Serosurveillance is an important epidemiologic tool for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), used to estimate infection rates and the degree of population immunity. There is no general agreement on which antibody biomarker(s) should be used, especially with the rollout of vaccines globally. Here, we used random forest models to demonstrate that a single spike or receptor-binding domain (RBD) antibody was adequate for classifying prior infection, while a combination of two antibody biomarkers performed better than any single marker for estimating time-since-infection. Nucleocapsid antibodies performed worse than spike or RBD antibodies for classification, but can be useful for estimating time-since-infection, and in distinguishing infection-induced from vaccine-induced responses. Our analysis has the potential to inform the design of serosurveys for SARS-CoV-2, including decisions regarding a number of antibody biomarkers measured.

Since the incursion of influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus in 2009, serosurveillance every year of the Norwegian pig population revealed the herd prevalence for influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 (HIN1pdm09) has stabilised between 40% and 50%. Between 30 September 2009 and 14 September 2017, the Norwegian Veterinary Institute and Norwegian Food Safety Authority screened 35,551 pigs for antibodies to influenza A viruses (IAVs) from 8,636 herds and found 26% or 8,819 pigs' sera ELISA positive (titre ≥40). Subtyping these IAV antibodies from 8,214 pigs in 3,629 herds, by a routine haemagglutination inhibition test (HAIT) against four standard antigens produced 13,771 positive results (HAIT titre ≥40) of binding antibodies. The four antigen subtypes eliciting positive HAIT titre in descending frequencies were immunogen H1N1pdm09 (n = 8,200 or 99.8%), swine influenza A virus (SIVs) subtypes swH1N1 (n = 5,164 or 62%), swH1N2 (n = 395 or 5%) and swH3N2 (n = 12 or 0.1%). Of these 8,214 pig pigs sera, 3,039 produced homologous HAIT subtyping, almost exclusively immunogen H1N1pdm09 (n = 3,026 or 99.6%). Using HAIT titre of pig and herd geometric mean titre (GMT) as two continuous outcome variables, and with the data already structured hierarchically, we used mixed effects linear regression analysis to investigate the impact of predictors of interests had on the outcomes. For the full data, the predictors in the regression model include categorical predictors antigen subtype (H1N1pdm09, swH1N1, swH1N2 & swH3N2), and production type (sow herd or fattening herd), ordinal predictors year (longitudinally from 2009 to 2017) and number of antigens in heterologous reactions (1, 2, 3, 4) in the same pig serum. The last predictor, the proportion of HAIT positive (antigen specific) in tested pigs within the herd, was a continuous predictor, which served as a proxy for days post-infection (dpi) or humoral response time in the pig or herd. Regression analysis on individual pig HAIT titres showed that antigen as a predictor, the coefficient for immunogen H1N1pdm09 was at least fourfold higher (P < 0.001) than the three SIVs antigen subtypes, whose much lower coefficients were statistically no different between the three SIVs antigen subtypes. Correspondingly, for herd GMT, immunogen H1N1pdm09 was 28–40-fold higher than the three SIVs antigen subtypes. Excluding the HAIT data of the three SIVs antigen subtypes, regression analysis focusing only on immunogen H1N1pdm09 increased greatly the coefficients of the predictors in the models. Homologous reactions (99.6% H1N1pdm09) have lower HAIT titres while the likelihood of the number of antigens involved in HAIT heterologous reactions in a single pig serum increased with higher HAIT titres of immunogen H1N1pdm09. For predictor ‘production’, sows and sow herds had higher HAIT titres and GMT compared to fattening pigs and fattening herds respectively. Herds with ‘higher proportion of pigs tested positive’ also had higher HAIT titre in the pig and herd GMT.

Canine leishmaniosis (CanL) is a major veterinary concern and a public health issue. Serological data are essential for disease management. Several antigens used in serological assays have specificity related problems preventing relevant seropositivity values establishment. Herein we report significant seropositivity level disparity in a study cohort with 384 dogs from eight countries, for antigens traditionally used in CanL – soluble promastigote Leishmania antigens (SPLA) and K39 recombinant protein (rK39): 43·8 and 2·9% for SPLA and rK39, respectively. To better understand the reasons for this disparity, CanL-associated serological response was characterized using, for complement serological evaluation, a ubiquitous antigen – soluble Escherichia coli antigens (SECAs). Using cohorts of CanL dogs and dogs without clinical evidences of CanL from non-endemic regions of Portugal, the serological response of CanL animals followed specific trend of seropositivity rK39 > SPLA > SECA absent in non-diseased animals. Using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, these characteristic trends were converted in ratios, SPLA/SECA, rK39/SECA and rK39/SPLA, that presented high predictive for discriminating the CanL cohort that was potentiated when applied in a scoring system involving positivity to four out of five predictors (rK39, SPLA, SPLA/SECA, rK39/SECA and rK39/SPLA). In fact, this approach discriminated CanL with similar sensitivity/specificity as reference antigens, diminishing seropositivity in European cohort to 1·8%. Ultimately, non-related antigens like SECA and seropositivity ratios between antigens enable different perspectives into serological data focusing on the search of characteristic serological signatures and not simple absolute serology values contributing to comprehensive serological status characterization.

In 2006 an outbreak of avian influenza A(H5N1) in Turkey caused 12 human infections, including four deaths. We conducted a serological survey to determine the extent of subclinical infection caused by the outbreak. Single serum samples were collected from five individuals with avian influenza whose nasopharyngeal swabs tested positive for H5 RNA by polymerase chain reaction, 28 family contacts of the cases, 95 poultry cullers, 75 individuals known to have had contact with diseased chickens and 81 individuals living in the region with no known contact with infected chickens and/or patients. Paired serum samples were collected from 97 healthcare workers. All sera were tested for the presence of neutralizing antibodies by enzyme-linked immunoassay, haemagglutination inhibition and microneutralization assays. Only one serum sample, from a parent of an avian influenza patient, tested positive for H5N1 by microneutralization assay. This survey shows that there was minimal subclinical H5N1 infection among contacts of human cases and infected poultry in Turkey in 2006. Further, the low rate of subclinical infection following contact with diseased poultry gave further support to the reported low infectivity of the virus.