Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- Introduction
- Participants
- Non-Participant Contributors
- Part 1 Transmissible diseases with long development times and vaccination strategies
- Part 2 Dynamics of immunity (development of disease within individuals)
- Part 3 Population heterogeneity (mixing)
- Part 4 Consequences of treatment interventions
- Conflicts between the individual and communities in treatment and control
- The design and analysis of HIV clinical trials
- A theory of population dynamics used for improving control of viral diseases: AZT chemotherapy and measles vaccination policy
- The ONCHOSIM model and it use in decision support for river blindness control
- Invited Discussion
- Invited Discussion
- Hydatid disease
- Vaccines and herd immunity: consequences for vaccine evaluation
- An epidemiological approach to the evaluation of disease control strategies for intestinal helminth infections: an age structured model
- The control of directly transmitted infections by pulse vaccination: concepts and preliminary studies
- Operational models for the prevention of blindness
- Part 5 Prediction
Operational models for the prevention of blindness
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 04 August 2010
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- Introduction
- Participants
- Non-Participant Contributors
- Part 1 Transmissible diseases with long development times and vaccination strategies
- Part 2 Dynamics of immunity (development of disease within individuals)
- Part 3 Population heterogeneity (mixing)
- Part 4 Consequences of treatment interventions
- Conflicts between the individual and communities in treatment and control
- The design and analysis of HIV clinical trials
- A theory of population dynamics used for improving control of viral diseases: AZT chemotherapy and measles vaccination policy
- The ONCHOSIM model and it use in decision support for river blindness control
- Invited Discussion
- Invited Discussion
- Hydatid disease
- Vaccines and herd immunity: consequences for vaccine evaluation
- An epidemiological approach to the evaluation of disease control strategies for intestinal helminth infections: an age structured model
- The control of directly transmitted infections by pulse vaccination: concepts and preliminary studies
- Operational models for the prevention of blindness
- Part 5 Prediction
Summary
Trachoma is the world's largest cause of preventable blindness. About 500 million people suffer from trachoma and about 7 million people are blind (Dawson et al. 1981). The aetiological agent is a bacterium, Chlamydia trachomatis, which causes progressive damage that can lead to blindness.
The prevalence and intensity of trachoma in a community is strongly associated with the degree of poverty and the resulting environmental conditions. The infection can be treated with antibiotics, but reinfection is common in heavily infected communities. At present, a vaccine is not available, although it is acknowledged that a suitable vaccine would be important for the control of trachoma, and research is actively pursuing such a vaccine. Trachoma could, like most other infectious diseases, be eradicated by a dramatic improvement in environmental conditions (especially clean water supply), public health and nutrition, but these are long-term goals. In the shorter term, control of trachoma can be acheived in varying degrees by combinations of strategies involving chemotherapy and other targeted medical interventions. Operational modelling work provides a practical tool for evaluating various strategies for the treatment and control of trachoma.
The main data used for developing and testing the models is from a series of longitudinal surveys carried out in the village of Jali, Gambia, West Africa, from 1984. In these surveys the villagers were examined clinically and microbiological samples were also obtained. Suitable demographic data was also used. The data collection, analysis, and the development of the models involves team work by medical doctors, microbiologists, statisticians, and operational researchers (Bailey et al. 1989, Ward et al. 1990, Shahani et al. 1992).
- Type
- Chapter
- Information
- Models for Infectious Human DiseasesTheir Structure and Relation to Data, pp. 402 - 404Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 1996