Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-p9bg8 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-26T04:25:57.041Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Measuring Subjective Ideological Disagreement with the US Supreme Court

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  21 October 2022

Michael J. Nelson*
Affiliation:
Pennsylvania State University
James L. Gibson
Affiliation:
Washington University in St. Louis
*
Contact the corresponding author, Michael J. Nelson, at [email protected].

Abstract

Conventional wisdom suggests that judicial legitimacy should be relatively unaffected by satisfaction with the ideological direction of judicial policy making. Recent studies challenge this assertion. The key to resolving this conundrum is estimating individual-level satisfaction with the ideological direction of judicial policy making reliably and validly. We examine the accuracy of several common measures of the concept. We find that 40% of the respondents repudiate their own scores on these measures. With this much systematic measurement error in such an important independent variable, the question of whether the Supreme Court’s institutional legitimacy is conditional on ideological agreement with its decisions must be reexamined.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© 2020 by Law and Courts Organized Section of the American Political Science Association. All rights reserved.

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

We greatly appreciate the support of Steve Smith and the Weidenbaum Center for this research. This project was made possible by a grant from TESS: Time-Sharing Experiments for the Social Sciences (NSF grant 0818839), Jeremy Freese and James Druckman principal investigators, to whom we are much indebted. We also acknowledge the assistance of Patrick Tucker in preparing the data we use for analysis, and we appreciate the comments of Pamela Corley, Chris Fariss, Charles Crabtree, Deborah Beim, Markus Neumann, Jeffrey Ziegler, and Miguel Maria Pereira on an earlier version of portions of this analysis. James L. Gibson is a Fellow at the Centre for Comparative and International Politics and holds the position of Professor Extraordinary in Political Science at Stellenbosch University (South Africa).

References

Adams, James, Bishin, Benjamin G., and Dow, Jay K. 2004. “Representation in Congressional Campaigns: Evidence for Discounting/Directional Voting in U.S. Senate Elections.Journal of Politics 66 (2): 348–73.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bartels, Brandon L., and Johnston, Christopher D. 2013. “On the Ideological Foundations of Supreme Court Legitimacy in the American Public.American Journal of Political Science 57:184–99.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bartels, Brandon L., Johnston, Christopher D., and Mark, Alyx. 2015. “Lawyers’ Perceptions of the U.S. Supreme Court: Is the Court a ‘Political’ Institution?Law and Society Review 49 (3): 761–94.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Boatright, Robert Guy. 2008. “Who Are the Spatial Voting Violators?Electoral Studies 27:116–25.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Caldeira, Gregory A., and Gibson, James L. 1992. “The Etiology of Public Support for the Supreme Court.American Journal of Political Science 36:635–64.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Carmines, Edward G., Ensley, Michael J., and Wagner, Michael W. 2012. “Political Ideology in American Politics: One, Two, or None?Forum 10 (3), article 4. https://www.degruyter.com/downloadpdf/j/for.2012.10.issue-3/1540-8884.1526/1540-8884.1526.pdf.Google Scholar
Christenson, Dino P., and Glick, David M. 2015. “Chief Justice Roberts’s Health Care Decision Disrobed: The Microfoundations of the Supreme Court’s Legitimacy.American Journal of Political Science 59 (2): 403–18.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Enelow, James M., and Hinich, Melvin J. 1984. The Spatial Theory of Voting: An Introduction. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Epstein, Lee, and Mershon, Carol. 1996. “Measuring Political Preferences.American Journal of Political Science 40 (1): 261–94.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gershtenson, Joseph 2009. “Candidates and Competition: Variability in Ideological Voting in U.S. Senate Elections.Social Science Quarterly 91 (1): 117–33.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gibson, James L., and Caldeira, Gregory A. 1992. “Blacks and the United States Supreme Court: Models of Diffuse Support.Journal of Politics 54:1120–45.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gibson, James L., Caldeira, Gregory A., and Kenyatta Spence, Lester. 2003. “Measuring Attitudes toward the United States Supreme Court.American Journal of Political Science 47:354–67.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gibson, James L., and Nelson, Michael J. 2014. “The Legitimacy of the U.S. Supreme Court: Conventional Wisdoms and Recent Challenges Thereto.Annual Review of Law and Social Science 10:201–19.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gibson, James L., and Nelson, Michael J. 2015. “Is the U.S. Supreme Court’s Legitimacy Grounded in Performance Satisfaction and Ideology?American Journal of Political Science 59:162–74.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gibson, James L., Pereira, Miguel M., and Ziegler, Jeffrey. 2017. “Updating Supreme Court Legitimacy: Testing the ‘Rule, Learn, Update’ Model of Political Communication.American Politics Research 45 (6): 9801002.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Heatherington, Marc J., and Smith, Joseph L. 2007. “Issue Preferences and Evaluations of the U.S. Supreme Court.Public Opinion Quarterly 71 (1): 4066.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jessee, Stephen, and Malhotra, Neil. 2013. “Public (Mis)perceptions of Supreme Court Ideology: A Method for Directly Comparing the Positions of Citizens and Justices.Public Opinion Quarterly 77:619–34.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Krosnick, Jon A., and Presser, Stanley. 2010. “Question and Questionnaire Design.” In Handbook of Survey Research, 263–313. 2nd ed. Bingley: Emerald.Google Scholar
Liptak, Adam 2010. “Court under Roberts Is Most Conservative in Decades.” New York Times, July 24.Google Scholar
Lupia, Arthur 2015. Uninformed: Why People Know So Little about Politics and What We Can Do about It. New York: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Malhotra, Neil, and Jessee, Stephen A. 2014. “Ideological Proximity and Support for the Supreme Court.Political Behavior 36:817–46.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Manchester, Julia 2018. “Many Americans See Trump as Liberal Despite His Conservative Record.” The Hill, September 12. https://thehill.com/hilltv/what-americas-thinking/406307-many-americans-see-trump-as-liberal-despite-his-conservative.Google Scholar
McCarthy, Justin 2016. “Trump Seen as Less Conservative Than Prior GOP Candidates.” Gallup, October 4. https://news.gallup.com/poll/196064/trump-seen-less-conservative-prior-gop-candidates.aspx.Google Scholar
Nadeau, Richard, and Lewis-Beck, Michael S.. 2001. “National Economic Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections.Journal of Politics 63 (1): 158–81.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Poole, Keith T., and Rosenthal, Howard L. 2007. Ideology and Congress. 2nd ed. London: Routledge.Google Scholar
Rabinowitz, George, and Elaine Macdonald, Stuart. 1989. “A Directional Theory of Issue Voting.American Political Science Review 83 (1): 93121.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Treier, Shawn, and Sunshine Hillygus, D.. 2009. “The Nature of Political Ideology in the Contemporary Electorate.Public Opinion Quarterly 73:679703.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tyler, Tom R. 2006. “Psychological Perspectives on Legitimacy and Legitimation.Annual Review of Psychology 57:375400.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Supplementary material: File

Nelson and Gibson supplementary material
Download undefined(File)
File 294 KB