Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-fscjk Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-26T04:11:27.221Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Judicial Ideology in the Absence of Rights

Evidence from Australia

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  21 October 2022

Zoë Robinson*
Affiliation:
Australian National University, Australia
Patrick Leslie
Affiliation:
Australian National University, Australia
Jill Sheppard
Affiliation:
Australian National University, Australia
*
Contact the corresponding author, Zoë Robinson, at [email protected].

Abstract

Research on judicial behavior has yet to systematically examine the extent to which ideology affects voting behavior outside of rights-based issues. This study explores the predictive effect of judicial ideology on judicial votes in a country without a bill of rights: Australia. We develop an ex ante measure of judicial ideology and use original data on every Australian High Court decision between 1995 and 2019 to test whether, and in which types of cases, votes of Australia’s justices align with their ideology. The results show that ex ante ideology is predictive of voting behavior, regardless of policy area.

Type
Articles
Copyright
© 2022 Law and Courts Organized Section of the American Political Science Association. All rights reserved.

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

We are grateful to Russell Smyth, Tonja Jacobi, Ken Benoit, Jana von Stein, Hans Hanpu Tong, Keith Dowding, Andrew Banfield, Gerry Rosenberg, and participants at workshops at the Taiwanese Political Science Association, the European Consortium on Political Research, the Australian Political Science Association, the Australian Political Science Association Political Organisations and Participation Standing Group, and the Australian National University. We are particularly grateful to the anonymous reviewers for their comments and suggestions. For their excellent research assistance, we thank Jonathan Tjandra, Edmund Handby, Shreeya Smith, Indira Wrigley, Andrew Ray, Julia Rheinberger, Matthew Putt, Benjamin Durkin, and Kate Johnston. We are grateful to the Registry and Library of the High Court of Australia for their assistance. Robinson thanks the Australian National University Future Fellowship Scheme for supporting her work on Australian judicial behavior. Replication materials for this article are available in the JLC Dataverse at https://dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtml?persistentId=doi:10.7910/DVN/OMEQT2.

References

Alaire, Benjamin, and Green, Andrew J. 2017. Commitment and Cooperation on High Courts: A Cross-Country Examination of Institutional Constraints on Judges. Oxford: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Allan, James. 2020. “High Court of Wokeness.” Spectator (Australia), February 21. https://www.spectator.com.au/2020/02/high-court-of-wokeness/.Google Scholar
Bagashka, Tanya, and Tiede, Lydia. 2018. “Explaining Dissensus on the Bulgarian Constitutional Court.East European Politics 34 (4): 418–39.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Beim, Deborah, and Kastellec, Jonathan P. 2014. “The Interplay of Ideological Diversity, Dissents, and Discretionary Review in the Judicial Hierarchy: Evidence from Death Penalty Cases.Journal of Politics 76 (4): 1074–88.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bertomeu, Juan González, Pellegrina, Lucia Dalla, and Garoupa, Nuno. 2017. “Estimating Judicial Ideal Points in Latin America: The Case of Argentina.Review of Law and Economics 13 (1): 20150040.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Boyd, Christina L., Epstein, Lee, and Martin, Andrew D. 2010. “Untangling the Causal Effects of Sex on Judging.American Journal of Political Science 54 (2): 389411.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Brenner, Saul. 1984. “Issue Specialization as a Variable in Opinion Assignment on the U. S. Supreme Court.Journal of Politics 46 (4): 1217–25.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bürkner, Paul-Christian. 2017. “Brms: An R Package for Bayesian Multilevel Models Using Stan.Journal of Statistical Software 80 (1): 128.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cameron, Charles M., Kastellec, Jonathan P., and Park, Jee-Kwang. 2013. “Voting for Justices: Change and Continuity in Confirmation Voting, 1937–2010.Journal of Politics 75 (2): 283–99.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cane, Peter. 2012. Review of Judicialization of Politics: The Interplay of Institutional Structure, Legal Doctrine, and Politics on the High Court of Australia, by Sheehan, Reginald S., Gill, Rebecca D., and Randazzo, Kirk A. Law and Politics Book Review 22 (2): 110–21.Google Scholar
Cross, Frank B., and Nelson, Blake J. 2001. “Strategic Institutional Effects on Supreme Court Decisionmaking.Northwestern University Law Review 95 (4): 1437–93.Google Scholar
Epstein, Lee, and Knight, Jack. 2013. “Reconsidering Judicial Preferences.Annual Review of Political Science 16 (1): 1131.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Epstein, Lee, Landes, William M., and Posner, Richard A. 2013. The Behavior of Federal Judges: A Theoretical and Empirical Study of Rational Choice. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Epstein, Lee, Martin, Andrew D., Quinn, Kevin M., and Segal, Jeffrey A. 2012. “Ideology and the Study of Judicial Behavior.” In Ideology, Psychology, and Law, ed. Hanson, Jon, 705–28. New York: Oxford University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Epstein, Lee, and Mershon, Carol. 1996. “Measuring Political Preferences.American Journal of Political Science 40 (1): 261–94.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fischman, Joshua B., and Law, David S. 2009. “What Is Judicial Ideology, and How Should We Measure It? Empirical Research on Decision-Making in the Federal Courts.Washington University Journal of Law and Policy 29 (1): 133214.Google Scholar
Galligan, Brian. 1987. Politics of the High Court: A Study of the Judicial Branch of Government in Australia. St. Lucia: University of Queensland Press.Google Scholar
Garoupa, Nuno, Gomez-Pomar, Fernando, and Grembi, Veronica. 2013. “Judging under Political Pressure: An Empirical Analysis of Constitutional Review Voting in the Spanish Constitutional Court.Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization 29 (3): 513–34.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gelman, Andrew, and Hill, Jennifer. 2006. Data Analysis Using Regression and Multilevel/Hierarchical Models. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Grendstad, Gunnar, Shaffer, William R., and Waltenburg, Eric N. 2015. Policy Making in an Independent Judiciary: The Norwegian Supreme Court. Colchester: ECPR.Google Scholar
Hanretty, Chris. 2013. “The Decisions and Ideal Points of British Law Lords.British Journal of Political Science 43 (3): 703–16.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hanretty, Chris. 2020. A Court of Specialists: Judicial Behavior on the UK Supreme Court. New York: Oxford University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
High Court of Australia. 2020. “High Court Judgments Database.” http://eresources.hcourt.gov.au/.Google Scholar
Hönnige, Christoph. 2009. “The Electoral Connection: How the Pivotal Judge Affects Oppositional Success at European Constitutional Courts.West European Politics 32 (5): 963–84.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jacobi, Tonja. 2006. “The Impact of Positive Political Theory on Old Questions of Constitutional Law and the Separation of Powers.Northwestern University Law Review 100 (1): 259–78.Google Scholar
Judd, Charles M., and Downing, James W. 1990. “Political Expertise and the Development of Attitude Consistency.Social Cognition 8: 104–24.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Law, David S., and Versteeg, Mila. 2012. “The Declining Influence of the United States Constitution.New York University Law Review 87: 762858.Google Scholar
Lloyd, Randall D. 1995. “Separating Partisanship from Party in Judicial Research: Reapportionment in the U.S. District Courts.American Political Science Review 89 (2): 413–20.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Maltzman, Forrest, and Wahlbeck, Paul J. 2004. “A Conditional Model of Opinion Assignment on the Supreme Court.Political Research Quarterly 57 (4): 551–63.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Martin, Andrew D., and Quinn, Kevin M. 2002. “Dynamic Ideal Point Estimation via Markov Chain Monte Carlo for the U.S. Supreme Court, 1953–1999.Political Analysis 10 (2): 134–53.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Merritt, Chris. 1995. “The Jury’s Out on Gummow.” Australian Financial Review, March 30. https://www.afr.com/politics/the-jurys-out-on-gummow-19950330-k6adc.Google Scholar
Miller, Banks, and Curry, Brett. 2009. “Expertise, Experience, and Ideology on Specialized Courts: The Case of the Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit.Law and Society Review 43 (4): 839–64.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Myers, William M. 2020. “Judging Government Economic Performance.Australian Journal of Political Science 55 (1): 3854.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Narayan, Paresh Kumar, and Smyth, Russell. 2007. “What Explains Dissent on the High Court of Australia? An Empirical Assessment Using a Cointegration and Error Correction Approach.Journal of Empirical Legal Studies 4 (2): 401–25.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ostberg, C. L., and Wetstein, Matthew E. 2007. Attitudinal Decision Making in the Supreme Court of Canada. Vancouver: UBC Press.Google Scholar
Peresie, Jennifer L. 2005. “Female Judges Matter: Gender and Collegial Decisionmaking in the Federal Appellate Courts.Yale Law Journal 114 (7): 1759–90.Google Scholar
Popelier, Patricia, and Bielen, Samantha. 2019. “How Courts Decide Federalism Disputes: Legal Merit, Attitudinal Effects, and Strategic Considerations in the Jurisprudence of the Belgian Constitutional Court.Publius: The Journal of Federalism 49 (4): 587616.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Robinson, Zoe. 2011. “Comparative Judicial Attitudinalism: A Preliminary Study of Judicial Choices in Westminster Legal Systems.University of Chicago Legal Forum 2011: 209–31.Google Scholar
Sag, Matthew, Jacobi, Tonja, and Sytch, Maxim. 2009. “Ideology and Exceptionalism in Intellectual Property: An Empirical Study.California Law Review 97 (3): 801–56.Google Scholar
Schubert, Glendon. 1968. “Political Ideology on the High Court.Politics 3 (1): 2140.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Schubert, Glendon. 1969. “The Dimensions of Decisional Response: Opinion and Voting Behavior of the Australian High Court.” In Frontiers of Judicial Research, ed. Grossman, Joel B. and Tanenhaus, Joseph, 163–95. New York: Wiley.Google Scholar
Segal, Jeffrey A. 1997. “Separation-of-Powers Games in the Positive Theory of Congress and Courts.American Political Science Review 91 (1): 2844.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Segal, Jeffrey A., and Cover, Albert D. 1989. “Ideological Values and the Votes of U.S. Supreme Court Justices.American Political Science Review 83 (2): 557–65.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Segal, Jeffrey A., and Spaeth, Harold J. 2002. The Supreme Court and the Attitudinal Model Revisited. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Segal, Jeffrey A., Westerland, Chad, and Lindquist, Stefanie A. 2011. “Congress, the Supreme Court, and Judicial Review: Testing a Constitutional Separation of Powers Model.American Journal of Political Science 55 (1): 89104.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Skiple, Jon Kåre, Grendstad, Gunnar, Shaffer, William R., and Waltenburg, Eric N. 2016. “Supreme Court Justices’ Economic Behaviour: A Multilevel Model Analysis.Scandinavian Political Studies 39 (1): 7394.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Smyth, Russell. 2001. “Judicial Interaction on the Latham Court: A Quantitative Study of Voting Patterns on the High Court, 1935–1950.Australian Journal of Politics and History 47 (3): 330–50.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Smyth, Russell. 2005. “The Role of Attitudinal, Institutional, and Environmental Factors in Explaining Variations in the Dissent Rate on the High Court of Australia.Australian Journal of Political Science 40 (4): 519–40.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Smyth, Russell, and Mishra, Vinod. 2014. “Barrister Gender and Litigant Success in the High Court of Australia.Australian Journal of Political Science 49 (1): 121.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Staudt, Nancy, Epstein, Lee, and Weidenbeck, Peter. 2006. “The Ideological Component of Judging in the Taxation Context.Washington University Law Review 84 (7): 1797–821.Google Scholar
Stewart, Pamela, and Stuhmcke, Anita. 2020. “Open Justice, Efficient Justice, and the Rule of Law: The Increasing Invisibility of Special Leave to Appeal Applications in the High Court of Australia.Federal Law Review 48 (2): 186213.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Su, Yen-tu, Ho, Han-wei, and Lin, Chien-chih. 2018. “Are Taiwan Constitutional Court Justices Political?” Paper presented at the Comparative Supreme Court Decision Making workshop, University of Jerusalem. https://icore.huji.ac.il/sites/default/files/icore/files/yen-tu_su_are_constitutional_court_justices_political.pdf.Google Scholar
Tiede, Lydia B. 2016. “The Political Determinants of Judicial Dissent: Evidence from the Chilean Constitutional Tribunal.European Political Science Review 8 (3): 377403.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Treier, Shawn, and Jackman, Simon. 2008. “Democracy as a Latent Variable.American Journal of Political Science 52 (1): 201–17.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Weiden, David L. 2011. “Judicial Politicization, Ideology, and Activism at the High Courts of the United States, Canada, and Australia.Political Research Quarterly 64 (2): 335–47.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Weinshall, Keren, Sommer, Udi, and Ritov, Ya’acov. 2018. “Ideological Influences on Governance and Regulation: The Comparative Case of Supreme Courts.Regulation and Governance 12 (3): 334–52.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Weinshall-Margel, Keren. 2011. “Attitudinal and Neo-institutional Models of Supreme Court Decision Making: An Empirical and Comparative Perspective from Israel.Journal of Empirical Legal Studies 8 (3): 556–86.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wood, Rebecca. 2002. “Dimensions of Decision Making: Determining the Complexity of Politics on the High Court of Australia.” https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1539886.Google Scholar
Zorn, Christopher, and Caldeira, Gregory A. 2008. “Measuring Supreme Court Ideology.” Paper prepared for the Annual Meeting of the Southern Political Science Association.Google Scholar
Supplementary material: File

Robinson et al., supplementary material
Download undefined(File)
File 683.2 KB