Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-dk4vv Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-26T04:22:49.896Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

The Influence of Home-State Reputation and Public Opinion on Federal Circuit Court Judges

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  21 October 2022

Ryan J. Owens*
Affiliation:
University of Wisconsin–Madison
Patrick C. Wohlfarth
Affiliation:
University of Maryland, College Park
*
Contact the corresponding author, Ryan J. Owens, at [email protected].

Abstract

At least four observationally equivalent theories argue that federal judges follow public opinion when they decide cases. Yet there is mixed empirical support for these theories. Using recently released data on public opinion, we discover that state public opinion exerts a meaningful impact on the votes of federal circuit court judges. Perhaps more important, we leverage a number of different empirical approaches to identify which theory the data support. The data suggest that circuit court judges may change along with society but also that they follow public opinion because they care about their reputations in their home states.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© 2019 by the Law and Courts Organized Section of the American Political Science Association. All rights reserved.

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

We thank Peter Enns and workshop participants at the University of Maryland, College Park, for helpful feedback. We also thank Deborah Beim, Greg Huber, and workshop participants at the American Politics and Public Policy Workshop at Yale University.

References

Arnold, R. Douglas. 1990. The Logic of Congressional Action. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Baum, Lawrence. 1997. The Puzzle of Judicial Behavior. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Baum, Lawrence. 2006. Judges and Their Audiences: A Perspective on Judicial Behavior. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bernheim, B. Douglas. 1994. “A Theory of Conformity.” Journal of Political Economy 102 (5): 841–77.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Berry, William D., Evan J. Ringquist, Richard C. Fording, and Russell, L. Hanson. 1998. “Measuring Citizen and Government Ideology in the American States: 1960–1993.” American Journal of Political Science 42 (1): 327–48.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Black, Ryan C., and Ryan, J. Owens. 2012. The Solicitor General and the United States Supreme Court: Executive Influence and Judicial Decisions. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Black, Ryan C., Owens, Ryan J., Wedeking, Justin P., and Patrick, C. Wohlfarth. 2016a. “The Influence of Public Sentiment on Supreme Court Opinion Clarity.” Law and Society Review 50 (3): 703–32.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Black, Ryan C., Owens, Ryan J., Wedeking, Justin P., and Patrick, C. Wohlfarth. 2016b. U.S. Supreme Court Opinions and Their Audiences. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Black, Ryan C. Forthcoming. The Conscientious Justice: How Supreme Court Justices’ Personalities Influence the Law, the High Court, and the Constitution. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Boyd, Christina L., Lee, Epstein, and Andrew, D. Martin. 2010. “Untangling the Causal Effects of Sex on Judging.” American Journal of Political Science 54 (2): 389411.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Brace, Paul, Arceneaux, Kevin, Johnson, Martin and Stacy, G. Ulbig. 2004. “Does State Political Ideology Change over Time?” Political Research Quarterly 57 (4): 529–40.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Brace, Paul, Arceneaux, Kevin, Johnson, Martin and Stacy, G. Ulbig. 2007. “Reply to ‘The Measurement and Stability of State Citizen ideology.’” State Politics and Policy Quarterly 7 (2): 133–40.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Braman, Eileen. 2009. Law, Politics, and Perception: How Policy Preferences Influence Legal Reasoning. Charlottesville: University of Virginia Press.Google Scholar
Brutus. 1788. “Anti-Federalist Papers: Brutus 15.” http://www.constitution.org/afp/brutus15.htm.Google Scholar
Calvin, Bryan, Collins, Paul M. Jr., and Matthew, Esbaugh-Soha. 2011. “On the Relationship between Public Opinion and Decision Making in the U.S. Courts of Appeals.” Political Research Quarterly 64 (4): 736–48.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Canon, Bradley C., and Charles, A. Johnson. 1999. Judicial Policies: Implementation and Impact. Washington, DC: CQ Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cardozo, Benjamin N. 1921. The Nature of the Judicial Process. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Carsey, Thomas M., and Jeffrey, J. Harden. 2010. “New Measures of Partisanship, Ideology, and Policy Mood in the American States.” State Politics and Policy Quarterly 10 (2): 136–56.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Casillas, Christopher J., Peter, K. Enns, and Patrick, C. Wohlfarth. 2011. “How Public Opinion Constrains the U.S. Supreme Court.” American Journal of Political Science 55 (1): 7488.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Casper, Gerhard. 1992. “The Judiciary Act of 1789 and Judicial Independence.” In Origins of the Federal Judiciary: Essays on the Judiciary Act of 1789, 281–98. New York: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Cook, Beverly B. 1977. “Public Opinion and Federal Judicial Policy.” American Journal of Political Science 21 (3): 567600.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cross, Frank B., and Emerson, H. Tiller. 1998. “Judicial Partisanship and Obedience to Legal Doctrine: Whistleblowing on the Federal Courts of Appeals.” Yale Law Journal 107 (7): 2155–76.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Davis, Richard. 1994. Decisions and Images: The Supreme Court and the Press. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice Hall.Google Scholar
Durr, Robert H. 1993. “What Moves Policy Sentiment?” American Political Science Review 87 (1): 158–70.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Durr, Robert H., John, B. Gilmour, and Christina, Wolbrecht. 1997. “Explaining Congressional Approval.” American Journal of Political Science 41 (1): 175207.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Durr, Robert H., Andrew, D. Martin, and Christina, Wolbrecht. 2000. “Ideological Divergence and Public Support for the Supreme Court.” American Journal of Political Science 44 (4): 768–76.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ellis, Christopher, Joseph Daniel Ura and Jenna, Ashley Robinson. 2006. “The Dynamic Consequences of Nonvoting in American National Elections.” Political Research Quarterly 59:227–33.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Enns, Peter K. 2015. “Relative Policy Support and Coincidental Representation.” Perspectives on Politics 13 (4): 1053–64.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Enns, Peter K., and Paul, M. Kellstedt. 2008. “Policy Mood and Political Sophistication: Why Everybody Moves Mood.” British Journal of Political Science 38 (3): 433–54.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Enns, Peter K., and Julianna, Koch. 2013. “Public Opinion in the U.S. States: 1956 to 2010.” State Politics and Policy Quarterly 13 (3): 349–72.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Enns, Peter K., and Julianna, Koch. 2015. “State Policy Mood: The Importance of Over-Time Dynamics.” State Politics and Policy Quarterly 15 (4): 436–46.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Enns, Peter K., and Christopher, Wlezien. 2011. “Group Opinion and the Study of Representation.” In Who Gets Represented? New York: Russell Sage.Google Scholar
Enns, Peter K., and Patrick, C. Wohlfarth. 2013. “The Swing Justice.” Journal of Politics 75 (4): 10891107.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Enns, Peter K., and Patrick, C. Wohlfarth. 2017. “Making Sense of the Supreme Court-Public Opinion Relationship.” In Handbook of Judicial Behavior, ed. Robert M. Howard and Kirk Randazzo, 180–95. New York: Routledge.Google Scholar
Epstein, Lee and Jack, Knight. 1998. The Choices Justices Make. Washington, DC: CQ Press.Google Scholar
Epstein, Lee and Jack, Knight. 2013. “Reconsidering Judicial Preferences.” Annual Review of Political Science 16:1131.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Epstein, Lee and Andrew, D. Martin. 2011. “Does Public Opinion Influence the Supreme Court? Possibly Yes (but We’re Not Sure Why).” University of Pennsylvania Journal of Constitutional Law 13:263–81.Google Scholar
Epstein, Lee, Andrew, D. Martin., Segal, Jeffrey A. and Chad, Westerland. 2007. “The Judicial Common Space.” Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization 23 (2): 303–25.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Erikson, Robert S., Michael, B. MacKuen, and James, A. Stimson. 2002. The Macro Polity. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Erikson, Robert S., Gerald, C. Wright, and John, P. McIver. 2007. “Measuring the Public’s Ideological Preferences in the 50 States: Survey Responses versus Roll Call Data.” State Politics and Policy Quarterly 7 (2): 141–51.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Farias, Cristian. 2015. “Comment on Ferguson? Not My Job, Says Justice Stephen Breyer.” New Republic, March 13. http://www.newrepublic.com/article/121294/stephen-breyer-dodges-noah-feldmans-question-about-ferguson.Google Scholar
Flemming, Roy B., and Wood., B. Dan 1997. “The Public and the Supreme Court: Individual Justice Responsiveness to American Policy Moods.” American Journal of Political Science 41:468–98.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gilens, Martin and Benjamin, I. Page. 2014. “Testing Theories of American Politics: Elites, Interest Groups, and Average Citizens.” Perspectives on Politics 12 (3): 564–81.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Giles, Michael W., Bethany, Blackstone, and Richard, L. Vining. 2008. “The Supreme Court in American Democracy: Unraveling the Linkages between Public Opinion and Judicial Decision Making.” Journal of Politics 70 (2): 293306.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Giles, Michael W., Virginia, A. Hettinger, and Todd, Peppers. 2001. “Picking Federal Judges: A Note on Policy and Partisan Selection Agendas.” Political Research Quarterly 54 (3): 623–41.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Giles, Michael W., and Thomas, G. Walker. 1975. “Judicial Policy-Making and Southern School Segregation.” Journal of Politics 37 (4): 917–36.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hall, Matthew E. K., Justin, Kirkland, and Jason, Harold Windett. 2015. “Holding Steady on Shifting Sands: Countermajoritarian Decision Making in the U.S. Courts of Appeals.” Public Opinion Quarterly 79 (2): 504–23.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Harsanyi, John C. 1969. “Rational-Choice Models of Political Behavior vs. Functionalist and Conformist Theories.” World Politics 21 (4): 513–38.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kelly, Nathan J., and Peter, K. Enns. 2010. “Inequality and the Dynamics of Public Opinion: The Self-Reinforcing Link between Economic Inequality and Mass Preferences.” American Journal of Political Science 54 (4): 855–70.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Key, V. O. Jr., 1961. Public Opinion and American Democracy. New York: Knopf.Google Scholar
King, Anthony. 1997. Running Scared: Why America’s Politicians Campaign Too Much and Govern Too Little. New York: Free Press.Google Scholar
Leary, Mark R., and Deborah, L. Downs. 1995. “Interpersonal Functions of the Self-Esteem Motive.” In Efficacy, Agency, and Self-Esteem, ed. Michael H. Kernis, 123–44. New York: Springer.Google Scholar
McGuire, Kevin T., and James, A. Stimson. 2004. “The Least Dangerous Branch Revisited: New Evidence on Supreme Court Responsiveness to Public Preferences.” Journal of Politics 66 (4): 1018–35.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mishler, William and Reginald, S. Sheehan. 1993. “The Supreme Court as a Countermajoritarian Institution? The Impact of Public Opinion on Supreme Court Decisions.” American Political Science Review 87:87101.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mishler, William and Reginald, S. Sheehan. 1996. “Public Opinion, the Attitudinal Model, and Supreme Court Decision Making: A Micro-Analytic Perspective.” Journal of Politics 58:169200.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Murphy, Walter F. 1964. Elements of Judicial Strategy. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Norpoth, Helmut and Jeffrey, A. Segal. 1994. “Comment: Popular Influence on Supreme Court Decisions.” American Political Science Review 88:711–16.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Norrander, Barbara. 2001. “Measuring State Public Opinion with the Senate National Election Study.” State Politics and Policy Quarterly 1 (1): 111–25.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Owens, Ryan J., and Patrick, C. Wohlfarth. 2017. “Public Mood, Previous Electoral Experience, and Responsiveness among Federal Circuit Court Judges.” American Political Research 45 (6): 1003–31.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Page, Benjamin I., and Robert, Y. Shapiro. 1992. The Rational Public: Fifty Years of Trends in Americans’ Policy Preferences. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Peltason, J. W. 1971. Fifty-Eight Lonely Men. Urbana: University of Illinois Press.Google Scholar
Posner, Richard A. 1993. “What Do Judges and Justices Maximize? (The Same Thing Everybody Else Does).” Supreme Court Economic Review 3:141.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Soroka, Stuart N., and Christopher, Wlezien. 2008. “On the Limits to Inequality in Representation.” PS: Political Science and Politics 41 (2): 319–27.Google Scholar
Stevenson, Randolph T. 2001. “The Economy and Policy Mood: A Fundamental Dynamic of Democratic Politics?” American Journal of Political Science 45 (3): 620–33.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Stimson, James A. 1991. Public Opinion in America: Moods, Cycles, and Swings. Boulder, CO: Westview.Google Scholar
Stimson, James A. 1999. Public Opinion in America: Moods, Cycles, and Swings. 2nd ed. Boulder, CO: Westview.Google Scholar
Stimson, James A., Michael, B. MacKuen, and Robert, S. Erikson. 1995. “Dynamic Representation.” American Political Science Review 89 (3): 543–65.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ura, Joseph Daniel and Patrick, C. Wohlfarth. 2010. “‘An Appeal to the People’: Public Opinion and Congressional Support for the Supreme Court.” Journal of Politics 72 (4): 939–56.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Vines, Kenneth. 1964. “Federal District Judges and Race Relations Cases in the South.” Journal of Politics 26 (2): 337–57.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wlezien, Christopher and Stuart, Soroka. 2011. “Inequality in Policy Responsiveness?” In Who Gets Represented? New York: Russell Sage.Google Scholar
Wohlfarth, Patrick C. 2009. “The Tenth Justice? Consequences of Politicization in the Solicitor General’s Office.” Journal of Politics 70 (1): 224–37.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Zuk, Gary, Deborah Barrow and Gerard, Gryski. 1996. Attributes of Federal Judges Database. The Judicial Research Initiative (JuRI) at the University of South Carolina. Ann Arbor, MI: ICPSR 6796.Google Scholar
Supplementary material: File

Owens and Wohlfarth supplementary material
Download undefined(File)
File 490.7 KB