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1 results

  • Italy's disappearing ‘red regions’: a longitudinal analysis

  • Bruno Bracalente, Davide Pellegrino, Antonio Forcina
  • Journal:
    Modern Italy / Volume 25 / Issue 3 / August 2020
    Published online by Cambridge University Press:
    19 June 2020, pp. 279-297
    Print publication:
    August 2020

  • Using an analysis of time series data over an extended period, this article describes the waning strength of the left-wing vote in Italy's ‘red regions’. By analysing changes to the provincial share of the vote for successive principal left-wing parties over the period 1953–2018, the degree of continuity in relation to the left's traditional territorial entrenchment is assessed. It becomes clear that after an extended period of minimal change, in more recent years there has been an increasing disruption of previous patterns. A thorough analysis of voter transitions during the 2001–19 period in Umbria, the first red region in which the left lost control of the regional government, shows that in this case the gradual weakening of the traditional left-wing ‘vote of belonging’ has experienced a dramatic acceleration during the more recent period. This has been expressed in a growing rate of abstention, vote-switching according to the type of electoral contest, and a marked propensity to vote for populist movements and parties on both the left and right.