The weather is rarely out of the news. Weather can be hazardous at times almost anywhere on Earth, and the media are always keen to report dramatic events. On the global scene, weather, climate and the environment are issues of great international public concern at present because of the likely implications of increases of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. The contributions of the meteorologist to the understanding of this global problem are increasingly recognized, as is the progress which has been made in the accuracy of day-to-day forecasts. This paper provides a brief résumé of our present ability to model and forecast the behaviour of the global atmosphere and the ocean surface, and also demonstrates how these models are applied to the practical problems of operational ship-routeing by the UK Meteorological Office. It is worth remembering that it was the very high incidence of losses at sea in the 1850s which brought about the establishment of the UK's first meteorological service.
