de Jong, H. and van Zanden, J. L. (2018), ‘Rebasing “Maddison”: New Income Comparisons and the Shape of Long-Run Economic Development’, University of Groningen, Groningen Growth and Development Centre Research Memorandum GD-174.Google Scholar
Malanima, P. (2011). ‘The Long Decline of a Leading Economy: GDP in Central and Northern Italy, 1300–1913’, European Review of Economic History, 15, 169219.Google Scholar
Mancall, P. C. and Weiss, T. (1999). ‘Was Economic Growth Likely in Colonial British North America?’, Journal of Economic History, 59(1), 1740.Google Scholar
Marshall, A. (1920). Principles of Economics, London: Macmillan.Google Scholar
Mayer, T. (2009). ‘Market Potential and Development’, Centre d’Études Prospective et d’Information Internationales, Document de Travail No. 24.Google Scholar
Mitchell, B. R. (2013). International Historical Statistics: 1750–2010, Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan, www.worldcat.org/title/international-historical-statistics-1750-2010/oclc/838564900 (accessed 9 November 2020).Google Scholar
North, D. (1965). ‘The Role of Transportation in the Economic Development of North America’, in Les Grandes Voies Maritimes dans le Monde XV–XIX Siécles, École des Hautes Études en Sciences Sociales, 244245.Google Scholar
North, D. (1990). Institutions, Institutional Change, and Economic Performance. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Nunn, N. and Puga, D. (2012). ‘Ruggedness: The Blessing of Bad Geography in Africa’, The Review of Economics and Statistics, 94(1): 2036, online data, diegopuga.org/data/rugged/ (accessed 8 October 2020).Google Scholar
Open University (n.d.). ‘Global Distribution of Coal’, www.open.edu/openlearn/nature-environment/environmental-studies/energy-resources-coal/content-section–4.5, (accessed 8 October 2020).Google Scholar
O’Rourke, K. H., Prados de la Escosura, L. and Daudin, G. (2010). ‘Trade and Empire’, in Broadberry, S. and O’Rourke, K. H. (eds.), The Cambridge Economic History of Modern Europe, vol. 1: 1700–1870, Cambridge University Press, 96121.Google Scholar
Our World in Data (n.d.). ‘Urbanization’, ourworldindata.org/urbanization (accessed 9 October 2020).Google Scholar
Palma, N. and Reis, J. (2018). ‘From Convergence to Divergence: Portuguese Economic Growth, 1527–1850’, Maddison Project Working Paper WP-11.Google Scholar
Pfister, U. (2011). ‘Economic Growth in Germany, 1500–1850’, paper for the ‘Quantifying Long Run Economic Development’ conference at the University of Warwick in Venice, March 22–24.Google Scholar
Pollard, S. (1981). Peaceful Conquest: The Industrialization of Europe 1760–1970, reprint 1986, Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Pomerantz, K. (2000). The Great Divergence: China, Europe, and the Making of the Modern World Economy, Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Reba, M., Femke, R. and Seto, K. C. (2016). ‘Spatializing 6,000 Years of Global Urbanization from 3700 BC to AD 2000’, Scientific Data 3: 160034, https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/27271481/, dataset ‘ChandlerV2’: https://urbanization.yale.edu/data (accessed 9 November 2020).Google Scholar
Redding, S. and Venables, A. J. (2004). ‘Economic Geography and International Inequality’, Journal of International Economics, 62, 5382.Google Scholar
Ridolfi, L. (2016). ‘The French Economy in the Longue Durée: A Study on Real Wages, Working Days and Economic Performance from Louis IX to the Revolution (1250–1789)’, unpublished Ph.D. thesis, IMT School for Advanced Studies, Lucca, e-theses.imtlucca.it/211/1/Ridolfi_phdthesis.pdf (accessed 9 October 2020).Google Scholar
Riello, G. (2016). ‘Cotton: The Making of a Modern Commodity’, East Asian Journal of British History, 5(1), 35149.Google Scholar
Rodrigue, J. P. (2013). The Geography of Transport Systems, New York: Routledge.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rodrik, D., Subramanian, A. and Trebbi, F. (2004). ‘Institutions Rule: The Primacy of Institutions over Geography and Integration in Economic Development’, Journal of Economic Growth, 9, 131165.Google Scholar
Sachs, J. D. (2001). ‘Tropical Underdevelopment’, National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper 8119.Google Scholar
Sachs, J. D. (2003). ‘Institutions Don’t Rule: Direct Effects of Geography on Per Capita Income’, NBER Working Paper 9490.Google Scholar
Sachs, J. D. and Malaney, P. (2002). ‘The Economic and Social Burden of Malaria’, Nature, 415, 680685.Google Scholar
Sachs, J. D. and Warner, A. (1995). ‘Economic Reform and the Process of Global Integration’, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 26(1), 1118.Google Scholar
Schoen, L. and Krantz, O. (2015). ‘New Swedish Historical National Accounts since the 16th Century in Constant and Current Prices’, Lund Papers in Economic History no. 140.Google Scholar
Schulze, M. S. (2000). ‘Patterns of Growth and Stagnation in the Late Nineteenth Century Habsburg Economy’, European Review of Economic History, 4(3), 311340.Google Scholar
Sutch, R. (2006). ‘National Income and Product’, in Historical Statistics of the United States Online Edition,hsus.cambridge.org/HSUSWeb/HSUSEntryServlet (accessed 9 October 2020).Google Scholar
van Zanden, J. L. and van Leeuwen, B. (2012). ‘Persistent but not Consistent: The Growth of National Income in Holland 1347–1807’, Explorations in Economic History, 49, 119130.Google Scholar
Venables, A. J. (2006). ‘Shifts in Economic Geography and their Causes’, Centre for Economic Performance Discussion Paper no. 767.Google Scholar
World Bank (2009). World Development Report, Part I: Reshaping Economic Geography, Washington, DC: World Bank.Google Scholar

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure [email protected] is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

Available formats
×